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Monday, August 16, 2010 0 comments

Big 12 South Preview

Baylor

Last Year

Baylor had high hopes of making their first bowl game in 15 years until star QB Robert Griffin injured his knee in Game 3 and was lost for the season. Coach Art Briles kept them fighting, and they were rewarded with a late win over Missouri, but ended the season 4-8 (1-7 Big 12), matching 2008's record. The offense struggled without Griffin, finishing 101st in scoring and 85th in total yardage. With the offense struggling, the defense spent too much time on the field down the stretch and finished 72nd in scoring and 94th in total yardage. They also managed only 18 sacks and 10 interceptions. The season was a disappointment but Briles, who was successful at in-state Houston, seems to have the team pointed in the right direction.

Offense

Griffin was off to a fine start (65.2% comp, 481 yds, 4 TDs) before his injury, and his replacement Nick Florence (62% comp, 1786 yds, 6 TDs, 9 INTs) isn't in his class. Both are back this season, although the big questions are whether Griffin's mobility has been greatly affected and can his knee hold up to a pounding. A better running game would help, as Baylor only managed 100.6 ypg (3.5 avg) last season. Senior Jay Finley was oft-injured last season, limiting his production to 370 yds and 1 TD on 79 carries. He is capable of better when healthy. He'll be backed up by junior Terrance Ganaway (68-200-5). When the Bears use a Fullback, they have 295 lb ex-DL Kaeron Johnson. On the offensive line, Philip Blake is one of the better Centers in the Big 12 and he'll be joined again this year by LT Danny Watkins and RT Ivory Wade, who played LG in 2009. These are a solid pairing. The new Guards will be sophomore Cameron Kaufhold and junior John Jones, both of whom have some experience. This is big (avg 308lbs), solid group and should be better next season. The receivers have good potential too. Kendall Wright led the team with 66 catches for 740 yards and 4 TDs from the slot last season. He also ran for 132 yards and a TD on 28 carries. Lanear Sampson (29-297-2) also returns after a solid season. The new starters will be senior Krys Buerck (2-8-0) in the other slot and sophomore Terrance Williams (3-61-0) on the outside. When a TE is used, Brad Taylor (13-166-1) and H-Back Jarred Salubi (19-153-0) are solid options. The backs aren't used much in the passing game, but Finley has proven he is up to the task in the past. This offense should be good as long as Griffin holds up and isn't too rusty after missing spring camp. Florence should be better after starting last year and there may be less of a dropoff if he's called upon again in 2010.

Defense

The defense returns 5 starters but could improve with a little production on offense. The line returns 2 starters, although Penn State transfer NG Phil Taylor (25 tkls, 2 tfls, .5 sack) was something of a disappointment. At 355 lbs he should be more than capable of stuffing the run inside, but suffered with poor conditioning. Joining him this season will be junior Tracy Robertson (22 tkls, 2 tfls, 3 sacks), who started 7 games at End last year. Zac Scotton (22 tkls, 1 sack) returns at End but must apply some pressure to opposing passers. Sophomore Gary Mason will also be charged with that task. The linebackers are a good group led by the sole returning starter WLB Antonio Johnson (77 tkls, 4 tfls, 2 sacks, 1 INT) at the position. He has proved to be something of a playmaker. The SLB will be junior Elliott Coffey (35 tkls, 1 tfl, 1 sack, 1 INT) who played regularly in the rotation last season. The new MLB is senior Chris Francis (45 tkls, 1 sack). There is solid depth here too. The secondary returns two experienced CBs in Chance Casey (36 tkls, 4 PBUs, 2 INTs), who started 6 games last season, and Clifton Odom (33 tkls, 6 PBUs, 1 INT), who started four. Tim Atchison will start at FS (42 tkls, 2 tfls, 5 PBUs, 1 INT) having previously played Corner. The SS will be senior Byron Landor (46 tkls, 1.5 tfls, 1 sack, 1 PBU) who started 3 games in '09. The experience in the secondary could be irrelevant if the pass rush doesn't improve though.

Special Teams

Redshirt freshman Aaron Jones will be the kicker this season after beating out incumbent Ben Parks (1 missed PAT, 4/8 FGs -41 long) in the spring, but he is untested in games. Punter Derek Epperson averaged 44.8 per punt last season (35.9 net) but also had 3 blocked. He was still voted 1st Team Big 12. That shouldn't change this season. Williams was a solid kick returner last season with an average of 24.1, but Buerck needs to do better on punt returns (6.5). Kick coverage is mediocre and punt coverage is poor. This unit needs to improve this season.

Next Season

This could be the year the Bears break their bowl drought. Their OOC schedule has a trip to TCU which probably won't go well, but FCS Sam Houston State, Buffalo and Rice and more than beatable. The South division schedule is always harsh, although Oklahoma State is in transition, but they get both Kansas teams and Colorado from the North. They have some talent across the board and can pull off 6 or 7 wins, but they need a full season from Griffin, the rebirth of the running game and a pass rush to make it happen. Anything less than 3-1 start to the season will hurt too.

Oklahoma

Last Year

Oklahoma had high hopes for another National Championship run last season, but BYU put paid to those dreams early on knocking out QB Sam Bradford and beating the Sooners 14-13. Bradford tried gamely to come back but gave up after three games. Freshman Landry Jones was thrust into the spotlight and it was a bit much expecting him to replicate Bradford from the get-go. He was somewhat inconsistent but had a decent season. RB DeMarco Murray's injury woes didn't help the cause either. OU went just 8-5 (5-3 Big 12) and ended up in the Sun Bowl (which they won) instead of a BCS bowl. It wasn't an awful season – the defense was superb as usual and WR Ryan Broyles was excellent as a sophomore. But Sooner fans expect better, and this team has the talent to compete every year, regardless of injuries, and last season was a major disappointment.

Offense

Landry completed 58.1% of his passes for 3198 yards and 26 TDs, although he did throw 14 interceptions (5 against Nebraska). He will be better this season with a year's experience and starter's reps in spring and fall camp. He'll be backed up by redshirt freshman Drew Allen who was one of the top HS QBs in the country. DeMarco Murray (171-705-8) should be at full strength when the season kicks off and if he can stay healthy, he has the talent to have a monster season. Senior Mossis Madu (5-117-0) backed up at slot receiver last season, but returns to give Murray a breather when needed. When OU uses a Fullback, redshirt freshman Marshall Musil will step in. The line was inconsistent last season and brings back three starters, but only two make the 2 deep this year. LG Stephen Good and C Ben Habern will be joined by junior LT Donald Stephenson, sophomore RG Tyler Evans and senior RT Erik Mensik (who has also started at TE!). Cory Brandon is the odd man out. This is a line with plenty of experience and depth. Ryan Broyles (89-1120-15) was excellent in the slot last season, and should be even better with a more experienced QB throwing to him. Broyles is a threat to score whenever he has the ball in his hands. Dejuan Miller (36-434-1) also returns and should improve his production. The third receiver will be freshman Kenny Stills. There is talent and experience in reserve too, but they must cut out the drops which were a problem last season. The Tight End is a big part of this offense and junior Trent Ratterree (11-152-0) will start, although fellow junior James Hanna (6-48-0) should see plenty of action too. Murray (41-522-4) is a big part of the passing game, and Madu (7-69-0) is more than capable too. This unit could explode this season.

Defense

Only 5 starters return from last season's 8th ranked unit, and Gerald McCoy's (#3 draft choice) presence in the interior line will be missed most of all. His running mate from last year, Adrian Taylor (37 tkls, 3.5 for loss, 3.5 sacks), returns to help solidify the middle. Joining him will be sophomore Jamarcus McFarland (8 tkls, 2.5 sacks). Jeremy Beal (70 tkls, 8 tfls, 11 sacks, 3 PBUs, 1 INT) reclaims his spot at one End and will be joined by junior Frank Alexander (23 tkls, 5.5 tfls, 1.5 sacks, 2 PBUs) who was a valuable part of the rotation in '09. WLB Travis Lewis (109 tkls, 8.5 tfls, 1 sack, 2 PBUs, 1 INT) is the sole returning Linebacker, but he's a good one. Redshirt freshman Tom Wort will man the middle and much is expected of him. The SLB will be sophomore Ronnell Lewis (22 tkls, 1.5 tfls, 1 sack). The talent here is unquestioned, but there is a severe dearth of experience. SS Sam Proctor (44 tkls, 1 tfl and 2 PBUs) and FS Quinton Carter (88 tkls, 2.5 tfls, 5 PBUs, 4 INTs) both return from last season's squad. Carter was 2nd Team Big 12. Sophomore Demontre Hurst (14 tkls, 1 sack, 2 PBUs) and senior Jonathon Nelson (42 tkls, 1 sack, 2 PBUs, 3 INTs) will be the corners. This defense is loaded with talent, as an Oklahoma defense should be, but there are a lot of young players taking key roles and it could be costly this season.

Special Teams

Kicker Patrick O'Hara (6/9 FGs – 47 long) took over the job at Kicker from Jimmy Stevens (11/13 FGs – 39 long) and will keep it, at least to start the season, in 2010. Punter Tress Way (45.7 gross, 40.3 net) was 2nd Team Big 12 last season and should vie for 1st Team honors in 2010. Mau averaged 21.4 ypr returning kicks but must improve on that. Broyles will help out there and also return punts, where he excels (31-492-1). The kick coverage unit allowed a TD but was otherwise sound, the punt coverage was fantastic (1.8 ypr). If O'Hara (or Stevens) can solidify the kicker spot, this should be a good group again in '10.

Next Season

The Sooner faithful expect the team to compete for National Championships every season with no excuses. That young defense will have to grow up in a hurry, because after the season opener at home to Utah State, they play home to Florida State and that tricky Air Force offense, then off to Cincinnati and back home to face Texas before a bye week. After the bye they face the potent offenses of Missouri and Texas A&M away, and Texas Tech at home. Unless the defense gels quickly, there could be shootouts galore in store. It would be easy to write off the Sooners, but it's never a good idea. Texas are in a similar situation, as are many other rivals. A 10 win season and a trip to the conference championship is probably in the offing.

Oklahoma State

Last Year

This was meant to be the Cowboys year. They were loaded on offense and defense and were a trendy dark horse for the Big 12 championship. Early in the season, things started to go wrong. The defense got shredded by Houston in an early loss, star RB Kendall Hunter suffered an injury-plagued season, top WR Dez Bryant was suspended for the season by the NCAA and Zac Robinson struggled without his favorite target. They got hammered by Texas and Oklahoma and then lost to similarly struggling Mississippi in the Cotton Bowl. It wasn't all bad – they finished 9-4 (6-2 Big 12), Keith Toston had a fine season filling in for Hunter and they may have discovered their QB of the future in Brandon Weeden. But the opportunity for a championship may have passed for the immediate future.

Offense

QB Zac Robinson's career came to a disappointing close in his final season when he completed 59.8% of his passes for 2084 yards and 15 TDs against 12 interceptions, well short of his capabilities. He missed some time due to injury and looked lost at others. 26 year old junior Weeden (62.5% comp, 248 yds, 4 TDs, 1 INT) played well when given the chance and led a comeback victory against Colorado. He'll be handed the keys to the offense this season and he has a strong arm and the maturity to handle the responsibility. OSU is changing to a system akin to Texas Tech's, and Weeden appears to be a good match. Backing him up will be freshman Johnny Deaton. Another player who could be primed to succeed in the new offense is RB Hunter (89-382-1). He had 1555 yards and 16 TDs in 2008 and is an excellent receiver. If he can stay healthy, he should have another big year. Sophomore Travis Miller (13-59-0) is the chief reserve. When the Cowboys need a Fullback, senior Bryant Ward will step in. Only RG Lane Taylor returns from last year's line, and he is a sophomore, so veteran leadership could be a problem on the line. Joining him will be juniors LT Nick Martinez, LG Jonathon Rush, C Grant Garner and redshirt freshman RT Parker Graham. They are all inexperienced, as is the depth. Hubert Anyiam (42-515-3) is the lone returning starter in the receiving corps. He'll be joined by junior Josh Cooper (20-234-1), who started 4 games and sophomores Tracy Moore (11-183-3) and Justin Blackmon (20-260-2). The group gained some valuable experience last year and should perform well in 2010. Depth could be a problem though. Pencil a big "?" beside this offense this season.

Defense

The defense returns more starters than the offense, but that's just 3. Both Defensive Ends return from a defense that mustered a decent 29 sacks, but they had just 8 of them. Ugo Chinasa (30 tkls, 3 tfls, 6.5 sacks, 2 PBUs) was the better pass rusher. Jamie Blatnick (28 tkls, 2 tfls, 1.5 sacks) needs to step it up this season. The new tackles will be a pair of seniors, Chris Donaldson (9 tkls, 1 sack) and Shane Jarka (18 tkls, 3.5 tfls, 1.5 sacks). Neither is too experienced, as with the reserves, but they are much bigger. All the Linebackers will be new this year, although MLB Orie Lemon is a former starter who missed last year due to injury. He had a fine '08 season and the team hope he can recapture that form. The SLB will be junior James Thomas (18 tkls), while the weakside will be manned by Justin Gent (27 tkls, 2 tfls, 1 sack, 1 PBU). Experienced depth is a concern. SS Markelle Martin (45 tkls, 1 tfl, 11 PBUs) is the sole remaining member of last year's starting secondary. Junior Johnny Thomas (25 tkls, 1 PBU) will man the Free Safety spot. The corners will be sophomore Brodrick Brown (7 tkls), who started 1 game last year, and senior Andrew McGee (32 tkls, 1 tfl, 6 PBUs, 1 INT), who also started a game and played in 10 others. This is a very inexperienced unit and could struggle this season.

Special Teams

Kicker Dan Bailey made 13/18 FGs (51 long) last year and should be better this year. Punter Quinn Sharp averaged 45.1 gross but a 36.0 net. With Perrish Cox off to the NFL, new returners must be found. Victor Johnson will return kicks this season after returning 8 for 145 yards last season. Cooper will return punts. Kick and punt coverage was very poor in 2009, but Cowboys' special teams tend to be good so there's no reason to suspect otherwise this year.

