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Monday, August 9, 2010 0 comments

Big 10 Preview

Illinois

Last Year

The Fighting Illini has regressed in the two years since their Rose Bowl appearance in '07. Last year was pretty awful and Ron Zook seat must be heating up again. The managed a 3-9 (2-6 Big Ten) record with an offense and defense that for the most part could neither score nor prevent points. Each unit had its moments, but rarely in the same game. The running game had some fine games, but they gained nearly half their season total in three games. The defense only held two teams (FCS Illinois State and struggling Michigan) to under 20 points and managed only 19 sacks and 16 turnovers, only 5 of which were interceptions. Both co-ordinators were fired at the end of the seasons.

Offense

Only 3 starters return on offense and their best weapon from the last few years, Juice Williams, finally graduates after an inconsistent career. Jacob Charest transferred after losing out on the starting job in spring camp to redshirt freshman Nathan Scheelhaase, who at this stage is a better runner than passer. They only have three other QBs on the roster, and one is Eddie McGee (47-25-303-1-3), who was trying out at WR. They've moved to a more traditional offense and the hope is for Running Backs can continue to perform well and set up play-action. Mikel LeShoure (108-734-5) looks to be the favorite to start, but Jason Ford (97-606-4) will get plenty of carries. The new offense calls for a Fullback, and Zach Becker should be the man after limited playing time at the position over the last two years. Three starters return on an offensive line that was inconsistent, paving the way for 200.4 ypg but allowing 29 sacks. LG Randall Hunt, RG Hugh Thornton and RT Jeff Allen are joined by new LT Ryan Palmer and C Graham Pocic. Both have game experience and the line should improve this season. Leading WR Arrelious Benn has gone to the pros leaving Illinois with a bunch of receivers, none of whom caught more that 16 passes in '09. Big things were expected of Jarred Fayson (16-218-1) when he transferred from Florida, but he failed to meet those expectations last season. AJ Jenkins (10-123-1) should take the other spot. With Eddie McGee back at QB, the third spot should be Jack Ramsey (16-182-0). TE should be London Davis, who caught a 2 yard TD last season, but hasn't much experience. He has been working hard in the off-season though. The backs are part of the passing game, and that should continue in '10. If the receivers and Quarterback step it up this season and the line improves, this could be a potent offense.

Defense

Four starters return from last year's ineffective defense, but they could pick it up this year. With Josh Brent entering the Supplemental Draft due to academic issues, the line will have three new starters. Clay Nurse (31 tkls, 5.5 sacks) started 6 games last season and will take on the End role in their 30 front. He could contend for Big 10 honors this season. 300lb DT Corey Liuget has started six games in two years and had 36 tkls, 5.5 for loss and 2.5 sacks in part-time duty last season. Who will be the second Tackle will have to be decided in the fall. They do have some big guys but not a lot of experience at the position. Two Linebackers return with Ian Thomas back after leading the team with 95 tackles last season. Nate Bussey (43 tkls) is the other. Martez Wilson would have started last season but for an injury in the season opener (after 9 tkls!). He should be a rock in the middle. The X-factor is the all-important Bandit – a hybrid DE/LBT. Michael Buchanan should be the man. He is really needed to produce a pass-rush, and he could do it. This could be a good group this year. The secondary needs some serious improvement, last season's anemic pass rush can't be held completely responsible for their lack of production. The two corners, Terry Hawthorne (30 tkls, 5 PBUs and a pick) and Tavon Wilson (74 tkls, 7 PBUs and 1 INT), are back after being first-time starters last year. They're both good athletes and should be better for the experience. The Safeties will be new, with Travon Bellamy (23 tkls) and Supo Sanni (11 tkls) able to hit like a ton of bricks, but also cover like one. The defense could be okay this season, but they're starter deep for the most part.

Special Teams

Kicker Matt Eller was excellent in '08, but managed just 4 of 11 FGs last season and lost his job to Derek Dimke who made all 12 PATs and 5 FGs (48 longest). Dimke will have to have a similar collapse to lose the job this season. P Anthony Santella had 2 punts blocked but was decent otherwise. Troy Pollard and AJ Jenkins will probably return kicks again this season, but need to improve on 20.4 and 18.5 average returns respectively. Fayson only averaged 5.9 on 7 punt returns and needs to do much better this season. He is more than capable. Kick coverage wasn't great, but they did well against punts.

Next Season

They've a relatively easy OOC next season. They open with a solid Missouri team at home and finish with always tough Fresno State, but Southern Illinois and Northern Illinois should be wins (NI are looking excellent this year though). Then a visit from Ohio State and trips to Penn State and Michigan State all in a row could blow the wheels off the Illini wagon. If they play hard in this stretch, win or lose they could win the rest of their schedule and make a bowl game. They've too many questions and too much improvement in conference foes for this to be a reality. Six wins could be considered successful, but it may not save Ron Zook.

Indiana

Last Year

The Hoosiers had a 4-8 (1-7 Big Ten) record last season, but were competitive for the most part, losing three games by a total of 7 points. There were a number of factors for their success. The key was a +7 turnover margin, but the play of Ben Chappell was instrumental too. He had his off-moments, but was the key to their exciting offense. The defense couldn't make enough stops, which cost them in a 1-8 finish (including losing to awful Virginia) after a 3-0 start. Game attendance was up by 30% which suggests the football team, which usually plays second fiddle to basketball, is pointed in the right direction.

Offense

With seven starters back, including most of the key players, this offense could be explosive this season. Chappell had a fine season, completing 62.6% of his passes for 2941 yards and 17 TDs. He also threw 15 INTs which needs to be corrected, but was only sacked 16 times as he threw the ball away when pressured. Darius Willis (123-607-6) had an injury plagued season in which he only played 9 games, but he played well in those games. If his injury problems continue, Trea Burgess (47-133-3) is ready to go, but he's not in the same class. Redshirt freshman Nick Turner had a good spring and could get some carries. Three starters come back on the o-line, with LG Justin Pagan and C Will Matte form a solid combo. James Brewer at RT is the other starter. RG Cody Faulkner and LT Andrew McDonald have started in the past. This squad may not be as good as last season and could be a problem this year. The receivers on the other hand should be one of the best in the conference. All three starters from last season Tandon Doss (77-962-5), Damarlo Belcher (61-770-5) and Terrance Turner (46-443-1) all return, as does the ubiquitous Mitchell Evans (33-366-3). At TE Max Dedmond returns after an 18 catch season. He could get even more opportunities this season. They don't need to throw to the backs much with this receiving corps, but Willis can do the job if needed.

