Boise State
Last Year
How does a non-BCS team follow up a 14-0 season which included a Fiesta Bowl win over TCU and their highest BCS ranking ever (#4)? The offense was ranked 1st in scoring and 10th in yardage nationally, while the defense was 14th in points allowed and yardage. The team was loaded from top to bottom with playmakers, not least of all sophomore QB Kellen Moore, who finished 2nd in the country in passing efficiency. The Broncos have gone 112-17 in the 21st century, and 49-4 under current Coach Chris Petersen. They have been on the cusp of breaking into a title shot the last two years, but always fall short due to playing in the WAC. The answer to the question of how they follow up last season is to play in the National Championship game this season – this is the best team they have had in Boise and they are loaded. Petersen won't allow an arrogant malaise to set in, so expect the team to shoot for the top in 2010.
Offense
Moore (64.3% comp, 3536 yds, 39 TDs, 3 INTs) had a superb season last year, but he's more than just a stats guy. He's a smart, accurate passer who doesn't make mistakes and rises to the occasion when a big drive is needed. He was 3rd Team All American last season, watch for him to push for 1st this year. Mike Coughlin will step in if he's injured, but watch for Boise's "next big thing" Joe Southwick in garbage time. Running back is the strength of the offense with three capable Backs to share the load. Doug Martin (129-765-15) is the power back and will be the nominal starter. Jeremy Avery (209-1151-6) is lightning fast and elusive and could be even more effective being fresher in games. He was 2nd Team WAC last year. DJ Harper (44-284-3) started the first two games before a torn ACL ended his season. He is a good mix of the other two. If they need a Fullback, they could do worse than junior Dan Paul who's been a regular the last two years. The offensive line is a question mark. They constantly reshuffle the lineup, but have three starters back. Nate Potter moves inside to LG this season after being voted 1st Team WAC at Left Tackle. Center Thomas Byrd and RG Will Lawrence will stay put for now. Sophomores Faraji Wright and Brenel Myers will be the Left and Right Tackle respectively. Neither have much experience. There is some experience in depth, but they need to settle on a regular grouping or else it could come back to haunt them. There are no such concerns at receiver, which gives the RB corps a run for their money as the strength of the offense. Titus Young (79-1041-10) is a dynamo in the slot, Austin Pettis (63-855-14) would have had even more impressive stats if he hadn't been hindered in the last three games by injury, and Tyler Shoemaker (21-345-2) is a solid third option. Young and Pettis were both 1st Team WAC. The depth is excellent and has some experience. TE Tommy Gallarda (9-110-4) started most of the season and is a fine blocker. Kyle Efaw (31-444-1) backs him up and is the receiver. The offense will be inventive and productive again this season, but needs to settle on a line.
Defense
Most of the starting defense returns and could be even better this year. Last season they had 26 sacks and 35 turnovers, and confused offenses throughout. Their risk-reward policy left them susceptible to the occasional big play, but this should be corrected in the offseason. The whole defensive line returns, which makes life easier for the back seven. Ends Ryan Winterswyk (41 tkls, 8 tfls, 9 sacks, 1 PBU) and Shea McClellin (36 tkls, 3 tfls, 3 sacks, 2 PBUs, 1 INT) will apply the pressure to opposing QBs, while Tackles Chase Baker (37 tkls, 2 tfls, 2 sacks, 2 PBUs) and Billy Winn (44 tkls, 6.5 tfls, 6 sacks, 3 PBUs) will stuff the middle. Winterswyk and Winn were 1st and 2nd Team WAC last year. Depth is very good and can be counted on in rotation. The Broncos only use two Linebackers, and only WLB Aaron Tevis (54 tkls, 5 tfls, 1.5 sacks, 2 PBUs, 3 INTs) returns. He'll split time with JC Percy (64 tkls, 4 tfls, .5 sack, 2 PBUs) this season. Derrell Acrey (34 tkls, 5.5 tfls, 1 PBU, 2 INTs) and Byron Hout (27 tkls, 4.5 tfls, 2 sacks, 1 PBU) will share time in the middle. Depth is excellent. Four of the five starters from last year's secondary return although Kyle Wilson is a big loss. Brandyn Thompson (45 tkls, 3 PBUs, 6 INTs) is the returning Corner and will be joined by sophomore Jamar Taylor, who missed last season through injury. Jeron Johnson (91 tkls, 1.5 tfls, 6 PBUs, 4 INTs), Winston Venable (63 tkls, 8 tfls, 3 PBUs, 2 INTs) and George Iloka (48 tkls, 2.5 tfls, 5 PBUs, 1 INT) are the returnees at Safety. This is still an excellent secondary, but may slip a little while Taylor finds his feet.
Special Teams
Even Kicker/Punter Kyle Brotzman (63/64 PATs, 18/25 FGs – 52 long, 43.9 gross, 38.3 net) returns this season. He really struggles from the left hash, only making 4/11 FGs. His punting is inconsistent, but like the rest of the team, he comes through in big games. Titus Young (26.9 ypr, 2 TDs) and Doug Martin (29.7 ypr) are an excellent pair of kick returners. Mitch Burroughs and Young will split the punt return job. Both coverage teams were excellent. If Brotzman can overcome his right-hash bias, this unit should be top notch in 2010.
Next Season
It's all or nothing for the Broncos this season. They have to beat their BCS foes and blow everyone else away. This may not be as easy as expected with Nevada looking strong again, and Fresno State having something of a resurgence. The OOC schedule starts with trips to Virginia Tech, Wyoming before a home game against always tough Oregon State and Toledo. In conference they have four away games – New Mexico State, San Jose State, Idaho and Nevada. Even if they beat the Beavers (they've already beaten Tech), there are a couple of potential trip-up games in conference. If they get caught looking ahead, they could be in trouble. One loss and they can kiss their BCS dreams goodbye.