Next Season

The Cowboy's have a relatively easy OOC schedule with weak Washington State and Louisiana-Lafayette, but it could be a mistake to overlook Troy and Tulsa. They also get Nebraska and the two Kansas teams from the North. With only 5 starters in total back and a severe lack of experience across the board, the Cowboys could be propping up the division this season. If the Cowboy's make it to a bowl game, it will be a tribute to Coach Mike Gundy.

Texas

Last Year

The Longhorns were poised for a championship run last season (aren't they always) before graduation would rob them of key starters and they'd need to reload. They came close, really close. Texas went 13-1, beating all before them, including a closer than expected victory over Nebraska in the Big 12 Championship game before falling foul of Alabama in the National Championship game. Losing QB Colt McCoy 5 plays into the final hurt, especially as relatively untested freshman Garrett Gilbert was forced to step in and play. He played well under the circumstances, throwing 2 TDs and getting UT within a FG before 'bama pulled away. Texas fans will always wonder how it would have gone if McCoy had remained, but it's hard to say as both coaches changed their game plans accordingly. To be honest, both O and D Lines were being shoved around and the Tide ran for over 200 yards. Otherwise, the season was a resounding success. Coach Mack Brown has done a superb job here and constantly reloads with equivalent talent to that departing.

Offense

Colt McCoy ran the offense to perfection, competing an amazing 70.6% of his passes for 3521 yards, 27 TDs and 12 interceptions. He also had enough mobility to take off now and again and provide a running threat. Unfortunately he's gone and the Garrett Gilbert (45.5% comp, 310 yds, 2 TDs, 4 INTs) era begins after a brief audition. By all accounts he got over the shock of the big game and had an excellent spring. Brown is changing the offense back from the spread to a more traditional power running game, which is better suited to Gilbert's skill set. With Sherrod Harris quitting the team, the primary backup will be a freshman. UT has plenty of talented backs on the roster for their new running attack, but none seem capable of being a bell-cow. The sole possibility is last season's leading rusher, Tre' Newton (116-552-6), but he has yet to grasp the job with both hands. Vondrell McGee (56-300-2) and Foswhitt Whittaker (53-212-4) will be the reserves. Cody Johnson (87-335-12) will be the Fullback. This is a good group of backs and should be effective in a committee approach. The line only returns two starters, LT Kyle Hix and Michael Huey who is switching to LG, although junior C David Snow has starting experience. Seniors RG Tray Allen and RT Britt Mitchell have received valuable playing time in the rotation. There is plenty of talent but not a lot of experience in reserve. Top receiver Jordan Shipley moves on, but the receiving corps should be solid with Malcolm Williams (39-550-2) and James Kirkendoll (48-461-6) returning. Senior John Chiles (34-319-3) started 7 games last season and will start this season if he isn't beaten out by one of Texas' promising talents. This group is loaded with talent and experience, although they need to cut down on their drops. TE will be either sophomore Barrett Matthews or senior Greg Smith (6-48-0). Both will see plenty of playing time. The backs are thrown the occasional pass and that may increase this season.

Defense

7 starters return but the 4 who left were key performers and team leaders. NT Kheeston Randall (23 tkls, 1 tfl, 2 sacks) and redshirt freshman Calvin Howell should man the middle effectively and will be joined on the outside by returning starter Sam Acho (63 tkls, 4 tfls, 10 sacks, 3 PBUs) and sophomore Alex Okafor (22 tkls, 2 tfls). 2 Linebackers return from last year, SLB Keenan Robinson (74 tkls, 3.5 tfls, 1.5 sacks, 4 PBUs) and WLB Emmanuel Acho (49 tkls, 8 tfls, 2 sacks, 1 PBU, 1 INT). Joining them will be a new MLB, probably senior Jared Norton who has the most experience. Last year Texas had one of the top secondaries in the country and that should continue despite the loss of star FS Earl Thomas. Both corners, Curtis Brown (53 tkls, 2 tfls, 15 PBUs, 1 INT) and Aaron Williams (44 tkls, 4 tfls, 2 sacks, 6 PBUs, 3 INTs) as well as Chykie Brown (48 tkls, 3 tfls, 2 sacks, 8 PBUs, 2 INTs) who played in nickel formations. FS Blake Gideon (62 tkls, 2 tfls, 5 PBUs, 6 INTs) will be joined by junior SS Christian Scott, who missed most of last season due to now resolved academic issues. The defense should be solid this year if it can gel quickly before the schedule gets tricky.

Special Teams

Last season's Punter, Justin Tucker (40.4 gross, 34.1 net), will move to kicker this season. The hope is he can replace excellent graduate Hunter Lawrence. Experienced senior John Gold will (44.1 gross last season) will replace Tucker at Punter. DJ Monroe was a super Kick Returner (33.6 avg and 2 TDs) and Marquise Goodwin will help after averaging 21.8 and scoring a TD too. Shipley will be missed at Punt Returner and the hope is Aaron Williams can replace his production. Coverage teams had their lapses, allowing a TD by punt and kick return, but were solid otherwise. Kicker is a question mark heading into the season, and could be a problem down the road in close games.

Next Season

There are some key losses on both sides of the ball (and special teams) and the schedule gets tough in a hurry. Visits from Rice and Wyoming should help the new starters get up to game speed before a trip to Texas Tech. Visits from UCLA and Oklahoma see them into the bye week, then a trip to Nebraska follows. The rest of the season is relatively easy apart from their annual season-ender at home to Texas A&M. Texas haven't won less than 10 games since 2000, and it's unlikely it will happen this year. There is too much talent for them to lose to, say, Baylor, and there are really only four teams on the schedule who could beat them. That said, an injury to Gilbert or a rash of injuries on the O-line could change things in a hurry.

Texas A&M

Last Year

Last season QB Jerrod Johnson fulfilled the promise shown in the season before and had a fine year, breaking many school records in the process. The rebirth of the Aggies running game was a pleasant surprise too after rushing for just 89 ypg in '08, they gained 184 ypg. Still they managed just a 6-7 (3-5 Big 12) record, including a 44-20 loss to Georgia in the Independence Bowl. The reason for this was the defense, which leaked yards and points at a greater rate than their high octane offense. They were 19th in scoring and 5th in yards gained nationally, but were 105th in points allowed and total yardage. This was still an improvement over the '08 season (4-8) and with some good recruiting, it looks like coach Mike Sherman has them pointed in the right direction.

Offense

Johnson completed 58.8% of his passes for 3579 yards and 30 TDs against only 8 Interceptions. He also showed off his mobility, rushing for 506 yards and 8 TDs. He should be even better this year with most of his supporting cast from last season returning. The running back battle hadn't been decided in spring camp, but it doesn't matter which of Christine Michael (166-844-10) or Cyrus Gray (159-757-5) wins, as both are excellent. Regardless of who is the nominal starter, they will combine for an excellent 1-2 punch. The line is the sole question mark going into the season as there are only two returning starters, Guards Evan Eike on the left and Patrick Lewis opposite him. Senior Matt Allen, a former LSU transfer, started 6 games at Guard last season but will move to Center. The tackles will be freshman Luke Joeckel, who won the job in spring camp, on the left and sophomore Brian Thomas, who saw action in 12 games last season, on the right. The Aggies are in good shape at receiver with a blend of talent, depth and experience. Jeff Fuller is the best of the bunch – he caught 41 passes for 568 yards and 7 TDs in just 7 games last season (he was injured). Senior Terrence McCoy (7-77-0) played in every game last season as a reserve. Sophomore Ryan Swope (19-172-1) will be the third starter. They will be capably backed up by Uzoma Nwachukwu (40-708-6), who started last season, and Tannehill (46-609-4). Redshirt freshman Hutson Prioleau will start at TE. Gray caught 28 passes for 226 yards and 2 TDs in '09, and should continue to be a productive receiver this year. If the line gels quickly, this offense will be tough to stop.

Defense

This unit was dreadful at times last year, but returns 8 starters and should be better for the experience. The line returns Tackles Lucas Patterson (23 tkls, 1 tfl) and Eddie Brown (33 tkls, 3 tfls and 4 sacks) who will share the load in the 3-4 defense implemented by new co-ordinator Tim DeRuyter. Sophomore Spencer Nealy (19 tkls, 2 tfls, 1 sack) will man one end with junior Tony Jerod-Eddie (23 tkls, 1 tfl, 1 sack, 1 PBU), who started 5 games last year and 7 in'08, manning the other side. There is a lack of depth although the new 30 front should help. OLB Von Miller (48 tkls, 4.5 tfls, 5 PBUs) is star of the show, making 17 sacks from the "Joker" position. Opposite him will be sophomore Sean Porter (42 tkls, 3 tfls, 1 sack), who started 2 games last season. Both ILBs, Michael Hodges (67 tkls, .5 tfl, 1 PBU, 1 INT) and Garrick Williams (74 tkls, 7.5 tfls, 1 sacks, 1 INT) return and are capably backed up by Kyle Mangan (70 tkls, 4 tfls, 2.5 sacks, 7 PBUs and 2 INTs). This is the strength of the defense. The secondary was torn apart last season, but should be better for the experience, bad though it may have been. Both cornerbacks, Dustin Harris (40 tkls, 1 tfl, 1 sack, 2 PBUs, 1 INT) and Terrence Frederick (61 tackles, 3 tfls, 5 PBUs, 2 INTs), return and should be solid in '10. SS Trent Hunter (95 tkls, 1.5 tfls, 3 PBUs) is on the verge of stardom as one of the best safeties in the Big 12. Sophomore Steven Terrell (8tkls) won the FS job in spring camp. There is little experience in reserve due to youth, but there is solid talent.

Special Teams

Kicker Randy Bullock (100% PATs, 12/19 FGs) is steady but could use some improvement. Punting was an issue and has not been decided going into fall. Two Punters, Ken Wood (38.8 gross, 33.3 net) and Ryan Epperson (35.2 gross) were tried last season, and they'll compete with Jared Jarozsweski for the job this year. Epperson is the favorite as he had no punts returned last season (25 att), but that is subject to change. Gray averaged 23.8 per KR and scored a TD last year. He'll be joined by Swope (8-198-0). Dustin Harris will return punts again this season, but only averaged 7.9 in 2009. The kick coverage squad allowed 3 TDs last season and needs a lot of work, but the punt coverage was good. The special teams unit will receive a lot of attention in the fall.

Next Season

The Aggies' OOC schedule starts with three (supposedly) easy games in FCS Stephen F Austin, Louisiana Tech and Florida International which should give time for new players to get up to speed before the bye week. The other OOC game is a revenge match with Arkansas (they lost 47-19 last season) in Arlington. They get Missouri and Nebraska from the North, although both are in College Station, as are Oklahoma and Texas Tech, but they travel to Texas to end the season. If the defense and special teams can pick it just up enough to take the pressure of the offense, the team is good enough to make it to a decent bowl game. With the other teams in the division going through major personnel changes, a trip to the Big 12 Championship wouldn't be too surprising either.

Texas Tech

Last Year

The Red Raiders have a solid program here, having not had a losing record in 17 years and an 85-43 record over the last 10. Last season they were replacing their all-time leading passer (which is an achievement here) and suffered injuries to the position which now means they have not just one competent QB, but two (maybe even three if Seth Doege progresses). Their passing attack was slightly down from the previous 2 seasons but was still excellent, but the running game struggled. They also allowed 31 sacks, their worst in five years. Their run defense improved from the season before, but the pass defense was suspect. They finished the season 9-4 (5-3 Big 12) and beat Michigan State 41-31 in the Alamo Bowl. The big change was the firing of Mike Leach in the off-season, who was replaced with former Auburn coach Tommy Tuberville. Tuberville got the Auburn within a controversial whisper of the National Championship game in 2004. He's keeping the offense relatively intact, maybe some more running, and it will be interesting to see his impact here.

Offense

Taylor Potts (65.7% comp, 3440 yards, 22 TDs, 13 INTs) and Steven Sheffield (74.3% comp, 1219 yards, 14 TDs, 4 INTs) both performed admirably last season are currently embroiled in a fall camp battle to start, due to both being injured in the spring. Whoever loses will provide a first class reserve should the other go down. At RB Baron Batch (168-884-14) is an excellent runner and receiver who could put up some amazing stats in a more run-focused offense. He will probably get more carries this season. His reserve will be Eric Stephens (49-259-2) again this year. They only return two starters on the offensive line in 2010. LG Lonnie Edwards returns, but C Chris Olson may lose his spot to fellow senior Justin Keown in camp. Sophomore LT Terry McDaniel started 4 games last year before missing the rest of the season due to injury and will be back. RG will be sophomore Deveric Gallington who played in 9 games, and the RT will be sophomore LaAdrian Waddle who started 2 games. The line is losing a lot of experience and is changing blocking systems, so there could be teething problems early on. The new players are big and talented and should be okay in the long run. The reserves are inexperienced. The receivers, on the other hand, are anything but. Three starters return and some frequently used reserves. Detron Lewis (65-844-6) led the team in receiving yardage and Alex Torres (67-806-6) led in receptions. Tramain Swindall (55-694-5) also returns. The "new" starter will be Lyle Leong (45-571-9) who plays regularly and led the team in receiving TDs. The top reserves will be Austin Zouzalik (35-469-2), Jacoby Franks (26-313-2) and Harrison Jeffers (27-218-1). This is one of the top units in the nation. When Tech uses a Tight End, junior Adam James (17-154-1) or sophomore Ryan Haliburton will step in. The offense will move the ball and score points but if they want to think about competing for the Big 12, the line has to gel in a hurry.