Defense

Only four starters come back from a defense that struggled to stop opponents outside of turnovers. Lynch remains resolute though that the defense will be better this season. Adam Replogle (32 tkls, 4 sacks) and Larry Black Jr (29 tkls, 6.5 for loss) return after a tough but decent first year starting. The experience can only benefit them. The Hoosiers' big problem is pass rushers. They had 25 sacks last season, but the owners of 16.5 have graduated. Darius Johnson (8 tkls, 1 sack) will take one slot while Fred Jones may take the other after a monster spring game. Senior Tyler Replogle (80 tkls, 4.5 for loss and 2 sacks) returns at SLB, but the other two starters are new. Super JUCO Jeff Thomas and sophomore Chad Sherer will man the middle and weakside respectively, and both are fast. Only one starter returns in the secondary, Donnell Jones (30 tkls, 1INT), and it's unlikely he'll be starting this season having lost his job to Chris Adkins (14 tkls, 1 INT) who only played in six games due to injury. Mr Everything Evans will move to SS this season. The two corner spots are up for grabs. JUCOs Andre Kates and Lenyatta Kiles were brought in to compete for the positions, but Adrian Burks and Richard Council both started some last season. The secondary is a major concern entering the season.

Special Teams

K Nick Freeland hit just 14 of 25 FGs (38 long) last season and may lose his spot to redshirt freshman Mitch Ewald who was a top recruit. P Chris Hagerup dipped in his second season and needs to turn it around. Doss (21.3 ypr) needs to improve his average in '10. He'll probably return punts too. Kick coverage needs to improve but punt coverage was solid. There's a lot of work to be done here this fall.

Next Season

IU's OOC should be a cakewalk with the toughest opponent being Arkansas State on October 16th. They should go 4-0 here. This could be crucial in getting to a bowl game as their conference schedule does them no favors. The Big Ten is tough this year and Indiana have to travel to Ohio State and Wisconsin and also get Penn State and Iowa at home. This is a big year for coach Bill Lynch and Indiana have the offense to pull off at least six wins, in fact they should, but the defense has to show marked improvement to move Indiana any higher up the conference food chain.

Iowa

Last Year

Kirk Ferentz has done a great job coaching here, and last season was no different. The rode the coat-tails of an outstanding defense and the clutch play of QB Ricky Stanzi to an 11-2 (6-2 Big Ten) record and second in the conference. They lost a shocker to Northwestern when Stanzi was knocked out in the second quarter and freshman James Vandenberg was forced to play. The following week Vandenberg started again and they lost 27-24 to champs Ohio State. If Stanzi had been healthy, things could have been very different. In '09, the defense ranked 8th in scoring nationally and 4th against the pass. In their bowl win, they shut down the potent Georgia Tech offense.

Offense

Stanzi did a fine job last season (56.3% comp, 2417 yds & 17 TDs), doing his best work in the fourth quarter. He did throw 15 INTs, including 5 against Indiana, which needs to be corrected, but he made plays when it mattered. His best stat is his 18-4 win-loss record. Even more will be expected of him this season. Vandenberg's experience last year should stand him in good stead if Stanzi goes down again. The running game was okay last season, but should be much improved in '10. After Jewel Hampton was lost for the season before it began, the team scrambled for replacements. Adam Robinson (181-834-5) and Brandon Wegher (162-641-8) shared the load competently, helping set up play action and keeping defenses honest. This season they'll be joined by Jewel Hampton who's fully recovered from his injury and ready to go. He's a big play waiting to happen, both as a runner and returner, and will add some pizzazz that was lacking last season. He'll miss the first game, but Iowa can handle Eastern Illinois without him. FB Brett Morse is entering his third year as a starter – he doesn't get the ball much but does a good job blocking. This is a good group of backs. The line could be a problem, with only LT Riley Reiff (moved from LG) and LG Julian Vandervelde (ex-RG) returning. Ferentz was an O-line coach in the NFL, so the problem won't be their technique, but they lack the bulk of previous Hawkeye fronts. Ferentz' son James will man the center, with Adam Gettis and Mark Zusevics at RG and RT respectively. Last year's O-line didn't get a great push and allowed 29 sacks, so there may even be some improvement. WR is in good shape with Derrell Johnson-Koulianos (45-750-2) and ex-QB Marvin McNutt (34-674-8) both coming back. Colin Sandeman (14-136-1) will come in when a third receiver is required. Oft-injured Tony Moeaki will be missed, but Allen Reisner should help out in the passing game despite disappearing over the second half of the season. Iowa run a lot of double-TE, so Brad Herman should see a lot of playing time. Keep an eye out for 6-7 freshman CJ Fiedorowicz, he could steal some playing time later in the season. The backs occasionally catch passes, but that may increase with the dropoff at TE. This offense won't score lots of points, but they will get the job done and leave the rest to the defense.

Defense

Eight starters return on this defense, including the whole line, and what a line. The Hawkeyes are sporting what is probably the best line in the country. At Tackle, Karl Klug (65 tkls, 9 for loss, 4 sacks and 5PBUs!) and Christian Ballard (54 tkls, 3.5 for loss and 5.5 sacks) return to stifle the inside running game and provide interior pressure when opponents pass. At End, Adrian Clayborn (70 tkls, 8.5 for loss and 11.5 sacks) is a monster and probable All-American at the end of the season. Broderick Binns (63 tkls, 4 for loss, 6 sacks and 9 PBUs!) on the opposite side is no slouch either. This line will give offensive co-ordinators headaches all season as it provides most of the pressure and little blitzing is required, leaving the LBs to cover the pass. Linebacker will be the potential weak spot, as AJ Edds and Pat Angerer have moved on. Jeremiah Hunter (89 tkls, 2.5 for loss) returns on the outside. Senior Jeff Tarpinian (20 tkls) won the MLB spot in the spring. The other outside spot will go to junior Tyler Nielsen, who hasn't played much to date. This is a corps with potential but little experience. They might just muddle through with that line in front of them. The secondary was excellent last season, allowing just 49.6% completed and 9 TDs against 21 Ints. They return three starters, CB Shaun Prater (41 tkls, 8PBUs and 2 Ints), fourth year starter Brett Greenwood (55tkls, 7 PBUs and 3 Ints) and potential All-American Tyler Sash (85 tkls, 5.5 for loss, 6 PBUs and 6 Ints). They'll be joined by sophomore Micah Hyde (8 tkls) who has good size (6'1) and potential. If the LBs can gel early, this defense could be a rock by the time they hit the tough part of their schedule.