Fresno State
Last Year
The Bulldogs have two things stopping them from being a BCS buster. One is playing in the same conference as Boise State. The other is themselves - they tend to play to the level of their opposition. They often beat BCS opposition then lose conference games. They are loaded with talent and could have been a threat to Boise this season if Ryan Matthews had returned. As it is, most of their starting unit from last season has returned. The offense was excellent last season, ranking 17th nationally, but the defense was 98th, mostly due to a 111th ranked run defense. They still finished 8-5 (6-2 WAC), which includes a loss to Wyoming in the New Mexico Bowl. As long as Coach Pat Hill prowls the sidelines, Fresno State can play with anybody. Whether they can compete with Boise for the conference is the big question.
Offense
QB Ryan Colburn (60.7% comp, 2459 yds, 19 TDs, 11 INTs) was steady last season, especially over the last nine games when he only threw four picks. He has a strong arm and can move a little (66-171-2). He will be expected to carry more of the load this season with Matthews gone, but last year's experience should stand in his favor. Freshman Derek Carr will back him up, and should get opportunities to play in blowouts. After ranking 8th nationally last season with Matthews carrying the load, they likely won't be as effective with his backup, small but quick Robbie Rouse (82-479-4), carrying the load. He can handle a big load in a game, but hasn't shown it over the course of a season. Juniors Michael Harris (12-26-0) and AJ Ellis will back him up. Junior Austin Raphael moves over from Linebacker to be the new Fullback. The entire offensive line returns and they are excellent. LT Bryce Harris, LG Devan Cunningham (3rd Team WAC), C Joe Bernardi (2nd Team WAC), RG Andrew Jackson (1st Team WAC) and RT Kenny Wiggins (2nd Team WAC) will ensure the running game is still effective, as well as providing solid protection for Colburn. There isn't much depth in reserve, so a rash of injuries could be problematic. Jamar Hamler was the 2nd leading receiver on the team last season after developing a good rapport with Colburn as the season progressed last year. He has the talent to be a big-time player for the Bulldogs. Senior Devon Wylie (17-259-4) should be a reliable target on the other side. The reserve strength is inexperienced, and the unit as a whole doesn't possess great talent. TE Vince Pascoe (6-52-0) is a former walk-on and a good blocker, but he's not a great receiver. Senior Isaac Kinter (5-32-0) will back him up. There may be more passing this season from Fresno State, and they probably won't be as effective as last year, but they'll still move the ball effectively.
Defense
The defensive line was a major weakness for the Bulldogs last season, allowing 6.0 per carry and notching just 11 sacks. Three of last year's starters return, but Tackle Cornell Banks will be on the 2nd team this season. The new Tackles are senior Kenny Borg (22 tkls, 1.5 tfls, 1.5 sacks) and junior Chase McEntee (19 tkls, 3.5 tfls), who started 7 game last season. Both Ends will start again this season. Chris Carter (47 tkls, 8 tfls, 5 sacks, 1 PBU) is a dynamo and one of the few stars on the defense. He was voted 1st Team WAC last season. The other End, Chris Lewis (20 tkls, 4.5 tfls, 1 PBU, 1 INT), needs to do better but better Tackle play could help. They have some former starters in reserve, and there should be improvement this season. The only Linebackers returning are MLB Ben Jacobs (106 tkls, 8 tfls, 2 PBUs, 1 INT), but he's a good one and was also voted 1st Team WAC, and OLB Kyle Knox (43 tkls, 5.5 tfls). Senior Nico Herron (36 tkls, 3.5 tfls, 2 PBUs, 1 INT) will step in at the other OLB spot. There is some good depth, and this should be a solid group this year. Only two secondary starters return, CB Desia Dunn (53 tkls, 1 tfl, 6 PBUs) and 2nd Team WAC SS Lorne Bell (65 tkls, 5 tfls, 1 INT), who moves over from Free. The new Corner is junior Isaiah Green (12tkls, .5 tfl, 2 PBUs) and the FS will be sophomore Phillip Thomas (30 tkls, 1.5 tfls, 1 PBU, 2 INTs). Both picked up some playing time last season. There is some good depth too. Expect the defense, particularly the D-Line, to play much better this season.
Special Teams
Kicker Kevin Goessling was almost perfect last season, nailing 15 of 16 FGs (52 long) and all 55 PATs and being chosen 1st Team WAC. Junior Andrew Shapiro takes over at Punter. Rashad Evans will return both kicks and punts this season. Kick and punt was mediocre. With special teams being Hill's specialty, expect this to be much improved in 2010.
Next Season
Fresno State hasn't won a WAC title since '99, and that probably won't change this season, but they are a solid team who will win more than they lose. Their OOC schedule is tough as usual, starting at home to Cincinnati (which they've already won); at Mississippi; a breather at home to Cal Poly; and finishing with a visit from Illinois. In-conference, they have trips to Utah State, San Jose State, Louisiana Tech and Boise State. With the Broncos the only team on the schedule that look to be a sure loss for Fresno, a big season could be in store and a bowl game looks assured.
Hawaii
Last Year
The Warriors under Greg McMackin have failed to match the standards reached by former Coach June Jones. Since there 2007 flirtation with the BCS and Jones subsequent departure for SMU, Hawaii has gone just 13-14. If McMackin wants to stick around, he'll have to start winning soon. The passing attack is still outstanding, finishing 3rd nationally, but they finished just 89th in scoring. The defense couldn't stop the run or pass and finished 93rd in yardage and 90th in points. There are some quality players returning on both sides of the ball, so the potential to win is there. The question is whether they can score more points with a revamped offensive line, and stop people with a green front seven.