Defense

6 starters return from last season's 6 starters return from last season's 49th ranked defense, but they're 6 of their better players from '09. Tuberville is a defensive coach and will change to a 3-4 system this season after graduation robbed them of a number of linemen. The Nose tackle spot will be taken by returning starter Colby Whitlock (45 tkls, 5 tfls, 3 sacks, 4 PBUs) who was very good last season. The other tackle will be junior Myles Wade (2 tkls) who played in only 4 games last year but has good size and speed and was a highly rated JUCO. The End will be redshirt freshman Kerry Hyder. The reserves are mostly transfers and JUCOs who have limited experience but decent size. The "Buck" position, their hybrid End/Linebacker will be taken by Brian Duncan (88 tkls, 7 tfls, 5 PBUs), who's started at MLB the last two seasons. It will be interesting to see how he fares as a pass rusher. The other OLB will be senior Julius Howard (29 tkls, 1 tfl, 2 PBUs) who played regularly last season. The inside will be manned by returning starter Bront Bird (56 tkls, 4.5 tfls, 1 sack, 3 PBUs) and junior Sam Fehoko (19 tkls, 1 tfl, 1 PBU). The reserves are inexperienced. New co-ordinator James Willis was Alabama's LB coach last year so he should be able to squeeze the maximum potential out of this group. Both Safeties, Franklin Mitchem (57 tkls, 1 tfl, 3 PBUs, 2 INTs) and Cody Davis (81 tkls, 1.5 tfls, 6 PBUs), and Cornerback LaRon Moore (42 tkls, 4 tfls, 6 PBUs, 2 INTs) return, although Moore will be in a reserve role this season. The new corners will be redshirt freshman Jarvis Phillips and sophomore Will Ford (22 tkls, 1 PBU, 1 INT) who played well when given the chance. This could be a solid group if the line comes together.

Special Teams

Both Kicker Matt Williams (11/14 FGs) and Punter Ryan Erxleben (40.8 gross, 35.0 net) return this season, as do KR Stephens (25.7 ypr) and PR Zouzalik (9.6 ypr). The unit will benefit from the stability. The kick coverage was excellent and the punt coverage was good despite allowing a short TD return. This will be a good group again this year.

Next Season

It will be interesting to see the impact Tuberville has on this team. Leach was turning them into a force to be reckoned with before he was dismissed, although they seemed to lack toughness at crunch time. They had some good wins too, such as that '08 classic against Texas, but to keep '08 in mind they had to beat Oklahoma for a potential BCS Championship shot and got run over instead. Tuberville's Auburn team were physically and mentally tough and this team needs that. They open the season against OOC foe SMU who throw the ball just as much, and their secondary better be ready in time. A trip to New Mexico should secure a win before returning to host Texas. They should be favored in the next four conference games before travelling to Texas A&M, home to Missouri and at Oklahoma. They finish with FCS Weber State and then pass happy Houston, who beat them last year, at home. This is a tricky schedule and there could be a fine line between winning 5 or 10 games. If the line clicks early, and the defense adapts to the new 3-4 approach, Tech could be a conference contender. 8 wins is the most realistic scenario.

Saturday, August 14, 2010 0 comments

Big 12 North Preview

Colorado

Last Year

Last season was something of a shambles for the Buffs with an offense that struggled to move the ball on the ground and couldn't stop others from running on them. The pass attack was slightly better and the pass defense was decent. But they only went 3-9 (2-6 Big 12) and lost to 3-9 Colorado State from the WAC and 5-7 Toledo from the MAC. The did finish reasonably well (well, 1-3) by beating Texas A&M by a point and losing by 8 or less to bowl teams Iowa State, Oklahoma State and Nebraska. The fans are getting restless and memories of their last bowl game (2007) seem far away. Dan Hawkins seat is very hot indeed.

Offense

It was a tale of two quarterbacks last season with Tyler Hansen (55.8%, 1440 yards, 8 TDs and 7 INTs) finally unseating incumbent Cody Hawkins (50.6%, 1277 yards, 10 TDs and 11 INTs) as much for his ability to scramble away from incessant pressure as his passing acumen. It's Hansen's job to lose this season and he has a good supporting cast this season with most of last year's starters back. Rodney Stewart (198-804-9) returns at RB and he had a good season behind a weak line. His primary backup is walk-on Quentin Hildreth, which says a lot about the depth. There's also no tailback over 195 lbs which could impact short yardage situations. There are some incoming freshmen who might contribute. Colorado doesn't use a Fullback much, but backup LB Tyler Ahles will take on the role when required. The whole offensive line returns, but after averaging 2.8 a run and allowing 44 sacks, this may not be a good thing. LT Nate Solder was the exception after being voted 1st Team Big 12, but LG Ethan Adkins, C Keenan Stevens, RG Ryan Miller and RT Bryce Givens all need to a better job. A year together and the added experience should bode well though. If they can keep Hansen upright, he has a super bunch of receiver to throw to. Scotty McKnight (76-893-6) is on the verge of being the Buffs all-time leading receiver and will be joined by Michigan transfer Toney Clemons who could be the best of the bunch. Last year's starter Markques Simas (43-585-3) was suspended but is back for the fall. He is not on the depth chart yet and freshman Will Jefferson has been assigned his slot. Ryan Deehan returns at TE after 5 starts last season. He's a solid blocker and could be a valuable part of the aerial attack. The backs are little used in the passing game, but that could change this year. This offense could be pretty good this year if the line clicks. The lack of a big back to help close out games is a concern though.

Defense

Seven starters return from last season's unit that ranked 57th overall, but a solid 34th against the pass. Their ranking of 80th against the run is a concern. Ex-NFL player Ashley Ambrose was brought into to shore things up. Three starters return on a line that's must improve. NT Curtis Cunningham (41 tkls, 2 sacks) needs to get a better push in the middle after recording just 1 TFL in '09. Will Pericak (36 tkls, 3 for loss, 3 sacks) will be back to join him in the middle after a learning experience in his freshman season. Marquez Herrod (38 tkls, 4 for loss) returns at End after leading the team with 6 sacks. With a little help he could increase that number this season. Sophomore Forrest West (10 tkls, 1 for loss) had 1 start last season but is pencilled in to take a full-time role this season. This group should be better this season. Only SLB BJ Beatty (30 tkls, 4 for loss, 2.5 sacks) returns. He needs to get more involved though. Senior Mike Sipili (39 tkls, 2 for loss) has starting experience and will man the middle. Jon Major (13 tkls) will cover the weakside. He should be 100% after coming back from a serious knee injury in '08. There is potential here although their speed is questionable. The secondary was generally great last season and should be even better this season. Both their cornerbacks, Jimmy Smith (70 tkls, 3 for loss, 10 PBUs, 2 Ints) and Jalil Brown (66 tkls, 15 PBUs, 2 Ints) are 5th year seniors and possess good size (6'2 and 6'1 respectively). Anthony Perkins (78 tkls, 3PBUs, 2 Ints) returns at SS. He'll be joined by new FS Ray Polk (40 tkls) who is one of the best athlete's on the team. The big concern is depth, where the nickel back and reserves are inexperienced. If they can fix up their woes against the rush, the defense could cause problems for opponents.

Special Teams

Kicker Aric Goodman's (10/18 FGs 54 long) inconsistency continues and will be pushed in fall camp by redshirt freshman Zach Grossnickle, though neither impressed in spring camp. Grossnickle is pencilled in for the punter job though he was inconsistent there too. Clemons and Jason Espinoza will return punts and kicks this season. Kick coverage was solid but punt coverage needs work - better punting should help. This is the unit with the most question marks heading into the season.

Next Season

Colorado started 1-3 last season despite and easy OOC schedule (West Virginia aside). This year they have their annual matchup with Colorado State away then go to California before home games with Hawaii and Georgia. The conference schedule isn't too bad as the North isn't a particularly strong division, though they get Texas Tech (who they could potentially beat) and Oklahoma from the South. The rest of their schedule is winnable. If the offense and defense can improve they could make it back to a bowl game. Six or seven wins isn't out of the question, but it's more likely they will fall short and have a new coach in 2011.

Iowa State

Last Year

Not much was expected of the Cyclones in Paul Rhoads' first year after the failed Gene Chizik experiment the previous two years. Yet they managed to go 7-6 (3-5 Big 12), beat North champs Nebraska, and win a bowl game despite changing to a spread offense. While the season wasn't perfect by any stretch, QB Austen Arnaud and RB Alexander Robinson spearheaded a rushing attack that averaged 180 ypg, their best average in years. The passing game struggled, partly because of the intricacies of the new attack and partly because of injuries to a solid group of receivers. The defense adopted a bend-but-don't-break approach, finishing 34th in scoring but 99th in total yardage. A +4 turnover margin helped too. It was a pretty successful first season for Rhoads, but expectations are increasing.

Offense

Arnaud played pretty well last season despite learning his second offensive system in two years. He completed 58.7% of his passes for 2015 yards, 14 TDs and 13 Interceptions in 10 ½ games last season. He also ran for 561 yards and 8 TDs. He should be even better in 2010. His backup Jerome Tiller (56.2%, 376 yds, 1 TD & 4 INTs) has a bright future. Alexander Robinson (232-1195-6) had a fine season at running back and should build on that this year, but depth could be an issue freshman Jeff Woody next in line should he go down. He can give Robinson a blow but can he carry the load? RG Steve Haughton was dismissed from the team leaving only three returning starters from last season. C Ben Lamaak, LG Alex Alvarez and LT Kelechi Osemele (2nd Team Big 12) are solid. The right side will be manned by 346 lb junior Hayworth Hicks at Guard and sophomore Brayden Burris at Tackle. Both have game experience and if they pan out, this could be one of the best lines in the Big 12. The receiver corps struggled with injuries last season but is an explosive group if they're ready to go this season. Jake Williams (36-403-5) and Darius Darks (28-303-2) started last year but the missed 6 starts between them. Joining them in 2010 is Sedrick Johnson (7-36-0). There is good depth here and some experience among the reserves. New TE Collin Franklin (18-192-0) has starting experience and is a good receiver who can make plays. Robinson (17-261-3) is a very good receiver out of the backfield.

Defense

Last season's problem area should continue to be in '10. Only four starters return from last season although Rashawn Parker (13 tkls, 2 sacks) returns at End after missing most of last season with injury. If he's 100% he could provide a spark to a pass rush that only managed 16 sacks last year. Patrick Neal (27 tkls, 2 for loss, 1 sack), who filled in for Parker in '09, will start opposite him. NG Bailey Johnson (22 tkls, 3 for loss) started last season but is being pushed by junior Stephen Ruempolhamer (20 tkls, 1 for loss, 1 sack). Sophomore Jake McDonough is highly regarded by the coaching staff and takes the other Tackle spot. Three new starters come in linebacker – junior Matt Tau'fo'ou mans the middle and will be joined on the outside by two sophomores AJ Klein (17 tkls, 1 for loss) and Jake Knott (23 tkls, 2 for loss). There is a lack of experience here that could cost the Cyclones, particularly in close games. The secondary could be decent if it's not left high and dry by a lack of pass rush. CB Leonard Johnson (64 tkls, 2.5 for loss, 7 PBUs, 2 INTs) was solid last season and has a chance to be special. Ter'ran Benton (41 tkls, 1.5 for loss and 2 sacks) started 4 games and played in 9 others and will start at the other corner. David Sims (88 tkls, 3.5 for loss and 5 INTs) was voted Big 12 Defensive Newcomer of the year and returns at SS. New FS Michael O'Connell (43 tkls, 1 INT) started 5 games there last season and is ready for a full-time role. There is some good depth and there may some formations with 5 DBs where one is a hybrid LB.

Special Teams

More questions. Kicker Grant Mahoney needs to improve on 13 of 20 FGs in '10. He kicked a 52 yarder, so leg strength is not the issue. Senior Daniel Kuehl will be the new Punter, but he has yet to punt in a game at this level. Sims and Johnson returned kicks last season but only averaged 23.4 and 20.4 respectively, but the potential to improve is their. Johnson in particular is a big play waiting to happen. Lenz only managed 4.8 per PR, but he also could do some damage this season.

Next Season

A mixed bag OOC schedule with an away trip to Iowa and a home visit from Utah mixed with MAC squad Northern Illinois and FCS Northern Iowa will probably see Iowa State taking a 2-2 record into conference play. There are tough home games with Texas Tech and Nebraska and away trips to Texas and Oklahoma. Although fans are expecting improvement on last season, it might be a bit much expecting them to better last season's record. The offense could win some games and the secondary should be strong, but 5 wins is the most likely result and could still be considered an okay season.

Kansas

Last Year

With expectations of a potential conference title game shot behind a loaded offense led by KU all-time passing leader QB Todd Reesing, things looked good after a 5-0 start in which they scored 203 points and ranked #16 in the country. As they entered conference play though, it all went horribly wrong. The offensive line failed to get much of a push in the running game and allowed 25 sacks in the last 7 games, all of which they lost. The defense was susceptible to the pass all season and the fell apart against the run down the stretch too. Fine seasons by Reesing (63.1%, 3616 yds, 22 TDs against 10 INTs) and his top two receivers Dezmon Briscoe and Kerry Meier (a combined 186-2322-17) couldn't outscore the leaky defense (28.4 ppg). Mark Mangino was dismissed in the offseason and Turner Gill, who turned around a moribund Buffalo franchise, was brought in to turn things around.

Offense

The good news is the offense returns 6 starters; the bad news is none of them are called Reesing. The battle to replace him wasn't decided in the spring (rarely a good thing) and neither impressed coach Gill. Last year's reserve, sophomore Kale Pick, only threw 5 passes last and was used more as a runner gaining 167 yds on just 14 carries. The other contender is redshirt freshman Jordan Webb. This is a major area of concern. The Jayhawks will have to rely more on the run this season, and there are question marks there too. Last year's leading rusher Toben Opurum (133-554-90) isn't even on the two deep, although at 240 lbs it would be a surprise if he wasn't used in short yardage situations at the very least. The nominal starter is Angus Quigley who was converted to LB last season but now returns at RB. Backing him up is redshirt freshman Deshaun Sands. It mightn't matter who plays running back (or QB) if the offensive line, which returns 5 starters) doesn't improve on last years performance. They were okay beating up non-conference patsies, but only averaged 2.4 per rush against conference foes and nearly got Reesing killed in pass protection. LT Tanner Hawkinson, LG Sal Capra, C Jeremiah Hatch and RT Brad Thorson will be joined by new RG Trevor Marrongelli. This is a big experienced unit and must perform better. Hopefully Gill can light a fire under them. If KU can get the time to throw the football, they have a fine group of receivers waiting for the ball. With Briscoe and Meier off to the NFL, Jonathon Wilson (35-449-0) is the sole returning starter. He'll be joined this season by Daymond Patterson, who played corner the last couple of seasons, and Bradley McDougald (33-318-0). These guys can all make plays and there is solid depth too. The Jayhawks will use a tight end more often this season and junior Tim Biere (14-183-0) won't make them regret it. He's improved as a blocker too. Last year the backs were an integral part of the offense, and Gill's Buffalo teams used their RBs a lot too, so expect that to continue this season. This offense could be good, but will more likely be a year away.