Special Teams

Ferentz is a major advocate of quality special teams and this year's bunch should be solid. K Daniel Murray (19/26 FGs) is one of the better kickers in the Big Ten although he can be inconsistent. If he struggles this season Trent Mossbrucker is waiting in the wings for his shot. P Ryan Donahue (40.9 gross, 37.1 net) has been a Ray Guy semi-finalist twice and should be again this season. Johnson-Koulianos is an excellent KR (12 KRs, 31.5 avg, 1 TD) but Colin Sandeman is only average (9 ypr) returning punts. Both coverage teams are excellent. This group should be a factor in close games again this season.

Next Season

The Big Ten was a tough conference with four teams with 10+ wins and a 5-2 bowl record. That's not going to change this season with those four teams competing for the conference again this season. Iowa could struggle on the O-Line and at LB this season, but have a favourable schedule. The OOC is easy outside of a road trip to Arizona, and they will be favored there. In-conference they have to play their three main competitors Ohio State, Wisconsin and Penn State, but they get ALL of them at home. The key this season is keeping Stanzi healthy as they are loaded at the skill positions and D-Line. If they can do this, the road to the Big Ten championship could run through Kinnick Stadium. However, they don't have the yearly appeal of say, Ohio State, as a potential BCS championship contender and this could work against them. They have to stop falling asleep against lesser teams and run up some big scores on them to make themselves look more attractive.

Michigan

Last Year

After forty years without a losing record, the wheels have fallen off the Wolverine wagon with consecutive losing seasons. Some of it can be put down to the new coach and change in offensive system, but sorely Michigan has enough talent to at least win more than 8 games in two years. Last season did start brightly with a 5-1 start, but a 0-6 finish started the calls for Rich Rodriguez's head. They lost three close games, where one win could have changed some perceptions, but the offense had its moments but was inconsistent all season and the defense was downright poor.

Offense

As he did in West Virginia, Rodriguez has actually done a solid job bringing in talent to match his system. He has seven starters back from last year and has QBs with experience in that system. Tate Forcier (58.7%, 2050 yds, 13 TDs and 10 Ints) had an okay season and won some comeback victories early on, but Rodriguez executed the swift hook to often which effects any QBs play. Denard Robinson (45.2%, 188 yds, 2 TDs and 4 Ints, 69-351-5 rushing) played some too and is a better runner that Forcier, but any pass is an adventure. Forcier would appear to be the favorite, but Robinson had a good spring and Rodriguez seems to have a thing for him. Regardless, he will play in certain packages in '10. Keep an eye out for top recruit Devin Gardner who is a perfect fit for the offense. The top two rushers from last season are gone, so Vincent Smith (48-276-1) or Michael Shaw (42-185-2) should be the nominal starter in a committee approach. Redshirt freshman Toussaint Fitzgerald should play a role too. Mark Moundros will be the FB. The offensive line gets solid C Dave Molk back from an ACL injury, and he will form a good combo with LG Steve Schilling. LT Perry Dorrestein lost his job to redshirt freshman Taylor Lewan, but it helps to have an experienced backup. RT Mary Huyge started 9 games at both RG and RT last season, but he'll move to RT full-time in '10. RG will be sophomore Patrick Omameh who started 3 games last season. If the group stays intact, this could be a fine O-Line. Ray Roundtree (32-434-3) came on late last season and will be the main target at receiver in '10. Martavious Odoms (22-272-2) will return at one of the other spots, but the final slot will be between Junior Hemingway (16-268-2) and Darryl Stonum (13-199-1). Someone needs to step up to help out Roundtree. TE Kevin Koger (16-220-2) is a good one and could be more of a factor next season. The offense has to improve on an average Time of Possession of 26:35 in '10.

Defense

Michigan are changing to a 3-3-5 scheme after the defense fell apart the last two seasons, despite the presence of super Brandon Graham, Stevie Brown and Donovan Warren. These guys are gone, are the seven who return for the post part are under-achieving. DT Mike Martin (51 tkls, 6.5 for loss) is not one of those, and should be a playmaker next season, although it remains to be seen how he handles playing Nose in the new scheme. He may move out to end if 324 lb sophomore William Campbell shows he can handle the middle. Ryan Van Bergen (40tkls, 5 sacks) returns at one End, and senior Greg Banks could take the other slot. Craig Roh (37 tkls, 5.5 for loss) proved in his freshman season that he can be make some plays, and should be even better next year. The other two LBs Obi Ezeh (69 tkls, 5 for loss) and Jonas Mouton (66tkls, 3 for loss and 2 Ints) are capable of much better performances and more will be expected of them or they could see Kevin Leach and JB Fitzgerald take even more of their playing time. Returnee Troy Woolfolk (46 tkls) is okay at corner but needs to make more plays on the ball and sophomore Jordan Kovacs (75 tkls, 4.5 for loss) returns at SS, but the rest of secondary is new. The other corner will most likely be sophomore JT Floyd (17 tkls) who had 2 starts and played in 9 games last season. FS will be redshirt freshman Cameron Gordon. The all-important 5th DB position will be taken by another redshirt freshman Thomas Gordon. This is a very green secondary.

Special Teams

Both Kicker and Punter need to be replaced this season, and nobody stood out in spring. Most likely K will be redshirt freshman Brendan Gibbons and P will be William Hagerup. Stonum (25.7 avg return and 1 TD) is a good KR, but Hemingway needs to improve his PR average (8.6) or lose the job. The coverage teams were solid last season but the unit as a whole has a lot of question marks this season.