Offense
Bryant Moniz turned out to be a decent QB when he took over after five games, completing 57.1% of his passes for 2396 yards and 14 TDs, although he threw 10 picks. He can also do some damage on the ground, rushing for 117 yards and a TD. Watch for him to improve over the course of the season. Backing him up is senior Brent Rausch, who did not play last season due to injury. Third stringer Shane Austin (62.4% comp, 545 yds, 2 TDs, 3 INTs) rounds out a deep group. RB Alex Green (86-453-2) bulked up to 230 lbs in the offseason and looks ready for a great year. Senior Chizzy Dimude (11-67-0) will back him up. The offensive line is a major concern with only LT Austin Hansen returning. New Left Guard, senior Brysen Ginlack redshirted last season but has started in the past. Senior C Bronson Tiwanak didn't play a down last season after transferring from the JUCO ranks. Seniors Adrian Thomas and Laupepa Letuli, both of whom have started before, will play Right Guard and Tackle respectively. There isn't much experience in reserve, but all the new starters are seniors, which should help. There may be less dropoff than one would imagine. At least three of the starting receivers possess All-Conference talent. Slotback Greg Salas (106-1590-8) is the pick of the bunch. He was voted 1st Team WAC, but needs to step it up in big games. The other Slotback, former Running Back Kealoha Pilares (66-690-4), is quick and dangerous in the open field. WR Rodney Bradley (31-575-5) was lost for the season after six games, and could be their most dangerous weapon. Junior Royce Pollard (15-157-0) should benefit from the attention paid to the other receivers. There is talent and reserve and this unit could be the best in the conference. If Green can make some plays on the ground and divert some of the attention from the passing attack, the offense could be back to its potent self in 2010.
Defense
Although the defense has never been outstanding, it has been efficient, coming up with turnovers and key stops when needed. This has been lacking the last two seasons, which must be distressing for McMackin, a defensive coach. Vaughn Meatoga (15 tkls, 1.5 tfls, 1 sack) returns at Tackle, but needs to provide more of a push up front. Perhaps the new starter beside him, Arizona transfer Kaniela Tuipulotu, can inspire him. Elliott Purcell (30 tkls, 1 tfl) returns, but has lost his spot at End to junior Liko Satele (20 tkls, 1 sack, 1 PBU), a six game starter last season. Senior Kamalu Umu, a transfer from Charleston Southern is expected to provide a pass rush. There are some experience reserves, but whether they can get the job done is another matter. Three new Linebackers needed to be found in the offseason, and three underclassmen will take the spots. Redshirt freshman George Daily-Lyles mans the middle, with sophomore Paipai Falemalu (20tkls, 3.5 tfls, 2 sacks, 1 PBU) on the Strongside and junior Corey Paredes (54 tkls, 2 tfls, 4 sacks) opposite him. They have some decent reserves and look to be in okay shape. The whole secondary returns and should be much better than last season. Corners Lametrius Davis (41 tkls, .5 tfl, 8 PBUs, 3 INTs) and Jeramy Bryant (45 tkls, 3 tfls, 5 PBUs) will make life difficult for opposing receivers. Davis could push for conference honors too. FS Mana Silva (74 tkls, 2 tfls, 4 PBUs, 6 INTs) is a ball-hawk, while Spencer Smith (77 tkls, 2 tfls, 1 sack, 7 PBUs, 1 INT) does a good job riding shotgun. Their primary reserves from last season also return, meaning this is a well-experienced crew. If the secondary can hold the fort while the front seven gels, the defense could be tough by the time conference play kicks in.
Special Teams
Scott Enos (100% PATs, 12/19 FGs – 47 long) wasn't guaranteed from any distance last season, and doesn't have great range. If he struggles again this season, he risks losing his job to freshman Tyler Hadden. Punter Alex Dunnachie (39.2 gross, 36.5 net) isn't under the same pressure, but could improve his averages. His hang-time is exceptional though. Pollard (22.1 ypr) and Receiver Allen Sampson will return kicks, while Salas (11.4) will return punts after filling in occasionally last year. Kick coverage could have improved, but the punt coverage unit was one of the best in the FBS. If they can fix the placekicking concerns, this will be a good unit this year.
Next Season
The one thing Hawaii has in its favor every season is home-field advantage. Not just the distance, but the fans (and they're all Warrior fans) make it hard for opposing teams, particularly on offense. Unfortunately, the reverse tends to be true too. They could potentially win three games on their OOC schedule. With a (too close for comfort) loss to Southern Cal and a win over Army already in the bag, a trip to Colorado and a home game against FCS Charleston Southern are very manageable. In-conference they have trips to Fresno State, Utah State, Boise State and New Mexico State, and another 2-3 wins is possible there. The offense should be strong this season and the defense should be better, so watch for Hawaii to get back to a bowl this season after a one year hiatus.
Idaho
Last Year
After spending most of the decade in the doldrums, and winning just three games in Coach Robb Akey's first two seasons, the Vandals went 8-5 (4-4 WAC) and won a thrilling battle with Bowling Green in the Humanitarian Bowl. The quest now is to sustain it. Last season's offense was explosive, finishing 9th in yardage and 4th in scoring, and were good running or passing, although passing was their forté. The defense, on the other hand, didn't lack talent, just consistency. Most of the team returns this season, especially on that suspect defense, but whether they can continue to succeed in an increasingly tough conference is in doubt.
Offense
QB Nathan Enderle (61.5% comp, 2906 yds, 22 TDs, 9 INTs) was a big part of the offense last season. He's been a starter almost from Day 1, but last year he cut his interception total in half from his previous two seasons. He's a big, strong-armed guy with almost zero mobility, and he'll have multi-interception games, but he has this offense humming right now. Brian Reader (58% comp, 801 yds, 6 TDs, 6 INTs) will back him up again and is a reliable reserve. Princeton McCarty (115-680-3) was the 2nd leading rusher last season. He's not big, but he's quick and sprinter fast and won't have to carry the load alone. Deonte' Jackson (87-387-2) will back him up. The offensive line is a big question mark with only LT Matt Cleveland returning. The new starters will be JUCO LG Sam Tupua; senior C Clell Hasenbank, a former JUCO who has yet to play a down in the FBS; senior RG Tevita Halaholo, who played in five games last season; and junior RT Tyrone Novikoff, who has previous starting experience. The line may be green, but they average 325 lbs. The reserve strength is a similar blend of size and inexperience. The receivers should be a solid group. Eric Greenwood (32-401-3) has great potential and should emerge as the top target this year. Junior Marsel Posey (1-8-0) and sophomore Justin Veltung (1-7-0) will start alongside him. The reserve strength is excellent with some of last year's top performers in the mix. TE Daniel Hardy (39-691-3) is a valuable part of the attack and could be even better this season. Freshman Taylor Elmo will back him up. If the offense line can keep the heat off Enderle and make some holes for the runners, the offense should be on a par with last season's. More than likely it won't exceed it though.