Defense

The defense, despite its woes the last two seasons, looks to be in reasonably good shape this year thanks to some good recruiting. Only 5 starters return from last year, but there are a number of experience seniors ready to step in and start this year. DE Jake Laptad (49 tkls, 5.5 for loss, 6.5 sacks) was one of the defense's better performers in 2009 and return this year. He'll be joined on the other side by redshirt freshman Kevin Young. The tackles are will be two juniors, Patrick Dorsey (8 tkls, 1 sack) and Richard Johnson (17 tkls, 3 for loss). Johnson has plenty of starting experience. There is experience in reserve, but the line isn't particularly big and may get pushed around in Big 12 play again. The only returning starter in the LB corps will be a reserve this season. The three new starters will be junior SLB Steven Johnson (9 tkls, 1 sack), senior MLB Justin Springer (25 tkls, 3.5 for loss) and sophomore WLB Huldon Tharp (59 tkls, 2 PBUs), who started 7 games as a freshman. This is a hard-hitting group, but not particularly experienced. Chris Harris (84 tkls, 5.5 for loss, 9 PBUs) the sole returning starter at corner, is a good one, but only has 3 career interceptions and needs to improve there. The other spot will be taken by fellow senior Calvin Rubles (6 tkls). Lubbock Smith (42tkls) started 6 games at FS last year and will return there this season. He's proven to be a big hitter. He'll be joined by senior SS Phillip Strozier (23 tkls) who started 3 games at Free last in '09.

Special Teams

Kicker Jacob Branstetter (13/19 FGs, 57 long) has a strong leg but missed 4 FGS in the 30-39 range which is unacceptable, but he should improve this season. Punter Alonzo Rojas (41.4 gross, 34.7 net) was solid and bailed out the defense on occasion. McDougald needs to improve on his 18.8 average on kick returns, and will be joined by Daymond Patterson who will return punts again (8 ypr) in '09. Both coverage teams were poor last year and need to be improved to help out the defense this season.

Next Season

KU's OOC schedule has two easy (assumedly) games with visits from FCS North Dakota State and WAC New Mexico State sandwiched around Georgia Tech and always tough Southern Mississippi. Their conference schedule is relatively easy, getting Baylor, Texas A&M and reloading Oklahoma State from the South. In the weak North division, Kansas could win as many as 6 or 7 games this season, but it relies on the offensive line and QB making some progress. 4-5 wins would be a safer prediction.

Kansas State

Last Year

In Bill Snyder's return the Wildcats went from a 1-3 start and a loss to Sun Belt squad Louisiana-Lafayette to competing for the Big 12 North crown with Nebraska in the final week of the season. Unfortunately they lost and missed out on a bowl game at 6-6 (4-4 Big 12) due to two wins against FCS teams, but a lot of good can be taken from the season. The rushing attack, led by JUCO signee Daniel Thomas was effective most of the year and the run defense was ranked 16th nationally. Snyder played musical QBs before finally settling on Grant Gregory, but the passing game was generally a decent compliment to the run game. The pass defense seemed to take some days off but had played well on others. KR Brandon Banks returned an excellent 4 kicks for TDs too. It was a good start to Snyder's second stint with the team.

Offense

Unfortunately Gregory has moved on, so it's back to competition at Quarterback. Last year's "other" QB, Carson Coffman is the most experienced contending for the position, but he has never taken advantage of his opportunities. As a senior, this is his last chance. The competition is sophomore Collin Klein and junior Sammuel Lamur. The position hasn't been decided going into camp, but Coffman's experience gives him an edge. Whoever wins the job just needs to throw the occasional pass to keep defenses from loading up on star RB Thomas (247-1265-11). Despite and injured shoulder he still managed to break tackles and run hard, and he should be even better this year at 100%. However, the depth behind him consists of a group of freshmen. Whoever runs the ball will have the excellent FB Braden Wilson, as well as four returning offensive line starters leading the way. LG Zach Kendall, C Wade Weibert, RG Kenneth Mayfield and RT Clyde Aufner will be joined by JUCO LT Zach Hanson. This was a good group last year and should be even better this year. They could cut down on sacks allowed (26) though. Two transfers, Chris Harper from Oregon and Brodrick Smith from Minnesota are favored to start at receiver this season. Harper in particular is multi-talented and brings versatility to the role having also played QB and RB with the Ducks. Senior Aubrey Quarles should be the third receiver after redshirting last season. He caught 34 pass for 407 yards in 2008. The new TE will be sophomore Travis Tannahill who only caught 2 passes last season but is a good athlete and should contribute this season.

Defense

There's only five starters returning from last season, and there's no guarantee they will start this year. Antonio Felder (30 tkls, 4 for loss and 3 sacks) should improve this season, assuming he regains his starting position at DE. Brandon Harold is a shoe-in at the other end after missing all bar one game last season. He was a Freshman All-American in '08. There is some talent but not much experience in reserve. The tackles should be manned by Ralph Guidry (19 tkls, 1.5 for loss), who started 6 games last season, and Prizell Brown (10 tkls). JUCO Javonta Boyd will push them for playing time. Whoever the 3 new Linebackers are, they'll be inexperienced. Senior MLB Kevin Rohleder (29 tkls) played in all 12 games last season as a reserve, as did junior SLB Alex Hrebec (32 tkls, 4 tfl) who also started 3. The WLB will be former JUCO Kadero Terrell, who missed last season due to injury, or converted RB Jarell Childs. This group has good potential but may need a few games to gel. 4 starters return from last year's secondary, but safety Troy Butler will most likely be used a 5th DB in certain situations. He will see plenty of action though. Corner Stephen Harrison (25 tkls, 11 PBUs) did a good job last year, but had no interceptions. Joining him on the other side will be David Garrett (29 tkls) who started 4 games but is only 5'7. There isn't much experience beyond these. SS Emmanuel Lamur (68 tkls, 2 PBUs, 3 INTs) and FS Tysyn Hartman (54 tkls, 6 PBUs & 5 INTs) were excellent last year and should be even better in2010. The defense may be better against the pass than the run this season.

Special Teams

Kicker Josh Cherry missed 3 PATs and only made 12/20 FGs last season, but an 11/14 finish gives hope for better in 2010. Punter Ryan Doerr had a solid freshman season averaging 41.2 gross and 35.5 net. He should do even better this season. Brandon Banks was a dynamic KR who will be sorely missed, but Smith, Hartman or RB John Hubert could be effective here. Hartman may also return punts, having stepped in there on occasion last season (8-105-0). Both coverage units were excellent, despite allowing a 67 yd KR and a 26 yd PR for a TD. This unit should be stronger in next season.

Next Season

Not many expected KSU to win even 6 games last season and they were unfortunate to mss out on a bowl game. The only play 1 FCS team this year (Missouri State) and the rest of their OOC is tough but not unbeatable. The return visit from UCLA kicks off the season, and they're last2 non-conference games are always tough Central Florida and they wrap up their season at Sun Belt squad North Texas. A 3-1 start will see them nicely into a conference schedule that features Texas, but all the other teams are beatable. The Wildcats don't have the depth to win 10+ games, but 7 or 8 wins is very possible. The key is to keep Thomas healthy at RB and get steady play from the QB and the defense.

Missouri

Last Year

There were questions about whether Mizzou would be able to achieve their lofty heights of the previous two years with QB Chase Daniel and WR Jeremy Maclin to replace on offense. They did slip to 8-5 but Blaine Gabbert stepped in nicely at QB and had a fine season, and Danario Alexander had a fantastic season catching 113 passes for 1781 yds and 14 TDs. The defense didn't improve as expected, and was still weak against the pass, finishing up ranked 104th. The run defense was a solid 26th though. Gabbert struggled in 4 of their losses, including the bowl game against Navy, and RB Derrick Washington had a tough season with defenses keying on him. On a brighter note, new Kicker Grant Ressel set an NCAA record for FG percentage making 26/27. Coach Gary Pinkel is doing a good job here and this team's best is yet to come.

Offense

Gabbert (58.9% comp, 3593 yds, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) struggled against Nebraska and Texas last season (who didn't) and also had a meltdown against Navy in the bowl game. With a year's experience he should be more efficient against tougher teams. His backup will be freshman James Franklin who is highly regarded, but whoever steps in should Gabbert go down will see a drop in production. Washington (190-865-10) will start at tailback for the third consecutive season. With teams no longer focusing on stopping him he should have a big season –he is extremely versatile. De'Vion Moore (63-258-1) and Kendial Lawrence (52-219-0) will back him up again after filling in nicely last season. Four of the five offensive line starters from last year return to maintain stability up front. LT Elvis Fisher, C Tim Barnes, RG Austin Wuebbels, and RT Dan Hoch will be joined this year by redshirt freshman LG Justin Britt, who won the job in spring camp. This is an experienced group that will spearhead an explosive offense in 2010. Depth could be an issue though. Wes Kemp (23-418-3) is the only returning starting receiver, but Jerrell Jackson (37-458-2) started 6 games last season and was actually more productive. Sophomore Rolandis Woodland (5-26-0) showed enough in spring camp to be listed as a starter going into fall. As with the line though, there is talent but little experience behind them. This is potentially the weak spot on offense. The TE will be Michael Egnew (3-25-0) who beat out last year's starter Andrew Jones (8-43-0). Egnew has the talent to follow in the footsteps of recent great Tiger TEs, and Jones' blocking skill gives them a solid 1-2 punch. If the receivers can make enough plays in 2010, this could be one of the most explosive offenses in the country.

Defense

The defense returns 7 starters from last year's unit, but there some concerns going into the season. DE Aldon Smith (64 tkls, 7.5 tfls, 11.5 sacks, 5 PBUs) had an excellent season as a freshman, and figures to be even better in 2010. Opposite him will be another Smith, junior Jacquies (39 tkls, 2.5 tfls, 1.5 sacks), who has played well in rotation the first two years. It remains to be seen how he performs as a full-time starter. Dominique Hamilton (46 tkls, 4.5 tfls, 1 sack) will plug the middle at one tackle spot, and the other will be manned by junior Terrell Resonno (13 tkls, 1.5 tfls). There is questionable depth here, and this line may wear down late in games. Star LB Sean Weatherspoon has gone to the NFL and will be tough to replace. The man charged with replacing him in the middle is senior Luke Lambert (20 tkls), who missed most of last season due to injury but won the job in spring camp. Outside him will be Andrew Gachkar (80 tkls, 3sacks), who started last season, and sophomore Zaviar Gooden (30 tkls, 3 tfls) is a former safety who runs like a Cornerback. Both Corners, Kevin Rutland (47 tkls, 2 PBUs, 2 INTs) and Carl Gettis (61 tkls, 5 PBUs) return. Both were okay but a more aggressive coverage scheme is being implemented that should increase their INT totals. The team had just 8 last year. Jasper Simmons (73 tkls, 3 tfl, 2 PBUs, 1INT) is the returning Free Safety and he'll be joined by junior SS Kenji Jackson (41 tkls) who has started nine games in the last two years. The defense as a whole could improve on last season but it may struggle with depth if a rash of injuries hit.

Special Teams

Kicker Grant Ressel was almost perfect in his debut season, making all his PATs and 26/27 FGs and setting an NCAA record for accuracy. He can't really be expected to improve on that, but he should still be a reliable weapon and make a number of awards lists. Punter Jake Harry was excellent new season, and will be tough to replace. Matt Grabner only punted once last season (38.0 avg), but he's expected to do the job – he does have a strong leg though. Simmons averaged 22.6 per KR last season but needs to make more big plays, as does Gettis on punts (7.1 avg). Courtesy of Harry's punting, the coverage was excellent last season, but the kick coverage could improve although it wasn't too bad. If Grabner comes through, this unit should be solid in '10.

Next Season

The Tigers have a relatively easy OOC schedule, kicking off with Illinois in St Louis (where they're 5-0 in the series), and then home games against FCS McNeese State, San Diego State and Miami (Oh). But they get Texas A&M and Texas Tech away and Oklahoma in Columbia from the South. With 15 starters back they should do better than last season's 8-5, but their lack of depth and a tough conference schedule which includes an away trip to division rival Nebraska means 9 or 10 wins will probably be their max. This team will be loaded in 2011, keep an eye on them then.

Nebraska

Last Year

In 2008, the Cornhuskers won 9 games in coach Bo Pelini's first season behind an explosive offense and implosive defense. Last season there was a role reversal with a superb defense carrying an inconsistent offense to a 10-4 (6-2 Big 12 North) record, a loss in the conference championship and a bowl win over Arizona. The championship game was particularly galling, not because of the much debated "one second left" call (it was the right call), but because the defense stifled a potent Texas offense and the offense was completely ineffective. They only managed five first downs, and only scored (4 FGs) because of Texas turnovers in their own half. The defense, spearheaded by an all-timer of a season from #2draft pick Ndamukong Suh, was first in scoring defense and seventh in total yardage nationally. The offense was 75th in scoring, 99th in total yardage and 101st against the pass. The season has to be counted a success though, but Pelini didn't come here to play second fiddle to Texas and Oklahoma. Nebraska is back.