Next Season

Rodriguez needs to get Michigan back on the bowl scene this season or start looking for a new job. A couple of years ago, the OOC would have a been a stroll, but Connecticut and Notre Dame are in better shape than Big Blue right now and ND are at home. FCS Massachusetts should be a win though and Bowling Green was hammered by graduation, so a 3-1 record here would be progress. They face all the division contenders and a tough Michigan State squad, so 6 or 7 wins is probably the best they can do. What is also a concern is whether the 3-3-5 scheme can hold up in the "black & blue" Big Ten, where power running attacks are the norm. If it fails, this will be another long season for the Big Blue.

Michigan State

Last Year

Last year's 6-7 (4-4 Big Ten) may have seemed a regression from the previous season, but considering they were reloading at QB and RB, they actually performed well, particularly after a 1-3 start that included a loss to MAC champ Central Michigan. QBs Kirk Cousins and Keith Nichols alternated early on, but Cousins finally won the job and had a fine season. Nichols wasn't too bad either, but he's moved to WR and is listed as a starter going into fall camp. The search for a new back unearthed two in Larry Caper and Edwin Baker. The offense was solid most of the year and the run defense was sturdy, but the pass defense was very weak. The Spartans made it to a bowl game for the third consecutive year but also lost for the third time.

Offense

Cousins (60.4%, 2680 yds, 19 TDs & 9 Ints) was excellent in his first season and led the conference in passing efficiency. Keith Nichol (53.8%, 764 yds, 7 TDs and 3 Ints) was okay, but will play receiver in '10. His backup will be redshirt freshman Andrew Maxwell. If Cousins can stay healthy, he could put up some serious numbers this season. Larry Caper (120-468-6) will be the nominal starter at RB, although he needs to improve his vision, but Edwin Baker (85-427-1) and freshman Le'Veon Bell will share the carries. Senior Josh Rouse will be the Bullback. The offensive line should be decent with DJ Young switching from Right to Left tackle to form a rock solid combo with LG Joel Foreman. Senior C John Stipek started three games last year and sophomore RG Chris McDonald played in three games too. Senior RT J'Michael Deane was the starter coming out of spring camp but may let lose his job to Jared McGaha. The right side of the line is a question mark going into the season. Blair White is a big loss at receiver, but the returnees have the makings of an explosive group. Nichol will start at one spot with Keshawn Martin (18-411-5) at the other. The third and fourth receivers, Mark Dell (26-449-1) and BJ Cunningham (48-641-4) could start in a pinch. TE Charlie Gantt (22-348-2) is a good run blocker and receiver. The backs weren't used much as receivers last season, and with this group there isn't much need for them this year either. If the line comes together early, this could be one of the most explosive offenses in the conference.

Defense

Last season was a tale of two units, with an excellent run defense and weak pass defense, caused by a lack of pass rush. 7 starters return, but there don't appear to be any players capable of harrying QBs. DT Jerel Worthy (37 tkls, 4.5 for loss and 4.5 sacks) lived up to his name last year and should be even better in 2010. The NT will be Blake Treadwell (11 tkls) who started only one game in his freshman season, but the coaching staff think highly of him. Colin Neely (24 tkls, 4 for loss, 3 sacks) returns at one end while sophomore Tyler Hoover (13 tkls, .5 sack) takes the rush end spot. He doesn't appear to be the answer. Linebacker is a different story. Greg Jones (154 tkls, 5 for loss and 9 sacks) is one of the best, if not the best, LB in the country. He has improved as a pass rusher and defender too. Eric Gordon (92 tkls, 4 for loss, 3 sacks) returns on the Strongside and he's another good one. Sophomore Chris Norman (11 tkls, 1 for loss) was a top recruit and takes on the weakside in 2010. The corners should be good next season, with Chris Rucker (58 tkls, 7 PBUs and 1 INT) returning and Johnny Adams joining him after redshirting last season. He started 2 games in '08 and he's solid. Both safeties return with Marcus Hyde (46 tkls) on the Strongside and Trenton Robinson (67 tkls and 1 INT) at Free. The safeties need to improve this season. Opponents passed for 32 TDs and just 6 INTs last year, and the pass rush can't be held completely responsible.

Special Teams

Dan Conroy or Kevin Muma will take over at Kicker from the excellent Brett Swenson and either has big shoes to fill. Neither impressed during the spring. Punter Aaron Bates (41.6 gross, 36.8 net) is a good one. Martin is an excellent KR (23-665-1) but needs to improve as a PR (21-156-0). The kick coverage had the occasional breakdown, but the punt coverage was good. This unit could be a problem area next season.

Next Season

The OOC in 2010 is easy outside of a home game against Notre Dame, although they should be favored. They escape Ohio State this season and get Wisconsin at home, although they have to travel to Iowa and Penn State. Assuming the line plays to its potential they should be good for a 9 win season. An upset or two could set them up as conference dark horses. If the pass defense can provide some kind of pressure and make a few stops, there could be five contenders for the Big Ten crown next in 2010. Regardless they should be fun to watch on offense. A first bowl win under Dantonio would be nice too.

Minnesota

Last Year

The Golden Gophers managed a 6-7 (3-5 Big Ten) and a close bowl loss to Iowa State despite having an offense that was one of the worst in the FBS. Their offensive line (deservedly) took the brunt of the blame after averaging just 3 yards per rush and allowing 41 sacks. Adam Weber played like a rookie at times last season despite starting since his freshman season. The receivers also failed to step up after their best player Eric Decker was lost for the season. The defense was better but not by much and essentially carried them to their bowl game. They lost two games by three and another close one to Iowa, but despite the bowl game this was not a season to be proud of.