Defense
The unit may have blown hot and cold last season, but ten starters return this season and they could be in much better shape with the added experience. The four starting Linemen return, but End Andre Ferguson (34 tkls, 3 tfls, .5 sacks) lost his spot to sophomore Benson Mayowa (6 tkls, 1 tfl, 1 sack). 2nd Team WAC Aaron Lavarias (54 tkls, 4 tfls, 4 sacks, 2 PBUs) returns at the other End. Michael Cosgrove (33 tkls, 1 tfl, 2 sacks) and Jonah Sataraka (31 tkls, 1.5 tfls, 4 sacks, 2 PBUs) will man the middle again. The depth has improved and some good recruits were signed, so there should be some improvement here. JoJo Dickson (79 tkls, 3.5 tfls, 1 sack, 2 PBUs, 2 INTs) was 2nd Team WAC last season but moves to the middle this year, relegating Paul Senscall (51 tkls, 4.5 tfls) to backup duty. Robert Siavii (58 tkls, 3.5 tfls, 3 PBUs) returns on the Weakside with JUCO Homer Mauga taking over the Strongside. The reserve strength is very good and the Vandals should have their strongest Linebacking unit in years. The secondary loses one starter but Shiloh Keo (113 tkls, 4 tfls, 5 PBUs, 3 INTs) - the star of the defense - returns at Strong Safety. He was 1st Team WAC last season and should push for 1st Team honors again. Three Corners are back, but Kenneth Patten (51 tkls, 2 tfls, 3 PBUs, 1 INT) and Aaron Grymes (43 tkls, 1 tfl, 2 PBUs) will split the duties at one spot. Senior Isaac Butts (41 tkls, 2 tfls, 5 PBUs), who started the first seven but missed the rest through injury, is back at the other spot. The only position with a completely new starter is Free Safety, and sophomore Gary Walker (29 tkls) picked up some valuable reps last season. The depth is pretty good too. On paper, this is a solid looking defense, but paper doesn't acknowledge inconsistency, Idaho's biggest bugbear. If they can iron the wrinkles out, this could be a fin unit.
Special Teams
Trey Farquhar (50/51 PATs, 13/19 FGs- 54 long) had his moments as a freshman, and will be expected to build on it this season. Punter Bobby Cowan (43.0 gross, 34.0 net) has a good leg, but needs to help out a struggling punt coverage unit more. Kama Bailey (20.6 ypr) and Veltung (25.0 ypr, 1 TD) will return kicks again this season, and Keo (10.2 ypr) will handle punts. Both coverage units were poor. If they can be tightened up, this could be a fine group in 2010
Next Season
The Vandals were a surprise bowl team last season, and won't sneak up on anyone this season. The team returns almost intact, offensive line aside, and could improve in leaps and bounds this year. The OOC schedule is winnable. A 1-1 start courtesy of a good win over FCS North Dakota and a bad loss to Nebraska will be followed by UNLV at home, then trips to Colorado State and Western Michigan. These three are very winnable. In-conference, they travel to Louisiana Tech, Hawaii, Utah State and Fresno State. They have the firepower to win 9 or 10 games, but need to cut down on the defense shooting too many blanks as they did in 2009.
Louisiana Tech
Last Year
After an 8-5 finish in 2008, the Bulldogs slipped to 4-8 (3-5 WAC) last season. A tough OOC schedule didn't help, but four close losses suggest that the offense and defense just couldn't do enough to finish the job. Neither unit was bad, but both were middle of the pack. Coach Derek Dooley has since left to take over the same job at Tennessee, and Sonny Dykes was brought in to replace him. Dooley ran a traditional offense, whereas Dykes is a disciple of Texas Tech's system. A decent recruiting class will help put some of the pieces in place for the new offense, but many of the players were brought in for the old system. The defense should maintain some consistency as co-ordinator Tommy Spangler was retained. How soon the players can pick up the new offensive system will determine how well LT does this year.
Offense
Musical Quarterbacks looks to be the order of the season, with Ross Jenkins (59.3% comp, 2095 yds, 17 TDs, 5 INTs), Colby Cameron (53.8% comp, 142 yds), Auburn transfer Steven Ensminger and JUCO Tarik Hakmi all looking to take a shot. Jenkins started last season but was nothing more than a game manager, not what's required in this offense. Cameron is currently number one, but may change a lot over the course of the season – something that doesn't bode well for any offense. Tennessee transfer, junior Lennon Creer, will be the primary ball carrier. He was a top recruit, and should do well in this system. JUCO Ray Holley will back him up. Four starters return on the offensive line, but C Lon Roberts will back up at LG this season. LT Rob McGill has been 2nd Team WAC the last two years and should be in the running again this year. RG Jared Miles and RT Cudahy Harmon have plenty of experience. The new C will be sophomore Stephen Warner, who started 3 games and played in 8 as a freshman, and the new LG will be Kevin Saia, who started 3 and played in 6. There is good depth, but the problem with this line is that it as recruited to run block and now must learn the wide splits and pass blocking techniques of Dykes offense. Consider it a question mark. Four receivers are used in this system, but two who were tabbed to start were dismissed before the season. The starters will be redshirt freshman Jacarri Jackson, Tennessee transfer Ahmad Paige, redshirt freshman Richie Casey and JUCO Taulib Ikharo. This is a green starting unit, although there are some decent reserves, but they have the ability to produce in this system. This offense looks like it will struggle early, if not all season, but could be one to watch in a year or two.