Offense

The offense has 8 starters returning, but need a lot of improvement, and there is no guarantee they will all start again this season. One player in danger of losing is spot is QB Zac Lee (58.6% comp, 2143 yds, 14 TDs and 10 INTs). His backup from last year, Cody Green (53.2% comp, 317 yds, 2 TDs, 2 INTs) pushed him hard in spring camp and the battle will continue in the fall. Green's added mobility could play into the equation. Tailback Roy Helu (220-1147-10) had a good season despite injury problems in '09 and will be back. He'll be capably backed up by Rex Burkhead (81-360-3) who missed 5 games. FB Tyler Legate does a good job clearing lanes. Four return starters return from last year's much maligned offensive line. Mike Smith and Keith Williams should return on the left side at Tackle and Guard respectively, while Ricky Henry and Marcel Jones should man the right side. The Center should be Mike Caputo who did a solid job in reserve the last two seasons. There may some reshuffling in the fall, but improvement is required regardless and they are more than capable. Niles Paul (40-796-4) is a big play merchant at receiver and deserves better service. Brandon Kinnie (15-141-0) has improved greatly and should join him this season. Mike McNeill (28-259-4) is an extremely versatile H-Back and should see an increase in production in 2010. Dreu Young (5-78-0) is a fine blocker and capable receiver and will see plenty of time at Tight End this season. The backs are used regularly as receivers and that should continue this season. This offense wants to pound people and throw in the occasional big play. It has the people in place, it just needs to execute.

Defense

The defense returns seven starters, and although the four they lose were valuable contributors, the cupboard is far from bare. Suh was awesome last season, but some of his success has to be attributed to his running mate, tackle Jared Crick (73 tkls, 5.5 tfls, 5.5 sacks, 4 PBUs), who required plenty on attention too. Crick is back and should get plenty of notice from awards voters. Joining him in the middle will be sophomore Baker Steinkuhler (17 tkls, 1 tfl, 2 PBUs), who was the top rated D-Lineman coming out of high school. Pierre Allen (51 tkls, 7 tfls, 5 sacks, 5 PBUs) was solid at one end and will be joined be sophomore Cameron Meredith (21 tkls, 3.5 tfls, 1.5 sacks). Will Compton (40 tkls, .5 tfl, .5 sack) returns as one of the Linebackers in their 4-2-5 formation after a solid freshman season. He'll be joined by one of two sophomores, either Sean Fisher (35 tkls, 1 tfl, 1 sack), who started 6 games, or Eric Martin (15 tkls). The 5th Defensive Back, the Peso, is a hybrid LB/DB who lines up according to the offense's formation. Eric Hagg (40 tkls, 5 tfls, 2 sacks, 4 PBUs, 1 INT) returns there and is one to watch in 2010. Prince Amukamara (64 tkls, 1 tfl, 2 sacks, 11 PBUs & 5 INTs) is a potential All-American. Alfonzo Dennard (31 tkls, 4 tfls, 8 PBUs) joins him on the other side. Both safeties need to be replaced, and the job falls to sophomore FS PJ Smith (15 tkls, 1 PBU) and senior SS DeJon Gomes (46 tkls, 4 tfls, 5 PBUs & 4 INTs). Gomes started 6 games last season and is very experienced. This defense might see a slight dropoff from last season but should still be top notch. Every position is loaded with talent in reserve too.

Special Teams

Alex Henery is both Kicker (100% PATs, 24/28 FGs – 52 long) and Punter (41.4 gross, 34.7 net) and is reliable at both. Niles Paul (16-446-0 & 38-407-1) returns both kicks and punts and does so with equal aplomb. Tim Marlowe (23.7 avg) helps out with kicks. Kick coverage is generally excellent, but the punt coverage team needs work.

Next Season

The Cornhuskers have three easy games on their OOC schedule and a potentially tricky one at Washington. The conference schedule is winnable with Missouri and Texas from the South at home. If Nebraska can get some sort of offense going, a return trip to the championship game is assured. Wins over Texas and Missouri could turn some heads in the BCS and bigger things could be in the offing. They have to sort out the QB position though.

Monday, August 9, 2010 0 comments

Big 10 Preview

Illinois

Last Year

The Fighting Illini has regressed in the two years since their Rose Bowl appearance in '07. Last year was pretty awful and Ron Zook seat must be heating up again. The managed a 3-9 (2-6 Big Ten) record with an offense and defense that for the most part could neither score nor prevent points. Each unit had its moments, but rarely in the same game. The running game had some fine games, but they gained nearly half their season total in three games. The defense only held two teams (FCS Illinois State and struggling Michigan) to under 20 points and managed only 19 sacks and 16 turnovers, only 5 of which were interceptions. Both co-ordinators were fired at the end of the seasons.

Offense

Only 3 starters return on offense and their best weapon from the last few years, Juice Williams, finally graduates after an inconsistent career. Jacob Charest transferred after losing out on the starting job in spring camp to redshirt freshman Nathan Scheelhaase, who at this stage is a better runner than passer. They only have three other QBs on the roster, and one is Eddie McGee (47-25-303-1-3), who was trying out at WR. They've moved to a more traditional offense and the hope is for Running Backs can continue to perform well and set up play-action. Mikel LeShoure (108-734-5) looks to be the favorite to start, but Jason Ford (97-606-4) will get plenty of carries. The new offense calls for a Fullback, and Zach Becker should be the man after limited playing time at the position over the last two years. Three starters return on an offensive line that was inconsistent, paving the way for 200.4 ypg but allowing 29 sacks. LG Randall Hunt, RG Hugh Thornton and RT Jeff Allen are joined by new LT Ryan Palmer and C Graham Pocic. Both have game experience and the line should improve this season. Leading WR Arrelious Benn has gone to the pros leaving Illinois with a bunch of receivers, none of whom caught more that 16 passes in '09. Big things were expected of Jarred Fayson (16-218-1) when he transferred from Florida, but he failed to meet those expectations last season. AJ Jenkins (10-123-1) should take the other spot. With Eddie McGee back at QB, the third spot should be Jack Ramsey (16-182-0). TE should be London Davis, who caught a 2 yard TD last season, but hasn't much experience. He has been working hard in the off-season though. The backs are part of the passing game, and that should continue in '10. If the receivers and Quarterback step it up this season and the line improves, this could be a potent offense.

Defense

Four starters return from last year's ineffective defense, but they could pick it up this year. With Josh Brent entering the Supplemental Draft due to academic issues, the line will have three new starters. Clay Nurse (31 tkls, 5.5 sacks) started 6 games last season and will take on the End role in their 30 front. He could contend for Big 10 honors this season. 300lb DT Corey Liuget has started six games in two years and had 36 tkls, 5.5 for loss and 2.5 sacks in part-time duty last season. Who will be the second Tackle will have to be decided in the fall. They do have some big guys but not a lot of experience at the position. Two Linebackers return with Ian Thomas back after leading the team with 95 tackles last season. Nate Bussey (43 tkls) is the other. Martez Wilson would have started last season but for an injury in the season opener (after 9 tkls!). He should be a rock in the middle. The X-factor is the all-important Bandit – a hybrid DE/LBT. Michael Buchanan should be the man. He is really needed to produce a pass-rush, and he could do it. This could be a good group this year. The secondary needs some serious improvement, last season's anemic pass rush can't be held completely responsible for their lack of production. The two corners, Terry Hawthorne (30 tkls, 5 PBUs and a pick) and Tavon Wilson (74 tkls, 7 PBUs and 1 INT), are back after being first-time starters last year. They're both good athletes and should be better for the experience. The Safeties will be new, with Travon Bellamy (23 tkls) and Supo Sanni (11 tkls) able to hit like a ton of bricks, but also cover like one. The defense could be okay this season, but they're starter deep for the most part.

Special Teams

Kicker Matt Eller was excellent in '08, but managed just 4 of 11 FGs last season and lost his job to Derek Dimke who made all 12 PATs and 5 FGs (48 longest). Dimke will have to have a similar collapse to lose the job this season. P Anthony Santella had 2 punts blocked but was decent otherwise. Troy Pollard and AJ Jenkins will probably return kicks again this season, but need to improve on 20.4 and 18.5 average returns respectively. Fayson only averaged 5.9 on 7 punt returns and needs to do much better this season. He is more than capable. Kick coverage wasn't great, but they did well against punts.

Next Season

They've a relatively easy OOC next season. They open with a solid Missouri team at home and finish with always tough Fresno State, but Southern Illinois and Northern Illinois should be wins (NI are looking excellent this year though). Then a visit from Ohio State and trips to Penn State and Michigan State all in a row could blow the wheels off the Illini wagon. If they play hard in this stretch, win or lose they could win the rest of their schedule and make a bowl game. They've too many questions and too much improvement in conference foes for this to be a reality. Six wins could be considered successful, but it may not save Ron Zook.

Indiana

Last Year

The Hoosiers had a 4-8 (1-7 Big Ten) record last season, but were competitive for the most part, losing three games by a total of 7 points. There were a number of factors for their success. The key was a +7 turnover margin, but the play of Ben Chappell was instrumental too. He had his off-moments, but was the key to their exciting offense. The defense couldn't make enough stops, which cost them in a 1-8 finish (including losing to awful Virginia) after a 3-0 start. Game attendance was up by 30% which suggests the football team, which usually plays second fiddle to basketball, is pointed in the right direction.

Offense

With seven starters back, including most of the key players, this offense could be explosive this season. Chappell had a fine season, completing 62.6% of his passes for 2941 yards and 17 TDs. He also threw 15 INTs which needs to be corrected, but was only sacked 16 times as he threw the ball away when pressured. Darius Willis (123-607-6) had an injury plagued season in which he only played 9 games, but he played well in those games. If his injury problems continue, Trea Burgess (47-133-3) is ready to go, but he's not in the same class. Redshirt freshman Nick Turner had a good spring and could get some carries. Three starters come back on the o-line, with LG Justin Pagan and C Will Matte form a solid combo. James Brewer at RT is the other starter. RG Cody Faulkner and LT Andrew McDonald have started in the past. This squad may not be as good as last season and could be a problem this year. The receivers on the other hand should be one of the best in the conference. All three starters from last season Tandon Doss (77-962-5), Damarlo Belcher (61-770-5) and Terrance Turner (46-443-1) all return, as does the ubiquitous Mitchell Evans (33-366-3). At TE Max Dedmond returns after an 18 catch season. He could get even more opportunities this season. They don't need to throw to the backs much with this receiving corps, but Willis can do the job if needed.

Defense

Only four starters come back from a defense that struggled to stop opponents outside of turnovers. Lynch remains resolute though that the defense will be better this season. Adam Replogle (32 tkls, 4 sacks) and Larry Black Jr (29 tkls, 6.5 for loss) return after a tough but decent first year starting. The experience can only benefit them. The Hoosiers' big problem is pass rushers. They had 25 sacks last season, but the owners of 16.5 have graduated. Darius Johnson (8 tkls, 1 sack) will take one slot while Fred Jones may take the other after a monster spring game. Senior Tyler Replogle (80 tkls, 4.5 for loss and 2 sacks) returns at SLB, but the other two starters are new. Super JUCO Jeff Thomas and sophomore Chad Sherer will man the middle and weakside respectively, and both are fast. Only one starter returns in the secondary, Donnell Jones (30 tkls, 1INT), and it's unlikely he'll be starting this season having lost his job to Chris Adkins (14 tkls, 1 INT) who only played in six games due to injury. Mr Everything Evans will move to SS this season. The two corner spots are up for grabs. JUCOs Andre Kates and Lenyatta Kiles were brought in to compete for the positions, but Adrian Burks and Richard Council both started some last season. The secondary is a major concern entering the season.

Special Teams

K Nick Freeland hit just 14 of 25 FGs (38 long) last season and may lose his spot to redshirt freshman Mitch Ewald who was a top recruit. P Chris Hagerup dipped in his second season and needs to turn it around. Doss (21.3 ypr) needs to improve his average in '10. He'll probably return punts too. Kick coverage needs to improve but punt coverage was solid. There's a lot of work to be done here this fall.

Next Season

IU's OOC should be a cakewalk with the toughest opponent being Arkansas State on October 16th. They should go 4-0 here. This could be crucial in getting to a bowl game as their conference schedule does them no favors. The Big Ten is tough this year and Indiana have to travel to Ohio State and Wisconsin and also get Penn State and Iowa at home. This is a big year for coach Bill Lynch and Indiana have the offense to pull off at least six wins, in fact they should, but the defense has to show marked improvement to move Indiana any higher up the conference food chain.

Iowa

Last Year

Kirk Ferentz has done a great job coaching here, and last season was no different. The rode the coat-tails of an outstanding defense and the clutch play of QB Ricky Stanzi to an 11-2 (6-2 Big Ten) record and second in the conference. They lost a shocker to Northwestern when Stanzi was knocked out in the second quarter and freshman James Vandenberg was forced to play. The following week Vandenberg started again and they lost 27-24 to champs Ohio State. If Stanzi had been healthy, things could have been very different. In '09, the defense ranked 8th in scoring nationally and 4th against the pass. In their bowl win, they shut down the potent Georgia Tech offense.