Offense

The good news is nine starters return from last season including the whole offensive line. The bad news is the offense ranked 100th in scoring and 109th in total yards. Coach Tim Brewster's response was to bring in a new offensive co-ordinator, Jeff Horton, who plans to change the offense to one that emphasises the run and play action. Weber has a tenuous hold on his starting spot after under-performing last season but it is hoped the new offensive approach will take some of the pressure off him. Reducing the sack count would help too. Sophomore MarQueis Gray (15-6-62-1-1) played in some running formations last season and rushed for 294 yards and 3 TDs. This should continue this season if he doesn't take over as starter. It's hard to judge the backs based on last season's performance but it looks like a committee approach will be adopted again this season. Duane Bennett (98-376-6), DeLeon Eskridge (74-294-3) and freshman LaMonte Edwards should all see the ball last season. Jon Hoese (29-103-1) returns at FB. LT Dominic Alford, LG Chris Bunders, C DJ Burris, RG Matt Carufel and RT Jeff Wills are all big guys with an average weigh-in at 323 lbs. Junior Bunders is the only non-senior. They have the size and they have the experience, but can they get the push required to spring the RBs? That will be the big question next season. Troy Stoudemire (26-306-2) needs to pick up his game last season as the only returning full-time season. Da'Jon McKnight (17-311-0) did start six games last season but has little to show for it. Both have the potential to be great, they just have to realise it. The hope is that JUCO TE Tiree Eure can win the starting spot, as there is little else at the spot apart from blockers. There are a lot of "ifs" regarding the offense going into 2010.

Defense

The defense was a bit better than the O last season, but not much. Unlike the offense, they only return two starters. However, though they will lose out on the experience, this is probably the most athletic defense Minny has had in a while. Juniors Brandon Kirksey (16 tkls, 3 for loss) and Jewhan Edwards (8 tkls, 1.5 for loss) will man the middle of the line and both are big but have limited experience. The Ends will be sophomore DL Wilhite (4 tkls, 3 sacks), who came on strong late last year, and either redshirt freshman Ra'Shede Hageman (who was signed as a TE) or junior Anthony Jacobs (19 tkls, 2 for loss, 2 sacks). The combination of size and quickness could help this line compensate for its lack of experience while learning the job early on. Junior Gary Tinsley takes over the MLB spot after making 21 tackles in limited game time last season. Sophomore Keanon Cooper played in the rotation at OLB and had 43 tackles, and he will be joined on the outside by either ex-safety Mike Rallis (who was a medical redshirt last season) or fellow sophomore Spencer Reeves (1 tkl). Sophomore Michael Carter (11 tkls) is expected to take one corner spot and either Ryan Collado (34 tkls), who started 5 games last year and in '08, or JUCO Christyn Lewis will man the other. Expect these guys to be picked on regularly. Both safeties from '09 are back and both are experienced seniors. Kim Royston had 86 tackles and broke up 6 passes, but had just one interception. Kyle Theret led the team with 3 picks to go with 73 tackles and 4 PBUs. They've been okay, although they could make more plays, but they have to take on a leadership role this season too. The defense could be shredded early, but should improve over the season if they don't collapse altogether.

Special Teams

Kicker Eric Ellestad was solid last season making 13/17 FGs and all his PATs, but his longest made was from 39 yards. He did make a couple of clutch kicks to win games too. His job is safe but he could improve his range. Punter Dan Oroeske started well last season, averaging 44.6 on 9 punts, but was struck down by mono and missed the rest of the season. He appeared to be back at full strength in spring camp and looked good. Troy Stoudemire (24.6 avg) was good returning kicks last season, and PR Bryant Allen (12.2 avg) was good in limited opportunities. Both should continue to perform in 2010. The punt coverage was very good, but the kick coverage was spotty and allowed a TD. As a whole this is a good unit though.

Next Season

The OOC is a tough call for this team. They open with a trip to Middle Tennessee who may hail from the Sun Belt, but have the kind of offense and QB who could cause an inexperienced defense fits. Week 3 brings a visit from Southern Cal and week 4 brings traditionally tough Northern Illinois. A 3-1 start (they're not beating USC) could build up some confidence for their tough Big Ten run. They face the top 4 teams (3 at home!!) but could potentially beat anyone else on the schedule if they gel early. Most likely they will be propping up the Big Ten this season but there wouldn't be any surprise if they made another bowl game either.

Northwestern

Last Year

Pat Fitzgerald has done a fine job here considering the circumstances - Northwestern is a small private school with an enrolment of just below 8,000 and tough academic restrictions. Last year's 8-5 (5-3) included an overtime bowl loss to Auburn and a 4-1 finish to the regular season that included wins over Iowa and Wisconsin. Senior QB Mike Kafka was a one man show on offense completing 64.8% of his passes for 3430 yards and 16 TDs against just 12 picks, including 78 passes in the bowl game, and was the team's best rushing threat. But that was also the problem with the team – their running attack was almost non-existent. The defense was solid against the run, but struggled against better passing attacks. This as a good season, but it's been a while since the Wildcats won a bowl game, so that should be next on the agenda.

Offense

The bad new is the omnipotent Kafka is off to the NFL. The good news is this is a QB-friendly offense that will start its third in as many seasons and all have performed capably. Junior Dan Persa (58.8%, 224 yds with 2 TDs and 2 INTs) played some last season and looked good in spring camp. Highly regarded redshirt freshman Evan Watkins will back him up. No running back stepped up last season but that is expected to change this season. Arby Fields (82-302-5) will top the depth chart heading into fall and will be capably backed up by Scott Concannon (68-241-2), Jacob Schmidt (64-219-1) and Stephen Simmons (59-240-2). Persa can run when called upon too. The offensive line returns three starters, and could be excellent this season. LT Al Netter is an exception and was a rock last season – he should be in the running for all-conference status this season. C Ben Burkett is on the Rimington Award watchlist and Neal Deiters started 7 games at RT in '09 but will battle Doug Bartels for the starting spot at RG. Keegan Grant and Brian Mulroe will fight it out for the LG spot. Patrick Ward will start at RT and has looked god so far. Two of last year's starting receivers have gone but the unit should be solid. Sidney Stewart started 5 games and caught 42 passes for 470 yards and 2 TDs. Jeremy Ebert (21-226-0) struggled with injuries last season but is fully recovered and had an excellent spring camp. The third spot should be taken by Demetrius Fields (24-225-1). This is a deep group and Northwestern will get many of their backups involved too. At TE Drake Dunsmore (47-523-3) was excellent last season and figures to be even better in 2010. He's not used much as a blocker, but has great hands. Josh Rooks will back him up but he caught just 3 passes. If the running game can kick in to help out Persa, this offense could be hard to stop next season.