Defense
The defense may be needed to carry the load early this season, and they have some good returning talent to spearhead the charge. DE Matt Broha (36 tkls, 1 tfl, 4 sacks, 2 PBUs) is the sole returning starter on the Defensive Line. Opposite him will be junior Christian Lacey (21 tkls, 1.5 tfls, 1 sack, 1 PBU). The Tackles will be senior Mason Hitt (33 tkls, 1 tfl, 2 sacks) and senior Ramone Randle (16 tkls). There could be issues stopping the run with this inexperienced group. At Linebacker, 1st Team WAC Adrien Cole (93 tkls, 2 tfls, 2 sacks, 1 PBU) and Jay Dudley (75 tkls, 1.5 tfls, 2.5 sacks, 1 PBU) return to patrol the exteriors. Tank Calais (77 tkls, 2.5 tfls, 1 sack, 4 PBUs, 2 INTs) is back in the middle. The reserves are decent, but not the same quality as the starters. In the secondary, no full-time starters return, but players with starting experience are plentiful. The Corners will be seniors Olajuwon Paige (21 tkls, 2 PBUs, 1 INT), who started 4 games, and Josh Victorian (31 tkls, 3.5 tfls, 4 PBUs, 3 INTs), who started 5. Sophomores CJ Broades (18 tkls), a 2 game starter, and Chad Boyd (31 tkls, .5 tfl, 2 PBUs), who started 3, will be the Free and Strong Safeties respectively. Depth is solid and the unit should be pretty good in 2010. The back seven should be decent, but they may struggle up front against strong running attacks.
Special Teams
Kicker Matt Nelson (42/43 PATs, 12/16 FGs - 46) had a solid freshman season, but has to do better on kickoffs. Sophomore Ryan Allen took the punting job from Cade Glasgow in the offseason. He doesn't have to do much to improve on Glasgow's production. Phillip Livas (27.0 ypr, 1 TD) and Lyle Fitte (22.2 ypr) will return kicks, with Livas (13.4 ypr, 1 TD) also returning punts. The coverage teams were solid, although the kick coverage unit allowed a TD. This should be a good group again this year.
Next Season
The Bulldogs have the right idea, introducing a high-flying passing attack which should fit in nicely in the WAC. The pieces aren't all in place yet, and settling on a QB might take a while, so this may not be their season. The OOC schedule isn't too easy. LT started 1-1, struggling to beat FCS Grambling and being shown how to pass the ball by Texas A&M and Jerrod Johnson. Next up are visits from Navy and Southern Miss. In-conference, they have trips to Hawaii, Boise State, New Mexico State and San Jose State. The WAC is tough this year with any of the teams improving, and matching last year's record may be the best the Bulldogs can hope for.
Nevada
Last Year
Could the real Nevada Wolf Pack please stand up? Nevada were two different teams last season – the one that started 0-3 and finished 0-2 and looked listless throughout; and the one that had an 8 game winning streak with only team losing by less than a score. To be fair, they played Boise State tough, and the final score of 44-33 wasn't necessarily indicative of how the game went. They just let the Broncos run away with it at the end. It seems the team goes in the tank if it doesn't start fast, and this will have to be fixed this season if they hope to unseat Boise as WAC champions. They are the second best team in the conference; have the second best QB; the best RB; and the reigning WAC Defensive Player of the Year. In short, this team is loaded. Many of their stars are seniors, and this could be the last chance to compete for WAC honors for the foreseeable future. The question is whether QB Colin Kaepernick (2nd Team WAC) and company can come up with the big wins this year.
Offense
Kaepernick is possibly the best dual-threat QB in the FBS. His running ability (161-1183-16) is unquestioned, but his passing game (58.9% comp, 2052 yds, 20 TDs, 6 INTs) is under-rated. He's smart with the football - only two of those picks came in the last 11 games - and has a cannon for an arm. He does tend to struggle in situations where he has to pass though. Coach Chris Ault hopes he can improve in his final season. Backing him up again will be Tyler Lantrip (33.3% comp, 31 yds), who has little experience but has flashed good running ability (8-44-1). The Pistol offense they run is a breeding ground for 1000 yard rushers, and last season they had three (including the QB). Luke Lippincott is gone, but leading rusher Vai Taua (1st Team WAC), a fast, strong and shifty runner is back after rushing for 1345 yards and 10 TDs on just 172 carries. What's even more impressive is he did it in 10 games and was held under 100 yards just once. Mike Ball (23-220-5) is similar in almost every way to Taua and will back him up this season after showing great talent in limited carries. He is prone to injury though. There are plenty of other talented Backs ready to step in when the opportunities arise. Three starters return from the last year's offensive line that led the way for an offense that was 1st nationally in rushing yardage and allowed just 12 sacks. ST Steve Haley, SG John Bender and WG Chris Barker are big but athletic, a valuable asset in this system. The new starters, junior C Jeff Meads and senior WT Jose Acuna, have limited experience but should work out fine. The depth is inexperienced, and the unit should suffer some dropoff, but should be solid by the time the season draws to a close. The receivers haven't been asked much more than to move the chains in this offense, and WAC Freshman Player of the Year Brandon Wimberly (53-733-6) excels in this regard. His two fellow starters from last year, Tray Session (30-368-2) and Chris Wellington (24-327-1) also return, but only Wellington keeps his job. The new starter will be JUCO Rishard Matthews, who has been impressive since arriving on campus. There is some good depth, although not particularly experienced, but the unit should excel with increased emphasis on the passing attack this season. 2nd Team WAC TE Virgil Green (23-360-5) would put up monster numbers in another offense, but is still a useful target here. Junior Zach Sudfeld will back him up. The offense should roll again next season, but needs to be tougher in big games.