Offense

Stanzi did a fine job last season (56.3% comp, 2417 yds & 17 TDs), doing his best work in the fourth quarter. He did throw 15 INTs, including 5 against Indiana, which needs to be corrected, but he made plays when it mattered. His best stat is his 18-4 win-loss record. Even more will be expected of him this season. Vandenberg's experience last year should stand him in good stead if Stanzi goes down again. The running game was okay last season, but should be much improved in '10. After Jewel Hampton was lost for the season before it began, the team scrambled for replacements. Adam Robinson (181-834-5) and Brandon Wegher (162-641-8) shared the load competently, helping set up play action and keeping defenses honest. This season they'll be joined by Jewel Hampton who's fully recovered from his injury and ready to go. He's a big play waiting to happen, both as a runner and returner, and will add some pizzazz that was lacking last season. He'll miss the first game, but Iowa can handle Eastern Illinois without him. FB Brett Morse is entering his third year as a starter – he doesn't get the ball much but does a good job blocking. This is a good group of backs. The line could be a problem, with only LT Riley Reiff (moved from LG) and LG Julian Vandervelde (ex-RG) returning. Ferentz was an O-line coach in the NFL, so the problem won't be their technique, but they lack the bulk of previous Hawkeye fronts. Ferentz' son James will man the center, with Adam Gettis and Mark Zusevics at RG and RT respectively. Last year's O-line didn't get a great push and allowed 29 sacks, so there may even be some improvement. WR is in good shape with Derrell Johnson-Koulianos (45-750-2) and ex-QB Marvin McNutt (34-674-8) both coming back. Colin Sandeman (14-136-1) will come in when a third receiver is required. Oft-injured Tony Moeaki will be missed, but Allen Reisner should help out in the passing game despite disappearing over the second half of the season. Iowa run a lot of double-TE, so Brad Herman should see a lot of playing time. Keep an eye out for 6-7 freshman CJ Fiedorowicz, he could steal some playing time later in the season. The backs occasionally catch passes, but that may increase with the dropoff at TE. This offense won't score lots of points, but they will get the job done and leave the rest to the defense.

Defense

Eight starters return on this defense, including the whole line, and what a line. The Hawkeyes are sporting what is probably the best line in the country. At Tackle, Karl Klug (65 tkls, 9 for loss, 4 sacks and 5PBUs!) and Christian Ballard (54 tkls, 3.5 for loss and 5.5 sacks) return to stifle the inside running game and provide interior pressure when opponents pass. At End, Adrian Clayborn (70 tkls, 8.5 for loss and 11.5 sacks) is a monster and probable All-American at the end of the season. Broderick Binns (63 tkls, 4 for loss, 6 sacks and 9 PBUs!) on the opposite side is no slouch either. This line will give offensive co-ordinators headaches all season as it provides most of the pressure and little blitzing is required, leaving the LBs to cover the pass. Linebacker will be the potential weak spot, as AJ Edds and Pat Angerer have moved on. Jeremiah Hunter (89 tkls, 2.5 for loss) returns on the outside. Senior Jeff Tarpinian (20 tkls) won the MLB spot in the spring. The other outside spot will go to junior Tyler Nielsen, who hasn't played much to date. This is a corps with potential but little experience. They might just muddle through with that line in front of them. The secondary was excellent last season, allowing just 49.6% completed and 9 TDs against 21 Ints. They return three starters, CB Shaun Prater (41 tkls, 8PBUs and 2 Ints), fourth year starter Brett Greenwood (55tkls, 7 PBUs and 3 Ints) and potential All-American Tyler Sash (85 tkls, 5.5 for loss, 6 PBUs and 6 Ints). They'll be joined by sophomore Micah Hyde (8 tkls) who has good size (6'1) and potential. If the LBs can gel early, this defense could be a rock by the time they hit the tough part of their schedule.

Special Teams

Ferentz is a major advocate of quality special teams and this year's bunch should be solid. K Daniel Murray (19/26 FGs) is one of the better kickers in the Big Ten although he can be inconsistent. If he struggles this season Trent Mossbrucker is waiting in the wings for his shot. P Ryan Donahue (40.9 gross, 37.1 net) has been a Ray Guy semi-finalist twice and should be again this season. Johnson-Koulianos is an excellent KR (12 KRs, 31.5 avg, 1 TD) but Colin Sandeman is only average (9 ypr) returning punts. Both coverage teams are excellent. This group should be a factor in close games again this season.

Next Season

The Big Ten was a tough conference with four teams with 10+ wins and a 5-2 bowl record. That's not going to change this season with those four teams competing for the conference again this season. Iowa could struggle on the O-Line and at LB this season, but have a favourable schedule. The OOC is easy outside of a road trip to Arizona, and they will be favored there. In-conference they have to play their three main competitors Ohio State, Wisconsin and Penn State, but they get ALL of them at home. The key this season is keeping Stanzi healthy as they are loaded at the skill positions and D-Line. If they can do this, the road to the Big Ten championship could run through Kinnick Stadium. However, they don't have the yearly appeal of say, Ohio State, as a potential BCS championship contender and this could work against them. They have to stop falling asleep against lesser teams and run up some big scores on them to make themselves look more attractive.

Michigan

Last Year

After forty years without a losing record, the wheels have fallen off the Wolverine wagon with consecutive losing seasons. Some of it can be put down to the new coach and change in offensive system, but sorely Michigan has enough talent to at least win more than 8 games in two years. Last season did start brightly with a 5-1 start, but a 0-6 finish started the calls for Rich Rodriguez's head. They lost three close games, where one win could have changed some perceptions, but the offense had its moments but was inconsistent all season and the defense was downright poor.

Offense

As he did in West Virginia, Rodriguez has actually done a solid job bringing in talent to match his system. He has seven starters back from last year and has QBs with experience in that system. Tate Forcier (58.7%, 2050 yds, 13 TDs and 10 Ints) had an okay season and won some comeback victories early on, but Rodriguez executed the swift hook to often which effects any QBs play. Denard Robinson (45.2%, 188 yds, 2 TDs and 4 Ints, 69-351-5 rushing) played some too and is a better runner that Forcier, but any pass is an adventure. Forcier would appear to be the favorite, but Robinson had a good spring and Rodriguez seems to have a thing for him. Regardless, he will play in certain packages in '10. Keep an eye out for top recruit Devin Gardner who is a perfect fit for the offense. The top two rushers from last season are gone, so Vincent Smith (48-276-1) or Michael Shaw (42-185-2) should be the nominal starter in a committee approach. Redshirt freshman Toussaint Fitzgerald should play a role too. Mark Moundros will be the FB. The offensive line gets solid C Dave Molk back from an ACL injury, and he will form a good combo with LG Steve Schilling. LT Perry Dorrestein lost his job to redshirt freshman Taylor Lewan, but it helps to have an experienced backup. RT Mary Huyge started 9 games at both RG and RT last season, but he'll move to RT full-time in '10. RG will be sophomore Patrick Omameh who started 3 games last season. If the group stays intact, this could be a fine O-Line. Ray Roundtree (32-434-3) came on late last season and will be the main target at receiver in '10. Martavious Odoms (22-272-2) will return at one of the other spots, but the final slot will be between Junior Hemingway (16-268-2) and Darryl Stonum (13-199-1). Someone needs to step up to help out Roundtree. TE Kevin Koger (16-220-2) is a good one and could be more of a factor next season. The offense has to improve on an average Time of Possession of 26:35 in '10.

Defense

Michigan are changing to a 3-3-5 scheme after the defense fell apart the last two seasons, despite the presence of super Brandon Graham, Stevie Brown and Donovan Warren. These guys are gone, are the seven who return for the post part are under-achieving. DT Mike Martin (51 tkls, 6.5 for loss) is not one of those, and should be a playmaker next season, although it remains to be seen how he handles playing Nose in the new scheme. He may move out to end if 324 lb sophomore William Campbell shows he can handle the middle. Ryan Van Bergen (40tkls, 5 sacks) returns at one End, and senior Greg Banks could take the other slot. Craig Roh (37 tkls, 5.5 for loss) proved in his freshman season that he can be make some plays, and should be even better next year. The other two LBs Obi Ezeh (69 tkls, 5 for loss) and Jonas Mouton (66tkls, 3 for loss and 2 Ints) are capable of much better performances and more will be expected of them or they could see Kevin Leach and JB Fitzgerald take even more of their playing time. Returnee Troy Woolfolk (46 tkls) is okay at corner but needs to make more plays on the ball and sophomore Jordan Kovacs (75 tkls, 4.5 for loss) returns at SS, but the rest of secondary is new. The other corner will most likely be sophomore JT Floyd (17 tkls) who had 2 starts and played in 9 games last season. FS will be redshirt freshman Cameron Gordon. The all-important 5th DB position will be taken by another redshirt freshman Thomas Gordon. This is a very green secondary.

Special Teams

Both Kicker and Punter need to be replaced this season, and nobody stood out in spring. Most likely K will be redshirt freshman Brendan Gibbons and P will be William Hagerup. Stonum (25.7 avg return and 1 TD) is a good KR, but Hemingway needs to improve his PR average (8.6) or lose the job. The coverage teams were solid last season but the unit as a whole has a lot of question marks this season.

Next Season

Rodriguez needs to get Michigan back on the bowl scene this season or start looking for a new job. A couple of years ago, the OOC would have a been a stroll, but Connecticut and Notre Dame are in better shape than Big Blue right now and ND are at home. FCS Massachusetts should be a win though and Bowling Green was hammered by graduation, so a 3-1 record here would be progress. They face all the division contenders and a tough Michigan State squad, so 6 or 7 wins is probably the best they can do. What is also a concern is whether the 3-3-5 scheme can hold up in the "black & blue" Big Ten, where power running attacks are the norm. If it fails, this will be another long season for the Big Blue.

Michigan State

Last Year

Last year's 6-7 (4-4 Big Ten) may have seemed a regression from the previous season, but considering they were reloading at QB and RB, they actually performed well, particularly after a 1-3 start that included a loss to MAC champ Central Michigan. QBs Kirk Cousins and Keith Nichols alternated early on, but Cousins finally won the job and had a fine season. Nichols wasn't too bad either, but he's moved to WR and is listed as a starter going into fall camp. The search for a new back unearthed two in Larry Caper and Edwin Baker. The offense was solid most of the year and the run defense was sturdy, but the pass defense was very weak. The Spartans made it to a bowl game for the third consecutive year but also lost for the third time.

Offense

Cousins (60.4%, 2680 yds, 19 TDs & 9 Ints) was excellent in his first season and led the conference in passing efficiency. Keith Nichol (53.8%, 764 yds, 7 TDs and 3 Ints) was okay, but will play receiver in '10. His backup will be redshirt freshman Andrew Maxwell. If Cousins can stay healthy, he could put up some serious numbers this season. Larry Caper (120-468-6) will be the nominal starter at RB, although he needs to improve his vision, but Edwin Baker (85-427-1) and freshman Le'Veon Bell will share the carries. Senior Josh Rouse will be the Bullback. The offensive line should be decent with DJ Young switching from Right to Left tackle to form a rock solid combo with LG Joel Foreman. Senior C John Stipek started three games last year and sophomore RG Chris McDonald played in three games too. Senior RT J'Michael Deane was the starter coming out of spring camp but may let lose his job to Jared McGaha. The right side of the line is a question mark going into the season. Blair White is a big loss at receiver, but the returnees have the makings of an explosive group. Nichol will start at one spot with Keshawn Martin (18-411-5) at the other. The third and fourth receivers, Mark Dell (26-449-1) and BJ Cunningham (48-641-4) could start in a pinch. TE Charlie Gantt (22-348-2) is a good run blocker and receiver. The backs weren't used much as receivers last season, and with this group there isn't much need for them this year either. If the line comes together early, this could be one of the most explosive offenses in the conference.

Defense

Last season was a tale of two units, with an excellent run defense and weak pass defense, caused by a lack of pass rush. 7 starters return, but there don't appear to be any players capable of harrying QBs. DT Jerel Worthy (37 tkls, 4.5 for loss and 4.5 sacks) lived up to his name last year and should be even better in 2010. The NT will be Blake Treadwell (11 tkls) who started only one game in his freshman season, but the coaching staff think highly of him. Colin Neely (24 tkls, 4 for loss, 3 sacks) returns at one end while sophomore Tyler Hoover (13 tkls, .5 sack) takes the rush end spot. He doesn't appear to be the answer. Linebacker is a different story. Greg Jones (154 tkls, 5 for loss and 9 sacks) is one of the best, if not the best, LB in the country. He has improved as a pass rusher and defender too. Eric Gordon (92 tkls, 4 for loss, 3 sacks) returns on the Strongside and he's another good one. Sophomore Chris Norman (11 tkls, 1 for loss) was a top recruit and takes on the weakside in 2010. The corners should be good next season, with Chris Rucker (58 tkls, 7 PBUs and 1 INT) returning and Johnny Adams joining him after redshirting last season. He started 2 games in '08 and he's solid. Both safeties return with Marcus Hyde (46 tkls) on the Strongside and Trenton Robinson (67 tkls and 1 INT) at Free. The safeties need to improve this season. Opponents passed for 32 TDs and just 6 INTs last year, and the pass rush can't be held completely responsible.

Special Teams

Dan Conroy or Kevin Muma will take over at Kicker from the excellent Brett Swenson and either has big shoes to fill. Neither impressed during the spring. Punter Aaron Bates (41.6 gross, 36.8 net) is a good one. Martin is an excellent KR (23-665-1) but needs to improve as a PR (21-156-0). The kick coverage had the occasional breakdown, but the punt coverage was good. This unit could be a problem area next season.

Next Season

The OOC in 2010 is easy outside of a home game against Notre Dame, although they should be favored. They escape Ohio State this season and get Wisconsin at home, although they have to travel to Iowa and Penn State. Assuming the line plays to its potential they should be good for a 9 win season. An upset or two could set them up as conference dark horses. If the pass defense can provide some kind of pressure and make a few stops, there could be five contenders for the Big Ten crown next in 2010. Regardless they should be fun to watch on offense. A first bowl win under Dantonio would be nice too.

Minnesota

Last Year

The Golden Gophers managed a 6-7 (3-5 Big Ten) and a close bowl loss to Iowa State despite having an offense that was one of the worst in the FBS. Their offensive line (deservedly) took the brunt of the blame after averaging just 3 yards per rush and allowing 41 sacks. Adam Weber played like a rookie at times last season despite starting since his freshman season. The receivers also failed to step up after their best player Eric Decker was lost for the season. The defense was better but not by much and essentially carried them to their bowl game. They lost two games by three and another close one to Iowa, but despite the bowl game this was not a season to be proud of.