Defense

6 starters return on defense this season, and it will most likely be a repeat of last season – decent against the run but unable to hold up against earnest passing attacks. They came up with 17 Interceptions against 18 TDs last season and had a +4 turnover margin overall. This season sees two back on a line that managed with a sub par Corey Wooten (since graduated) last season and should again this year. One is DT Corbin Bryant (30 tkls, 3 for loss and 2.5 sacks) and he's solid. Joining him will be new starter Jack DiNardo (3 tkls) who has had an excellent offseason. Vince Browne (39 tkls, 3 for loss and 5 sacks) returns at End who could have a breakout year. Kevin Watt is slated to start opposite him having improved his speed and strength. There should be little if any dropoff with this group. The linebackers are the strength of the defense with all three returning. Nate Williams (86 tkls, 6 for loss, 2 INTs) returns at MLB and is one of the leaders on the team. Starting alongside him is Quentin Davie (90 tkls, 6.5 for loss and 5 sacks) who's probably the best of the bunch. Ben Johnson (28 tkls, 2 for loss) started seven games last season, but must hold off the challenge of Bryce McNaul heading into fall. There is solid depth here too. The secondary is a major concern with only CB Jordan Mabin (75 tkls, 2 INTs) returning, although he's one of the best in the conference. Joining him should be senior Justan Vaughn, who's suffered the injury bug the last two years. Brian Peters (67 tkls, 3 for loss, 3 INTs) started five games last season at safety and played in the nickel too. He should man the SS position this season. The FS should be ex-LB Jared Carpenter who is favored going into the fall.

Special Teams

Stefan Demos was all-Big Ten last season, with finishing 18/25 FGs, but he missed five of them over his last three games, including two which potentially cost them the bowl game. He should be back on form in 2010. He handled the punting chores last season, not too successfully, and should be replaced this season by Brandon Williams who is favored going into fall camp. Stephen Simmons was an excellent KR (25.3 avg) but Jeravin Matthews (17.0) needs to improve. A new PR must be found but there are plenty of quality athletes to handle the job. Despite allowing a KR for a TD, the coverage was generally good, although the punt coverage was poor. Demos' struggles at punter didn't help the cause here. This unit should be better this season though.

Next Season

The Wildcats open with a relatively tough trip to Vanderbilt, but the rest of their OOC consists of FCS Illinois State, Rice and a Dan LeFevour-less Central Michigan. In the conference schedule, all their games are winnable up to a murderous final four weeks when they play at Penn State, home to Iowa, Illinois and at Wisconsin. If Persa gets going early and the running game makes some plays, this team could pull off some more upsets this season. A bowl game is very probable, a run at the conference championship is not overly unrealistic.

Ohio State

Last Year

Last season Jim Tressel kept a tight rein on QB Terrell Pryor, instead relying on a solid running attack and an outstanding defense. That all changed in the bowl game against Oregon when Pryor threw 37 passes, winning the game with his arm instead of his feet. The Buckeyes finished with a solid 11-2 (7-1 Big Ten) record and the conference championship. Their only losses were at home to USC and a shock loss to at Purdue in which Pryor was sacked 5 times and OSU had a -2 turnover margin. The offense was completely shut down in a home game to Wisconsin, yet they won 31-13 thanks to their defense and special teams.

Offense

Pryor had an okay season, completing 56.6% of his passes for 2094 yards with 18 TDs against just 11 INTs. He also led the team in rushing with 779 yards and 7 TDs. Expect more passing and less running this season and Tressel gives Pryor a little more freedom. Joe Bauserman (31.6%, 124 yards) returns as his backup, but this team will struggle without Pryor's versatility. Pryor may be the best runner, but that is no reflection on the running back corps which is loaded with quality. Brandon Saine (145-739-4) was the second leading rusher last season and is a former high school sprinter. Dan Herron (153-600-7) had more carries and is more of an inside runner. Jordan Hall chipped in with 257 yards and a TD. Four members of the offensive line that paved the way for nearly 200 ypg last season return. C Michael Brewster is joined by Gs Justin Boren and Bryant Browning and JB Shugarts who will probably move from Right to Left Tackle in 2010. Marcus Hall and Mike Adams will rotate at RT. The line did not perform as expected in the spring but should iron out the wrinkles when the season kicks off. Depth could be an issue too. Both starting receivers DeVier Posey (60-828-8) and Dane Sanzebacher (36-570-6) are excellent targets for Pryor, but finding a quality third target has been problematic. Chris Fields, Ricky Crawford and Taurian Washington will duel for the role. Again, depth could be an issue. At TE the excellently named Jake Stoneburner takes over from Jake Ballard. He needs to work on his blocking but has decent hands and could be an important part of the offense. Except for the RBs the offense could be in trouble with a rash of injuries.

Defense

The defense returns six starters from last season's fantastic unit, but only one on the line. However, that returning starter is potential All-American Cameron Heyward (46 tkls, 3.5 for loss and 6.5 sacks). The other end appears to be Nathan Williams' job to lose. Dexter Larimore (20 tkls) was a key member of the rotation the last couple of years and gets the start this season. He'll most likely be joined by John Simon. The camp competition should help the depth during the season. Brian Rolle returns at MLB after making 95 tackles with 7 for loss last season. Beside him is the star of the LB corps Ross Homan who had 108 tackles, 3 for loss, 2 sacks, 5 PBUs and 5 picks. Etienne Sabino (6 tkls, .5 sack) will join them this season after backing up his first two seasons. The secondary returns three starters, including both corners. Chimdi Chekwa (43 tkls, 7 PBUs and 1 INT) and Devon Torrence (35 tkls, 2 PBUs and 2 INTs) are both seniors. FS Jermale Hines (57 tkls, 2 INTs) is a fulltime starter for the first time after playing in a hybrid linebacker/safety role. Orhian Johnson has shown great promise and gets his chance to start this season. There is depth, but it's inexperienced. If the defense can stay healthy, it could be just as dominant as last season's. A rash of injuries could cause problems in a hurry.