Defense
Last year's unit had mixed success, finishing 22nd against the run and notching 31 sacks, but was 119th in pass defense with nearly 300 ypg allowed. Andy Buh was brought in as defensive co-ordinator to fix the problem, and has six of last season's starters left to work with. DE Dontay Moch (61 tkls, 13.5 tfls, 6.5 sacks, 3 PBUs) is the aforementioned DPOY and DT Zack Madonick (26 tkls, 3.5 tfls, 1.5 sacks, 1 PBU) also returns to help stabilise a Line that loses Kevin Basped to the NFL. The new starters are senior Ryan Coulson (26 tkls, 2 tfls, 2.5 sacks) at End and junior Brett Roy (22tkls, 1 tfl) at Tackle. There is a lack of experience among the reserves, but an influx of JUCO talent should ensure the unit stays strong in 2010. At Linebacker, SLB Brandon Marshall (61 tkls, 8.5 tfls, 1 sack, 4 PBUs) and 2nd Team WAC MLB JM Johnson (58 tkls, 9.5 tfls, 2 sacks, 5 PBUs, 1 INT) are back and both are superb. Senior Kevin Grimes (25 tkls, 1.5 tfls) and JUCO DeAndre Broughton will split the Weakside role. This unit is more experienced than last season and should be top notch again this year. The secondary has been a constant thorn in Ault's side, but perhaps having both Corners back will help matters this season. Isaiah Frey (29 tkls, 1 tfl, 5 PBUs, 1 INT) and Doyle Miller (33 tkls, 1 tfl, 6 PBUs, 1 INT) should be much improved this season. They'll have to be with two new Safeties. Sophomore Marlon Johnson (2 tkls) and JUCO Chris Boudreaux will share the Free Safety spot, with sophomore Duke Williams (29 tkls) at Strong Safety. Williams has flashed some excellent ability. The run defense should continue to be tough, but a serious improvement in the secondary is needed. They have the players, now it's time to be efficient.
Special Teams
Kicker Ricky Drake (60/64 PATs, 6/9 FGs- 40 long) is okay, but missed three FGs in the 30-39 range. He needs to sort this out and be more reliable. Punter Brad Langley (41.1 gross, 37.4 net) is rock solid. Ball (24.8 ypr) and Matthews will return kicks, with Matthews also returning punts. Despite allowing a kick returned for a TD, both coverage units were fine. A little more consistency from Drake and the unit will be one of the best in the country.
Next Season
Good coach? – check. Talent? – check. System? – check. Nevada has everything in place for a shot at WAC title this season. Starting with FCS Eastern Washington is a much better idea than Notre Dame. The OOC schedule is easier this year – EWU, Colorado State and California at home and BYU away – all are winnable (they've won the first two already). A 4-0 start heading into conference play would give them a major boost. They should roll in the conference too, until 27th November when they travel to Boise. A win there should win them the conference them the crown. They could potentially go unbeaten this season. They just have to win the big games.
New Mexico State
Last Year
Hal Mumme's four years here were pretty bad, with just 11 wins. The passing game was excellent, but they couldn't run the ball or stop anybody and Mumme was fired. In comes DeWayne Walker last year and the Aggies were able to run the ball effectively, but couldn't pass the ball and still couldn't stop anyone. They finished 3-10 (1-7 WAC), matching the previous season's record, but there is cause for optimism. The running game should be good again, and the defense's struggles last year often had to do with an impotent offense that was plum last in total yardage and scoring. Some good recruiting, including a number of JUCOs who appear ready to go, means this team could be one to watch over the next couple of years.
Offense
Both of last year's QBs, Jeff Fleming (50.6% comp, 789 yds, 4 TDs, 12 INTs) and Trevor Walls (48.9% comp, 352 yds, 2 TDs, 3 INTs), return but neither showed they were up to the task. JUCO Matt Christian will take over the starting role this season. He's a good leader, smart, and gets rid of the football quickly. Freshman Andrew Manley will back him up. Both players are good recruits, but neither have any experience at this level. They do have the benefit of handing off to Seth Smith (246-1016-1). He's quick and tough, and capable of carrying a heavy load. His reserve will be JUCO All-American Kenny Turner, who possesses excellent speed. Ronald Opetaia (1-0-0) is a solid lead blocker. Three starters return on the offensive line, LT Dwayne Barton, C Mike Grady and RG Sioeli Fakalata, all of who should be more comfortable with a year in the new system under their belt. Joining them this season will be sophomore LG Maveu Heimuli, who started his freshman season but was on a LDS mission from '07-'09, and junior RT Ruben Escarsega. There is some talent and experience in reserve and this is probably the best Line they've had in a while here. The receivers had non-descript seasons, but that could be due to the QB issues. Todd Lee (28-280-1) and Marcus Allen (26-308-2) are both back to show the lack of production wasn't their fault. Depth is better and so should the unit be. TE Kyle Hipp (4-23-0) should be more productive with better service, he definitely has the ability. Senior Kyle Nelson (12-112-1) will be a reliable backup. Look for the offense to be significantly improved this season.
Defense
Despite ranking 103rd in yardage and 101st in scoring, there are signs if life on defense. Three starters return on the defensive line. Both Ends Pierre Fils (53 tkls, .5 tfls, 7 sacks, 1 PBU) and Donte Savage (53 tkls, 5.5 tfls, 6 sacks, 2 PBUs) do a god job of getting after QBs. Nose Tackle John Finau (30 tkls, 3.5 tfls, 2 PBUs) needs to get more of a push inside. Senior Kawika Shook (23 tkls, .5 tfl, 1 sack) will join him this season. Recruiting has upgraded the quality in reserve and the Line should be tougher against the run this year. All three Linebackers are gone, so experience is a concern here. Junior Boyblue Aoelua (2 tkls) will man the middle, with JUCO Frank Padilla and sophomore BJ Adolpho (11tkls) on the Strong and Weakside respectively. Depth is okay, but this is the question mark of the defense. The secondary returns three starters, including 1st Team WAC Corner Davon House (68 tkls, 1 tfl, 13 PBUs, 3 INTs). Jonte Green (74 tkls, .5 tfl, 8 PBUs) is pretty good opposite him. Alphonso Powell (72 tkls, 1.5 tfls, 1 sack, 3 PBUs, 1 INT) is solid at SS, and he'll be joined by junior Donyae Coleman (7 tkls, .5 tfl, 1 sack). Depth is better, but they may struggle to top last year's ranking of 36th. They shouldn't drop too much though. The defense will be a better unit all round next year.