Offense

The good news is nine starters return from last season including the whole offensive line. The bad news is the offense ranked 100th in scoring and 109th in total yards. Coach Tim Brewster's response was to bring in a new offensive co-ordinator, Jeff Horton, who plans to change the offense to one that emphasises the run and play action. Weber has a tenuous hold on his starting spot after under-performing last season but it is hoped the new offensive approach will take some of the pressure off him. Reducing the sack count would help too. Sophomore MarQueis Gray (15-6-62-1-1) played in some running formations last season and rushed for 294 yards and 3 TDs. This should continue this season if he doesn't take over as starter. It's hard to judge the backs based on last season's performance but it looks like a committee approach will be adopted again this season. Duane Bennett (98-376-6), DeLeon Eskridge (74-294-3) and freshman LaMonte Edwards should all see the ball last season. Jon Hoese (29-103-1) returns at FB. LT Dominic Alford, LG Chris Bunders, C DJ Burris, RG Matt Carufel and RT Jeff Wills are all big guys with an average weigh-in at 323 lbs. Junior Bunders is the only non-senior. They have the size and they have the experience, but can they get the push required to spring the RBs? That will be the big question next season. Troy Stoudemire (26-306-2) needs to pick up his game last season as the only returning full-time season. Da'Jon McKnight (17-311-0) did start six games last season but has little to show for it. Both have the potential to be great, they just have to realise it. The hope is that JUCO TE Tiree Eure can win the starting spot, as there is little else at the spot apart from blockers. There are a lot of "ifs" regarding the offense going into 2010.

Defense

The defense was a bit better than the O last season, but not much. Unlike the offense, they only return two starters. However, though they will lose out on the experience, this is probably the most athletic defense Minny has had in a while. Juniors Brandon Kirksey (16 tkls, 3 for loss) and Jewhan Edwards (8 tkls, 1.5 for loss) will man the middle of the line and both are big but have limited experience. The Ends will be sophomore DL Wilhite (4 tkls, 3 sacks), who came on strong late last year, and either redshirt freshman Ra'Shede Hageman (who was signed as a TE) or junior Anthony Jacobs (19 tkls, 2 for loss, 2 sacks). The combination of size and quickness could help this line compensate for its lack of experience while learning the job early on. Junior Gary Tinsley takes over the MLB spot after making 21 tackles in limited game time last season. Sophomore Keanon Cooper played in the rotation at OLB and had 43 tackles, and he will be joined on the outside by either ex-safety Mike Rallis (who was a medical redshirt last season) or fellow sophomore Spencer Reeves (1 tkl). Sophomore Michael Carter (11 tkls) is expected to take one corner spot and either Ryan Collado (34 tkls), who started 5 games last year and in '08, or JUCO Christyn Lewis will man the other. Expect these guys to be picked on regularly. Both safeties from '09 are back and both are experienced seniors. Kim Royston had 86 tackles and broke up 6 passes, but had just one interception. Kyle Theret led the team with 3 picks to go with 73 tackles and 4 PBUs. They've been okay, although they could make more plays, but they have to take on a leadership role this season too. The defense could be shredded early, but should improve over the season if they don't collapse altogether.

Special Teams

Kicker Eric Ellestad was solid last season making 13/17 FGs and all his PATs, but his longest made was from 39 yards. He did make a couple of clutch kicks to win games too. His job is safe but he could improve his range. Punter Dan Oroeske started well last season, averaging 44.6 on 9 punts, but was struck down by mono and missed the rest of the season. He appeared to be back at full strength in spring camp and looked good. Troy Stoudemire (24.6 avg) was good returning kicks last season, and PR Bryant Allen (12.2 avg) was good in limited opportunities. Both should continue to perform in 2010. The punt coverage was very good, but the kick coverage was spotty and allowed a TD. As a whole this is a good unit though.

Next Season

The OOC is a tough call for this team. They open with a trip to Middle Tennessee who may hail from the Sun Belt, but have the kind of offense and QB who could cause an inexperienced defense fits. Week 3 brings a visit from Southern Cal and week 4 brings traditionally tough Northern Illinois. A 3-1 start (they're not beating USC) could build up some confidence for their tough Big Ten run. They face the top 4 teams (3 at home!!) but could potentially beat anyone else on the schedule if they gel early. Most likely they will be propping up the Big Ten this season but there wouldn't be any surprise if they made another bowl game either.

Northwestern

Last Year

Pat Fitzgerald has done a fine job here considering the circumstances - Northwestern is a small private school with an enrolment of just below 8,000 and tough academic restrictions. Last year's 8-5 (5-3) included an overtime bowl loss to Auburn and a 4-1 finish to the regular season that included wins over Iowa and Wisconsin. Senior QB Mike Kafka was a one man show on offense completing 64.8% of his passes for 3430 yards and 16 TDs against just 12 picks, including 78 passes in the bowl game, and was the team's best rushing threat. But that was also the problem with the team – their running attack was almost non-existent. The defense was solid against the run, but struggled against better passing attacks. This as a good season, but it's been a while since the Wildcats won a bowl game, so that should be next on the agenda.

Offense

The bad new is the omnipotent Kafka is off to the NFL. The good news is this is a QB-friendly offense that will start its third in as many seasons and all have performed capably. Junior Dan Persa (58.8%, 224 yds with 2 TDs and 2 INTs) played some last season and looked good in spring camp. Highly regarded redshirt freshman Evan Watkins will back him up. No running back stepped up last season but that is expected to change this season. Arby Fields (82-302-5) will top the depth chart heading into fall and will be capably backed up by Scott Concannon (68-241-2), Jacob Schmidt (64-219-1) and Stephen Simmons (59-240-2). Persa can run when called upon too. The offensive line returns three starters, and could be excellent this season. LT Al Netter is an exception and was a rock last season – he should be in the running for all-conference status this season. C Ben Burkett is on the Rimington Award watchlist and Neal Deiters started 7 games at RT in '09 but will battle Doug Bartels for the starting spot at RG. Keegan Grant and Brian Mulroe will fight it out for the LG spot. Patrick Ward will start at RT and has looked god so far. Two of last year's starting receivers have gone but the unit should be solid. Sidney Stewart started 5 games and caught 42 passes for 470 yards and 2 TDs. Jeremy Ebert (21-226-0) struggled with injuries last season but is fully recovered and had an excellent spring camp. The third spot should be taken by Demetrius Fields (24-225-1). This is a deep group and Northwestern will get many of their backups involved too. At TE Drake Dunsmore (47-523-3) was excellent last season and figures to be even better in 2010. He's not used much as a blocker, but has great hands. Josh Rooks will back him up but he caught just 3 passes. If the running game can kick in to help out Persa, this offense could be hard to stop next season.

Defense

6 starters return on defense this season, and it will most likely be a repeat of last season – decent against the run but unable to hold up against earnest passing attacks. They came up with 17 Interceptions against 18 TDs last season and had a +4 turnover margin overall. This season sees two back on a line that managed with a sub par Corey Wooten (since graduated) last season and should again this year. One is DT Corbin Bryant (30 tkls, 3 for loss and 2.5 sacks) and he's solid. Joining him will be new starter Jack DiNardo (3 tkls) who has had an excellent offseason. Vince Browne (39 tkls, 3 for loss and 5 sacks) returns at End who could have a breakout year. Kevin Watt is slated to start opposite him having improved his speed and strength. There should be little if any dropoff with this group. The linebackers are the strength of the defense with all three returning. Nate Williams (86 tkls, 6 for loss, 2 INTs) returns at MLB and is one of the leaders on the team. Starting alongside him is Quentin Davie (90 tkls, 6.5 for loss and 5 sacks) who's probably the best of the bunch. Ben Johnson (28 tkls, 2 for loss) started seven games last season, but must hold off the challenge of Bryce McNaul heading into fall. There is solid depth here too. The secondary is a major concern with only CB Jordan Mabin (75 tkls, 2 INTs) returning, although he's one of the best in the conference. Joining him should be senior Justan Vaughn, who's suffered the injury bug the last two years. Brian Peters (67 tkls, 3 for loss, 3 INTs) started five games last season at safety and played in the nickel too. He should man the SS position this season. The FS should be ex-LB Jared Carpenter who is favored going into the fall.

Special Teams

Stefan Demos was all-Big Ten last season, with finishing 18/25 FGs, but he missed five of them over his last three games, including two which potentially cost them the bowl game. He should be back on form in 2010. He handled the punting chores last season, not too successfully, and should be replaced this season by Brandon Williams who is favored going into fall camp. Stephen Simmons was an excellent KR (25.3 avg) but Jeravin Matthews (17.0) needs to improve. A new PR must be found but there are plenty of quality athletes to handle the job. Despite allowing a KR for a TD, the coverage was generally good, although the punt coverage was poor. Demos' struggles at punter didn't help the cause here. This unit should be better this season though.

Next Season

The Wildcats open with a relatively tough trip to Vanderbilt, but the rest of their OOC consists of FCS Illinois State, Rice and a Dan LeFevour-less Central Michigan. In the conference schedule, all their games are winnable up to a murderous final four weeks when they play at Penn State, home to Iowa, Illinois and at Wisconsin. If Persa gets going early and the running game makes some plays, this team could pull off some more upsets this season. A bowl game is very probable, a run at the conference championship is not overly unrealistic.

Ohio State

Last Year

Last season Jim Tressel kept a tight rein on QB Terrell Pryor, instead relying on a solid running attack and an outstanding defense. That all changed in the bowl game against Oregon when Pryor threw 37 passes, winning the game with his arm instead of his feet. The Buckeyes finished with a solid 11-2 (7-1 Big Ten) record and the conference championship. Their only losses were at home to USC and a shock loss to at Purdue in which Pryor was sacked 5 times and OSU had a -2 turnover margin. The offense was completely shut down in a home game to Wisconsin, yet they won 31-13 thanks to their defense and special teams.

Offense

Pryor had an okay season, completing 56.6% of his passes for 2094 yards with 18 TDs against just 11 INTs. He also led the team in rushing with 779 yards and 7 TDs. Expect more passing and less running this season and Tressel gives Pryor a little more freedom. Joe Bauserman (31.6%, 124 yards) returns as his backup, but this team will struggle without Pryor's versatility. Pryor may be the best runner, but that is no reflection on the running back corps which is loaded with quality. Brandon Saine (145-739-4) was the second leading rusher last season and is a former high school sprinter. Dan Herron (153-600-7) had more carries and is more of an inside runner. Jordan Hall chipped in with 257 yards and a TD. Four members of the offensive line that paved the way for nearly 200 ypg last season return. C Michael Brewster is joined by Gs Justin Boren and Bryant Browning and JB Shugarts who will probably move from Right to Left Tackle in 2010. Marcus Hall and Mike Adams will rotate at RT. The line did not perform as expected in the spring but should iron out the wrinkles when the season kicks off. Depth could be an issue too. Both starting receivers DeVier Posey (60-828-8) and Dane Sanzebacher (36-570-6) are excellent targets for Pryor, but finding a quality third target has been problematic. Chris Fields, Ricky Crawford and Taurian Washington will duel for the role. Again, depth could be an issue. At TE the excellently named Jake Stoneburner takes over from Jake Ballard. He needs to work on his blocking but has decent hands and could be an important part of the offense. Except for the RBs the offense could be in trouble with a rash of injuries.

Defense

The defense returns six starters from last season's fantastic unit, but only one on the line. However, that returning starter is potential All-American Cameron Heyward (46 tkls, 3.5 for loss and 6.5 sacks). The other end appears to be Nathan Williams' job to lose. Dexter Larimore (20 tkls) was a key member of the rotation the last couple of years and gets the start this season. He'll most likely be joined by John Simon. The camp competition should help the depth during the season. Brian Rolle returns at MLB after making 95 tackles with 7 for loss last season. Beside him is the star of the LB corps Ross Homan who had 108 tackles, 3 for loss, 2 sacks, 5 PBUs and 5 picks. Etienne Sabino (6 tkls, .5 sack) will join them this season after backing up his first two seasons. The secondary returns three starters, including both corners. Chimdi Chekwa (43 tkls, 7 PBUs and 1 INT) and Devon Torrence (35 tkls, 2 PBUs and 2 INTs) are both seniors. FS Jermale Hines (57 tkls, 2 INTs) is a fulltime starter for the first time after playing in a hybrid linebacker/safety role. Orhian Johnson has shown great promise and gets his chance to start this season. There is depth, but it's inexperienced. If the defense can stay healthy, it could be just as dominant as last season's. A rash of injuries could cause problems in a hurry.

Special Teams

Devin Barclay took over at kicker for Aaron Pettrey last season after he was lost for the season and did a decent job, making all his PATs and 7/10 FGs. He'll need to improve his long of 39 if he wants to keep the job though. Ben Buchanan should take over at Punter after doing well in his brief stint last season. Some new return men need to be found for next season. Freshman RB Jordan Hall will probably return kicks at least. Kick coverage was generally okay despite allowing a TD and punt coverage was superb. There is room for improvement this season.

Next Season

The OOC schedule has three easy teams – Marshall, Ohio and Eastern Michigan – and Miami (Fl) who are poised to make some noise this season. OSU has received a lot of top 5 preseason rankings and this game will make up a lot of minds about them. Their conference schedule is tough with trips to Wisconsin and Iowa, although they get Penn State in Columbus. Pryor will get more chances to throw the ball this season and he may have to carry the team on his shoulders as the defense is fraught with question marks, depth being the greatest. If the Buckeyes want to be taken seriously and compete for a BCS game again, or even win their own conference, these questions must be answered.

Penn State

Last Year

Since Joe Paterno's apparent demise as a coach five years ago when the Nittany Lions had losing seasons in four of five seasons, they have gone 51-13 and have a 4-1 bowl record. That's not too shabby for a coach the game has passed by. The secret to his success seems to be his ability to adapt to personnel and current trends, switching to a spread offense when mobile (passing) QBs became all the rage. Michael Robinson started the charge and then they switched seamlessly to Darryl Clark, who performed well though never quite meeting his lofty potential. Last season Clark (381-232-3003-24-10, 84-211-7) led the team to an 11-2 (6-2 Big Ten) record, a bowl win over LSU and a number 11 ranking in the final BCS standings. The offense and defense (especially) were both excellent but there two losses were disappointing, losing by two scores to conference rivals Iowa and Ohio State at home.