Special Teams

Devin Barclay took over at kicker for Aaron Pettrey last season after he was lost for the season and did a decent job, making all his PATs and 7/10 FGs. He'll need to improve his long of 39 if he wants to keep the job though. Ben Buchanan should take over at Punter after doing well in his brief stint last season. Some new return men need to be found for next season. Freshman RB Jordan Hall will probably return kicks at least. Kick coverage was generally okay despite allowing a TD and punt coverage was superb. There is room for improvement this season.

Next Season

The OOC schedule has three easy teams – Marshall, Ohio and Eastern Michigan – and Miami (Fl) who are poised to make some noise this season. OSU has received a lot of top 5 preseason rankings and this game will make up a lot of minds about them. Their conference schedule is tough with trips to Wisconsin and Iowa, although they get Penn State in Columbus. Pryor will get more chances to throw the ball this season and he may have to carry the team on his shoulders as the defense is fraught with question marks, depth being the greatest. If the Buckeyes want to be taken seriously and compete for a BCS game again, or even win their own conference, these questions must be answered.

Penn State

Last Year

Since Joe Paterno's apparent demise as a coach five years ago when the Nittany Lions had losing seasons in four of five seasons, they have gone 51-13 and have a 4-1 bowl record. That's not too shabby for a coach the game has passed by. The secret to his success seems to be his ability to adapt to personnel and current trends, switching to a spread offense when mobile (passing) QBs became all the rage. Michael Robinson started the charge and then they switched seamlessly to Darryl Clark, who performed well though never quite meeting his lofty potential. Last season Clark (381-232-3003-24-10, 84-211-7) led the team to an 11-2 (6-2 Big Ten) record, a bowl win over LSU and a number 11 ranking in the final BCS standings. The offense and defense (especially) were both excellent but there two losses were disappointing, losing by two scores to conference rivals Iowa and Ohio State at home.

Offense

The offense returns seven starters from last season but could be a problem this season as Clark has graduated and no heir apparent has stepped forward. Last year's backup was Kevin Newsome who threw just 11 passes (but ran for 95 yds and 2 TDs as well) in limited opportunities and failed to take hold of the starting job in the spring. Matt McGloin and freshman Paul Jones are also in the running, but this won't be decided until fall camp. This uncertainty will mean a heavier reliance on the running game, which is good news. Evan Royster (205-1169-6) is an excellent runner and is capably backed up by Stephfon Green (71-319-3) who deserves more carries. There's decent depth behind these two. Penn State doesn't use a FB much anymore, but Joey Suhey (22-70-0) gets the job done when called upon. The offensive line was a problem in the spring despite the return of four starters, leaving Paterno somewhat under-whelmed. Stefan Wisniewski will play RG beside Lou Ellades at Tackle. The left side will be Guard Johnnie Troutman and Tackle DeOn'Tae Pannell. Senior Doug Klopacz has some playing experience but is a new starter. This unit could be shuffled again in fall camp. WR will be a strength with both last year's leading receivers returning. Derek Moye (48-785-6) and Graham Zug (46-600-7) are tall and fast, and should ease the transition for whoever plays QB. They will most likely be joined by Curtis Drake (8-98-0). Andrew Szczerba has a hard act to follow at TE in Andrew Quarless. He only has 2 career catches. He has the size and potential to a threat. Royster and Green are good receivers out of the backfield and will probably be utilised more this season with a new QB at the helm.

Defense

Defense, and in particular the Linebackers, is a PSU tradition, and last season was no exception. The unit was 3rd in scoring defense, 9th in total yardage and had a +6 turnover margin. The question is whether they can repeat this with five starters back. Ollie Ogbu (30 tkls, 6 for loss and 2 sacks) is solid at one tackle spot. He will be joined by Devon Still (19 tkls, 3.5 for loss and 2 sacks) who has the unenviable task of replacing Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year Jared Odrick. He did a good job in the rotation last season and hopefully there won't be too much dropoff. Jack Crawford (31 tkls, 9 for loss and 5.5 sacks) did a fine job at end last season. He'll be joined this season by Eric Latimore (21 tkls, 2.5 for loss and 3.5 sacks). The coaching staff's frequent rotation of linemen should serve them well this season as the line should continue to perform this season. The Linebacker U moniker will be put to the test this season, as there'll be three new starters. Senior Bani Gbadyu (37 tkls) has some experience and should take one OLB. Junior Nate Stupar (31 tkls) is favored to start opposite him. Both saw plenty of playing time last season. Sophomore Michael Mauti missed last season due to injury and will push Chris Colasanti (18 tkls) in the middle. This could be a solid unit, particularly if the line performs to expectations. Three starters return in the secondary, including CB D'Anton Lynn (35 tkls, 5 PBUs) who has plenty of potential. The other corner will be Stephon Morris (30 tkls, 1 INT). At SS will be Drew Astorino (62 tkls, 4 PBUs, 1 INT) and the FS will be Nick Sukay (41 tkls, 11 PBUs, 2 INTs). There is quality depth and this unit should continue to perform this season. If the linebackers can adequately replace last year's three draft picks, the defense should come close to last season's unit in terms of production.

Special Teams

Collin Wagner (100% PATs, 15/22) was okay in his first full season as the team's Kicker, but he only made 1 of 5 over 40 (47) and will need to improve his range. Anthony Fera was the number one Punter in spring but was suspended. If he isn't ready to go, Russell Nye will probably replace him. There were issues with punting (blocks, coverage) last season that need to be corrected. Chaz Powell (23.2) and Green (25.5) were the primary KRs last season but could improve, as could PR Astorino (7.9). The kick coverage wasn't bad put the punt coverage was very poor. This unit must improve this season.

Next Season

The OOC in 2010 entails 1 FCS team, 2 MAC teams and Alabama in Tuscaloosa. If the Lions can play hard ('bama have their own woes), they could serve notice of bigger things this season. They don't play Wisconsin, but they play bogey team Iowa (they haven't beaten then in Iowa since '99) and Ohio State away. If they can answer their question marks – QB; O-Line; LBs; Special Teams, they are capable of contending for the Big Ten. Joe Paterno will be retiring sooner rather than later. Once more conference championship and a BCS game could be a nice send-off.