Special Teams
Tyler Stampler was brought in from the JUCO ranks to take over the kicking job. QB Tanner Rust will open as the Punter. Neither has kicked at this level though. Taveon Rogers will return kicks, while Coleman and Turner will return punts. Kick coverage was good, put the punt unit needs work. This unit is question mark with all the new faces.
Next Season
So can the team with the biggest bowl drought in the FBS (50 years) finally get back to the promised land? Not very likely. The team should be improved, particularly on offense, but still may only win three games. Their OOC schedule has San Diego State at home (which they lost), trips to UTEP and Kansas, and then in-state rivals New Mexico at home. In-conference, they travel to Fresno State, Idaho, Utah State and Nevada. The WAC as a conference has improved this year, making it tough to guarantee wins. The Aggies will win games, but despite improvement, probably no more than four. If they keep recruiting at this level though, they'll be a team to watch.
San Jose State
Last Year
After a successful 9-4 season in 2006, the Spartans wallowed in mediocrity the next two years before slipping to 2-10 (1-7) last season, leading to the retirement of Coach Dick Tomey. The offense was poor, ranking 115th in yards and 118th in scoring, while the defense wasn't much better ranking 109th in yards and scoring. There were some bright spots – QB Jordan LaSecla had his moments despite playing behind a Line that allowed 34 sacks and paved the way for just 76.7 yards a game. New Coach Mike MacIntyre, who was the FBS Assistant Coach of the year for his work as defensive co-ordinator at Duke, will have many of last season's starters back to work with, as well as three from the year before. New systems will be installed, with a traditional offense and 4-3 defense being brought in.
Offense
After a spirited offseason battle with JUCO Matt Faulkner, LaSecla (59.9% comp, 1926 yds, 10 TDs, 11 INTs) got the starting nod before the season began. He started the last 8 games last season, and wasn't bad. He's got good size with a decent arm, although he's not a running threat. The new offense should suit him better too. Faulkner will back him up. RB Brandon Rutley (30-59-2) is a superb athlete and will get the lion's share of the carries this season. Last year's leading rusher, Lamon Muldrow (131-592-3) and JUCO David Freeman will chip in too. SJSU will use a Fullback this season and sophomore Wade O'Neill will be the man. Helping him make holes will be an offensive that returns two starters (LT Fred Koloto is out with a knee injury) and should be improved on last year's weak unit. LG Isaac Leatiota and C Robbie Reed will be the leaders of a talented but inexperienced group. Sophomore David Quessenberry played in every game last season and takes over for the injured Koloto. True freshman Nicholas Kaspar will start at Right Guard with experienced junior Andre Vargas at Tackle. If Koloto can come back, this unit could be good, but as it is it has the size to open holes in WAC defenses. With Marquis Avery ruled ineligible for the season, receiver has taken a big hit. Jalal Beauchman (35-378-4) returns at one spot, with a pair of redshirt freshman, Chandler Jones and Noel Grigsby, at the other. There is some okay depth, but a number one target needs to be found. TE Ryan Otten (10-78-0) will be featured more in the new offense, and has the size and skill set to succeed. Senior John Konye will back him up. This offense has only one way to go this season, and that is up. Expect modest improvement in 2010.
Defense
Defense was the strength of the team under Tomey, and the Spartans were +27 for turnovers for his five years here. That includes a -4 tally last season, so new defensive co-ordinator Kent Baer will try to get back to that level. Only Pablo Garcia (23 tkls, 1 tfl, 4 sacks) returns from last season's defensive line, but it may not be bad, as they couldn't stop the run (259.2 ypg) or rush the passer (20 sacks). Joining him in the middle will be JUCO Andrew Moeaki, who weighs 290 lbs. The new Ends will be sophomore Travis Johnson (18 tkls, .5 tfl, 2 sacks), who started two games last season, and senior Mohamed Marah (4 tkls, 1 sack), who missed all but two games. He has starting experience, and being a former Running Back, is athletic and fast. Watch for the sack total to improve this season. There is good experience among the reserves, and depth has been bolstered by JUCO transfers. This should be a much improved unit. Two starting Linebackers should be returning, but MLB Pompey Festejo (83 tkls, 6 tfls, 2 sacks, 2 PBUs) will probably miss the season with a broken foot. Tiuke Tuipulotu (52 tkls, 2.5 tfls, 1 sack, 2 PBUs, 1 INT) returns at OLB though. Opposite him will be sophomore Kyler O'Neal (6 tkls), who'll split snaps with freshman Keith Smith. The middle will be manned by another freshman, Vince Buhagiar. There isn't a lot of experience among the reserves, and the loss Festejo could be catastrophic for the unit. The secondary could be strong with two starters coming back, despite the loss of Tanner Burns. Corner Peyton Thompson (48 tkls, 1 tfl, 9 PBUs, 2 INTs) is solid and is joined by SS Duke Ihenacho (89 tkls, 2.5 tfls, 6 PBUs, 1 INTs), who was 1st Team WAC. The new additions are JUCO CB Brandon Driver and junior FS Alex Germany (10 tkls), who started two games last year. There is experience among the reserves. The defense struggled to stop anyone last season, but there is a decent corps there, and if the young players retain their composure, this could be a good unit in 2010.
Special Teams
Solid Kicker Tyler Cope was one of the desertions in the offseason, so redshirt freshman Harrison Waid will step in to replace him. He was good in the offseason, and will punt this season too. Driver will return kicks with Rutley on punts. The team struggled in this department last season, so there is plenty of room for improvement. Both coverage units need to improve. This unit could be a problem in 2010, something a struggling team doesn't need.