Offense

The offense returns seven starters from last season but could be a problem this season as Clark has graduated and no heir apparent has stepped forward. Last year's backup was Kevin Newsome who threw just 11 passes (but ran for 95 yds and 2 TDs as well) in limited opportunities and failed to take hold of the starting job in the spring. Matt McGloin and freshman Paul Jones are also in the running, but this won't be decided until fall camp. This uncertainty will mean a heavier reliance on the running game, which is good news. Evan Royster (205-1169-6) is an excellent runner and is capably backed up by Stephfon Green (71-319-3) who deserves more carries. There's decent depth behind these two. Penn State doesn't use a FB much anymore, but Joey Suhey (22-70-0) gets the job done when called upon. The offensive line was a problem in the spring despite the return of four starters, leaving Paterno somewhat under-whelmed. Stefan Wisniewski will play RG beside Lou Ellades at Tackle. The left side will be Guard Johnnie Troutman and Tackle DeOn'Tae Pannell. Senior Doug Klopacz has some playing experience but is a new starter. This unit could be shuffled again in fall camp. WR will be a strength with both last year's leading receivers returning. Derek Moye (48-785-6) and Graham Zug (46-600-7) are tall and fast, and should ease the transition for whoever plays QB. They will most likely be joined by Curtis Drake (8-98-0). Andrew Szczerba has a hard act to follow at TE in Andrew Quarless. He only has 2 career catches. He has the size and potential to a threat. Royster and Green are good receivers out of the backfield and will probably be utilised more this season with a new QB at the helm.

Defense

Defense, and in particular the Linebackers, is a PSU tradition, and last season was no exception. The unit was 3rd in scoring defense, 9th in total yardage and had a +6 turnover margin. The question is whether they can repeat this with five starters back. Ollie Ogbu (30 tkls, 6 for loss and 2 sacks) is solid at one tackle spot. He will be joined by Devon Still (19 tkls, 3.5 for loss and 2 sacks) who has the unenviable task of replacing Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year Jared Odrick. He did a good job in the rotation last season and hopefully there won't be too much dropoff. Jack Crawford (31 tkls, 9 for loss and 5.5 sacks) did a fine job at end last season. He'll be joined this season by Eric Latimore (21 tkls, 2.5 for loss and 3.5 sacks). The coaching staff's frequent rotation of linemen should serve them well this season as the line should continue to perform this season. The Linebacker U moniker will be put to the test this season, as there'll be three new starters. Senior Bani Gbadyu (37 tkls) has some experience and should take one OLB. Junior Nate Stupar (31 tkls) is favored to start opposite him. Both saw plenty of playing time last season. Sophomore Michael Mauti missed last season due to injury and will push Chris Colasanti (18 tkls) in the middle. This could be a solid unit, particularly if the line performs to expectations. Three starters return in the secondary, including CB D'Anton Lynn (35 tkls, 5 PBUs) who has plenty of potential. The other corner will be Stephon Morris (30 tkls, 1 INT). At SS will be Drew Astorino (62 tkls, 4 PBUs, 1 INT) and the FS will be Nick Sukay (41 tkls, 11 PBUs, 2 INTs). There is quality depth and this unit should continue to perform this season. If the linebackers can adequately replace last year's three draft picks, the defense should come close to last season's unit in terms of production.

Special Teams

Collin Wagner (100% PATs, 15/22) was okay in his first full season as the team's Kicker, but he only made 1 of 5 over 40 (47) and will need to improve his range. Anthony Fera was the number one Punter in spring but was suspended. If he isn't ready to go, Russell Nye will probably replace him. There were issues with punting (blocks, coverage) last season that need to be corrected. Chaz Powell (23.2) and Green (25.5) were the primary KRs last season but could improve, as could PR Astorino (7.9). The kick coverage wasn't bad put the punt coverage was very poor. This unit must improve this season.

Next Season

The OOC in 2010 entails 1 FCS team, 2 MAC teams and Alabama in Tuscaloosa. If the Lions can play hard ('bama have their own woes), they could serve notice of bigger things this season. They don't play Wisconsin, but they play bogey team Iowa (they haven't beaten then in Iowa since '99) and Ohio State away. If they can answer their question marks – QB; O-Line; LBs; Special Teams, they are capable of contending for the Big Ten. Joe Paterno will be retiring sooner rather than later. Once more conference championship and a BCS game could be a nice send-off.

Purdue

Last Year

The Boilermakers were nothing if not exciting last season. Seven if their games were decided by 8 points or less and included a win over conference champs Ohio State. Unfortunately they lost five of those games and ended up 5-7 (4-4 Big Ten). The offense only failed to score 20 or more points once (a shutout at Wisconsin), but the defense only held two teams to less than 21 (Ohio State and Illinois). Danny Hope's first year as head coach showed plenty of promise for the future.

Offense

Joey Elliott had a fine season at QB last season, completing 61.7% of his passes for 3026 yards and 22 TDs and 13 Interceptions. Unfortunately he's graduated, but Miami transfer Robert Marve is ready to take his place. He struggled with injuries and inconsistency at Miami, but Hope runs a QB-friendly system that should take advantage of Marve's strong arm and athleticism. He's coming off ACL surgery, so if his knee doesn't hold up, last year's reserve, sophomore Caleb TerBush will step in. This should be a strength going into the season. Last season's star RB Ralph Bolden (200-935-9) tore his ACL in spring but is listed as number one on the depth chart. This could be wishful thinking on their behalf, but the sooner he can come back the better as he is a versatile back and one of the best in the Big Ten. Al-Terek McBurse (4-0-0) and ex-receiver Keith Carlos (21 rec for 242 yds and a TD) are ready to go when called upon, but neither appears to be in Bolden's class. Only two starters, LT Dennis Kelly and RG Ken Plue, return from last season's squad. Sophomore Rick Schmeig takes over at Center, while 5th year senior Justin Pierce, who has started in the past, moves in at RG. The new RT will be junior ex-DL Nick Mondek. There is plenty of size but not a lot of experience here. Keith Smith (91-1100-6) had an excellent season last season and should be Marve's top target this year too. He'll be joined by Cortez Smith (17-177-2) and ex-QB/RB Justin Siller who did not play last year due to suspension. There isn't much depth though. TE Kyle Adams (29-249-0) returns and is an excellent blocker and safety valve receiver. Bolden and Smith are both good receivers and should continue to be used in that capacity.

Defense

Last season the run defense frequently was gashed while the pass defense performed well. This season could be the reverse. Six starters return, but none in the secondary. This will mean the front seven will have to pressure opposing QBs while the defensive backs get their feet wet. Luckily, this is a good possibility – after 32 sacks last year, there could be more this season. The Ends are the strength of the defense, especially Ryan Kerrigan (66 tkls, 5.5 for loss and 13 sacks). His high-octane approach makes others around him better. The other End is Gerald Gooden (37 tkls, 3.5 for loss and 4.5 sacks). Kawann Short (48tkls, 4 for loss) had a solid season at tackle and will be joined this season by redshirt freshman Kevin Pamphile who is the kind of athlete this team likes. Outside of Short though, this group lacks size. Last year's three starting LBs return, but Chris Carlino (71 tkls, 2 for loss, 4 PBUs, 1 INT) will not be starting having lost his job to sophomore Dwayne Beckford (34 tkls, 3 for loss) who hits like a train. Carlino will see plenty of game time as the senior backup though. The OLBs will be Joe Holland (81 tkls, 2 for loss, 1.5 sacks and 1 INT) who has good range and Jason Werner (77 tkls, 10 for loss, 4.5 sacks and an INT). This is a good group but needs to play the run better. The new corners will be junior Charlton Williams (3 tkls) and sophomore Josh Johnson (4 tkls), both of whom are very inexperienced. The FS will be junior Logan Link, who has good size but hasn't played, and junior Albert Evans (30 tkls, 2 PBUs) will play SS after playing some Nickelback last season. There is no experience on the depth chart either. Expect this line-up to change regularly throughout the season as opposition QBs pick on this group.

Special Teams

Kicker Carson Wiggs made just 14/21 FGs last season, but that includes 8/14 from 40+ and he made a 59 yarder. This leg strength will make him a valuable weapon next season and his accuracy should improve with experience. He's taking over the punting job this season too. Al-Terek McBurse did a good job returning kicks last season, averaging 24.6 per return and scoring a TD. The new PR will be sophomore Antavian Edison who is capable of bettering last year's production (26-215-1). Kick coverage struggled last season although punt coverage was good outside of a 33 yard TD return. This unit has a lot of question marks for 2010.

Next Season

The Boilermakers have a relatively easy OOC schedule outside of Notre Dame, and that's winnable too, and should start at least 3-1. They also avoid playing Iowa and Penn State which is a bonus. If they can like up to their self-styled "Cradle of Quarterbacks" moniker and unleash Marve's potential, they could win 7 or 8 games and make a bowl game. If Marve struggles and they can't keep up in shootouts, that secondary will be the cause of a long season.

Wisconsin

Last Year

Scott Tolzien was a pleasant surprise for the Badgers last season, topping the conference in passing efficiency and leading the team to a 10-3 (5-3 Big Ten) record. The three losses were disappointing though with the offense giving up 13 of their 23 sacks allowed and Tolzien throwing 7 of his 11 interceptions. Against Ohio State out-gained the Buckeyes 368-184 yet lost 31-13. The Badgers tend to underachieve when expectations are high and overachieve when they are written off. However, apart from the Iowa game, the offense was productive behind Tolzien and Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year John Clay. The run defense was outstanding but the pass defense was vulnerable at times. They closed the season with a solid win over a tough Miami (Fl) team. A good season for the most part, but this team can do better.

Offense

This offense is loaded for a championship run this year with 10 starters back and plenty of experience behind them. As mentioned earlier, Tolzien (64.3%, 2705 yds, 16 TDs & 11 INTs) was the driving force behind the offense last season playing very efficiently for the most part. He should be even better in '10. Last year's backup Curt Phillips tore his ACL in the spring, so redshirt freshman John Budmayr will step in if needed. He's has no game experience at this level though. Almost any QB could be effective if he had John Clay (287-1517-18) running the ball to keep defenses honest and bruised. Clay weighs 248 lbs but is more than just a bruiser. He'll be on the Heisman list this fall. Both his backups Montee Ball (98-391-4) and Zach Brown (66-279-3) are capable of stepping in when the need arises. When the Badgers use a FB, Bradie Ewing is the man. This is a fine group of backs. What makes this group even better is the fact that all 5 starters from last year's offensive line is returning. LG John Moffitt and LT Gabe Carimi were 1st Team Big 10 last season and are joined by C Peter Konz, RG Kevin Zeitler and RT Josh Oglesby, all of whom get a mention on Big Ten teams. The depth is excellent. Nick Toon (54-805-4) returns at WR and is definitely a "chip off the old block". His father was a fine receiver here and Toon is really coming along as Tolzien's favorite target. He'll be joined by Isaac Anderson (30-480-2). David Gilreath (12-177-0) and Kyle Jefferson (4-35-0) are good backups. Wisconsin uses Tight Ends as much as any team and produced some quality targets at the position. This year Lance Kendricks (29-356-3 as a 2nd string) will continue the trend. Jake Byrne will step in when a second TE is required. The backs aren't used much in the passing game although they are competent. This offense is designed to run over opponents and this could be their most effective unit in years.

Defense

This could be the problem area next season as only 5 starters return on defense. The only lineman back is End JJ Watt (44 tkls, 11 for loss, 4.5 sacks) although he's a good one. If he can get help fomr the new starters, he should be able to replace last year's star O'Brien Schofield. The other end will probably be junior Louis Nzegwu (10 tkls, 3.5 sacks) who played in the rotation last season. The tackles will be redshirt freshman Jordan Kohout and junior Patrick Butrym (24 tkls, 2 for loss, .5 sack, 2 PBUs, 1 INT). Both are big and the latter started 3 games last year, but neither are guaranteed success. 2 Linebackers return from last year's squad and both are pretty good. Culmer St Jean (63 tkls, 2.5 for loss, 1.5 sacks, 4 PBUs) mans the middle with Mike Taylor (46 tkls, 5.5 for loss) returning at OLB. He was lost for the season against Iowa, so it's hoped he's back to full strength. Chris Borland (54 tkls, 5.5 for loss & 5 sacks) took over for him and this year starts opposite him. This has the makings of a solid group if it can get some help up front. Devin Smith (55 tkls, 9 PBUs and 2 INTs) returns at one Corner spot but must get over his inconsistency of last year. Niles Brinkley (38 tkls, 4 PBUs, 2 INTs) started 6 games last year and may start, but might lose his job to Antonio Fenelus (35 tkls). These two rotated last year but the coaching staff would prefer to settle on one starter. Jay Valal (51 tkls, 3.5 for loss, 4 PBUs) is a big part of the run defense at SS. Aaron Henry (18 tkls, 4 PBUs) takes over at FS and has experience, but will have a tough job matching last year's starter Chris Maragos' production.

Special Teams

Both kicker Philip Welch (49-47 PATs and 17/24 FGs 57 long) Punter Brad Nortman (42.0 gross, 35.7 net) return and both are very good with the potential to improve. This is one of the best combos in the country. Gilreath averaged 23.7 per KR and should continue in that role but he needs to improve his 5.6 average PR. He did score a TD though. Punt coverage was pretty good but kick coverage was very poor (26.4 ypr, 1 TD). Improving these numbers is important this year.

Next Season

Wisconsin starts with an easy OOC although Arizona State's defense is tough and could be tricky. They don't play Penn State and get Ohio State at home but must travel to Michigan State and Iowa. They have four games to get their defense and special teams in order before travelling to their first big game in East Lansing. Their offense will top the Big Ten this year and the ball control style should help their defense, and with OSU coming to Madison and Iowa and Penn State weakened, The Big Ten championship should run through Wisconsin. Anything less will be a disappointment.