Next Season
Coming into the offseason, the team looked to be in decent shape, then people left the team AND the injury bug struck, leaving SJSU thin where they should be deep. The offense should be able to move the ball some, but the defense needs to grow up in a hurry. Starting the season at Alabama and Wisconsin doesn't help matters. The other OOC games are home games against FCS Southern Utah and Cal-Davis, but they sandwich a trip to Utah. The in-conference away schedule brings visits to Nevada, New Mexico State, Hawaii and Idaho. This is going to be a tough season for the Spartans and MacIntyre, who may actually improve but still only win 2 or 3 games.
Utah State
Last Year
The last time the Aggies didn't have a losing season was '96, so last season the expectations shouldn't have too high. However, there are signs of life in the program that point to good times ahead, maybe even as early as this season. The offense was excellent last year, ranking 12th in yards, although ranking 47th in scoring needs to be worked upon. The defense was the issue as usual, ranking 113th in total defense and 107th in points allowed. There are a number of players with starting experience returning, most importantly QB Diondre Borel, who appears to be tailor-made for the offense. If the Line, which does a fine job run-blocking, can protect him (32 sacks allowed) he could be very dangerous this season. A reshuffle on defense is on the cards, but 1st Team WAC OLB Bobby Wagner will be back to lead the charge. This could be a team to watch.
Offense
Borel (58.5% comp, 2885 yds, 17 TDs, 4 INTs) showed flashes in his first season in '08, but then exploded onto the scene last year. He's mobile (458 yds, 6 TDs) and smart with the football. He could improve his completion percentage, and he tends to hang onto the ball too long, but should make the offense a threat to score on every play in his senior year. Freshman Jeremy Higgins will back him up, which could be a problem if Borel misses significant time. RB Robert Turbin (207-1296-13) tore his ACL in spring camp and will miss some or all of the season. Until he's available, the Aggies will use a committee of Michael Smith (46-290-4), Derrvin Speight (42-210-2) and Kerwynn Williams (2-10-0). None are in Turbin's class, but all can get the job done. Three starters return from last year's offensive line, but LG Tariq Polley will be a reserve this season. LT Spencer Johnson and RG Philip Gapelu have plenty of experience and will mentor the new starters. The new Left Guard is junior Funaki Asisi, who has started in the past. Redshirt freshman Tyler Larsen will step in at Center with sophomore Oscar Molina-Sanchez at Right Tackle, who played in 8 games last year. The reserves have plenty of experience, and this unit should be much better this season. The Wide Receiver unit has plenty of talent and most have sprinter speed. Last year's top receiver, Stanley Morrison (33-616-3), was lost for the season in a non-football injury (don't ask), but the signing of JUCO talent should help overcome the loss. The starters will be JUCO Matt Austin, who missed last season with a broken foot, Eric Moats (27-400-1) and JUCO Dontel Watkins. Watch out for freshmen Travis Reynolds and Rashard Stewart. The depth is talented, but inexperienced. TE Kellen Bartlett (9-81-0) is not only a good blocker, but is capable of better production too. Junior Tarren Lloyd will back him up. Turbin (30-418-5) was a big part of the passing game last season, so expect Smith (19-220-2) and company to be involved as well. If the new receivers can compensate for the loss of Morrison, this offense could be outstanding this year.
Defense
The defense is a different matter. Coach Gary Andersen was defensive co-ordinator at Utah, so expects better from his players. They have a number of starters back, but not all will retain their jobs. DE Quinn Garner (28 tkls, 2 tfls) and DT Sean Enesi (29 tkls, 2 tfls) are back but need to be far more involved. Joining them this season will be junior Levi Koskan (19tkls, .5 tfl, 3 sacks), who was decent in brief appearances in 2009, and DT Daniel Gurrola (13 tkls, 2 tfls, 1 PBU). The reserves are experienced, but none have shown much ability so far. At Linebacker, Wagner (115 tkls, 8 tfls, 1 PBU, 2 INTs) is the playmaker, but he can't do it all himself. Junior Keiaho (36 tkls, .5 tfls, 3 sacks, 1 PBU) returns opposite him but needs to do a whole lot more. The middle will be manned by junior Kyle Gallagher (53 tkls, 2 tfls, 1.5 sacks) who was far more productive despite starting just 5 games. Depth is thin, but this could still be a decent unit though. The secondary should be the strength of the defense, with a number of experienced players. CB Chris Randle (53 tkls, 1 tfl, 1 sack, 7 PBUs, 1 INT) will be back at one spot, with Rajiric Coleman (74 tkls, 3 tfls, 5 PBUs, 2 INTs) a decent Free Safety. The other Corner will be manned by senior Curtis Marsh (32 tkls, 5 PBUs, 1 INT), who started 4 games last season after playing Running Back his first two years. The Strong Safety will be junior Walter McClenton (33 tkls, .5 sack, 1 PBU, 1 INT) who played regularly last year. A JUCO influx improves the reserve strength. The defense should be better this season, but will still be a headache for Andersen.
Special Teams
Punter Peter Caldwell (42.2 gross, 35.4 net) will also handle the kicking duties this season. He kicked well in '07-'08 before giving up the job last season. Williams (25.1) and Stewart will provide a threat on kick returns, with Williams also returning punts. Neither coverage unit was particularly impressive, but neither was awful. This unit should be okay this year.
Next Season
The goal this season is to break the Aggies' 14 year bowl drought, and they could do it. They have the personnel on offense to play with just about anyone (just ask Oklahoma) and the defense should be able to make a couple of stops this year. The OOC schedule starts with a trip to Oklahoma (which they lost 31-24), at home to Idaho State (which they won), then off to San Diego State before a home game against BYU. They could win these two games. The in-conference away schedule sends them to Louisiana Tech, Nevada, San Jose State and Boise State. If this team wins less than six games, it will be a disappointment. They won't win the WAC title, but a bowl game should be in the offing.
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