Purdue

Last Year

The Boilermakers were nothing if not exciting last season. Seven if their games were decided by 8 points or less and included a win over conference champs Ohio State. Unfortunately they lost five of those games and ended up 5-7 (4-4 Big Ten). The offense only failed to score 20 or more points once (a shutout at Wisconsin), but the defense only held two teams to less than 21 (Ohio State and Illinois). Danny Hope's first year as head coach showed plenty of promise for the future.

Offense

Joey Elliott had a fine season at QB last season, completing 61.7% of his passes for 3026 yards and 22 TDs and 13 Interceptions. Unfortunately he's graduated, but Miami transfer Robert Marve is ready to take his place. He struggled with injuries and inconsistency at Miami, but Hope runs a QB-friendly system that should take advantage of Marve's strong arm and athleticism. He's coming off ACL surgery, so if his knee doesn't hold up, last year's reserve, sophomore Caleb TerBush will step in. This should be a strength going into the season. Last season's star RB Ralph Bolden (200-935-9) tore his ACL in spring but is listed as number one on the depth chart. This could be wishful thinking on their behalf, but the sooner he can come back the better as he is a versatile back and one of the best in the Big Ten. Al-Terek McBurse (4-0-0) and ex-receiver Keith Carlos (21 rec for 242 yds and a TD) are ready to go when called upon, but neither appears to be in Bolden's class. Only two starters, LT Dennis Kelly and RG Ken Plue, return from last season's squad. Sophomore Rick Schmeig takes over at Center, while 5th year senior Justin Pierce, who has started in the past, moves in at RG. The new RT will be junior ex-DL Nick Mondek. There is plenty of size but not a lot of experience here. Keith Smith (91-1100-6) had an excellent season last season and should be Marve's top target this year too. He'll be joined by Cortez Smith (17-177-2) and ex-QB/RB Justin Siller who did not play last year due to suspension. There isn't much depth though. TE Kyle Adams (29-249-0) returns and is an excellent blocker and safety valve receiver. Bolden and Smith are both good receivers and should continue to be used in that capacity.

Defense

Last season the run defense frequently was gashed while the pass defense performed well. This season could be the reverse. Six starters return, but none in the secondary. This will mean the front seven will have to pressure opposing QBs while the defensive backs get their feet wet. Luckily, this is a good possibility – after 32 sacks last year, there could be more this season. The Ends are the strength of the defense, especially Ryan Kerrigan (66 tkls, 5.5 for loss and 13 sacks). His high-octane approach makes others around him better. The other End is Gerald Gooden (37 tkls, 3.5 for loss and 4.5 sacks). Kawann Short (48tkls, 4 for loss) had a solid season at tackle and will be joined this season by redshirt freshman Kevin Pamphile who is the kind of athlete this team likes. Outside of Short though, this group lacks size. Last year's three starting LBs return, but Chris Carlino (71 tkls, 2 for loss, 4 PBUs, 1 INT) will not be starting having lost his job to sophomore Dwayne Beckford (34 tkls, 3 for loss) who hits like a train. Carlino will see plenty of game time as the senior backup though. The OLBs will be Joe Holland (81 tkls, 2 for loss, 1.5 sacks and 1 INT) who has good range and Jason Werner (77 tkls, 10 for loss, 4.5 sacks and an INT). This is a good group but needs to play the run better. The new corners will be junior Charlton Williams (3 tkls) and sophomore Josh Johnson (4 tkls), both of whom are very inexperienced. The FS will be junior Logan Link, who has good size but hasn't played, and junior Albert Evans (30 tkls, 2 PBUs) will play SS after playing some Nickelback last season. There is no experience on the depth chart either. Expect this line-up to change regularly throughout the season as opposition QBs pick on this group.

Special Teams

Kicker Carson Wiggs made just 14/21 FGs last season, but that includes 8/14 from 40+ and he made a 59 yarder. This leg strength will make him a valuable weapon next season and his accuracy should improve with experience. He's taking over the punting job this season too. Al-Terek McBurse did a good job returning kicks last season, averaging 24.6 per return and scoring a TD. The new PR will be sophomore Antavian Edison who is capable of bettering last year's production (26-215-1). Kick coverage struggled last season although punt coverage was good outside of a 33 yard TD return. This unit has a lot of question marks for 2010.

Next Season

The Boilermakers have a relatively easy OOC schedule outside of Notre Dame, and that's winnable too, and should start at least 3-1. They also avoid playing Iowa and Penn State which is a bonus. If they can like up to their self-styled "Cradle of Quarterbacks" moniker and unleash Marve's potential, they could win 7 or 8 games and make a bowl game. If Marve struggles and they can't keep up in shootouts, that secondary will be the cause of a long season.

Wisconsin

Last Year

Scott Tolzien was a pleasant surprise for the Badgers last season, topping the conference in passing efficiency and leading the team to a 10-3 (5-3 Big Ten) record. The three losses were disappointing though with the offense giving up 13 of their 23 sacks allowed and Tolzien throwing 7 of his 11 interceptions. Against Ohio State out-gained the Buckeyes 368-184 yet lost 31-13. The Badgers tend to underachieve when expectations are high and overachieve when they are written off. However, apart from the Iowa game, the offense was productive behind Tolzien and Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year John Clay. The run defense was outstanding but the pass defense was vulnerable at times. They closed the season with a solid win over a tough Miami (Fl) team. A good season for the most part, but this team can do better.

Offense

This offense is loaded for a championship run this year with 10 starters back and plenty of experience behind them. As mentioned earlier, Tolzien (64.3%, 2705 yds, 16 TDs & 11 INTs) was the driving force behind the offense last season playing very efficiently for the most part. He should be even better in '10. Last year's backup Curt Phillips tore his ACL in the spring, so redshirt freshman John Budmayr will step in if needed. He's has no game experience at this level though. Almost any QB could be effective if he had John Clay (287-1517-18) running the ball to keep defenses honest and bruised. Clay weighs 248 lbs but is more than just a bruiser. He'll be on the Heisman list this fall. Both his backups Montee Ball (98-391-4) and Zach Brown (66-279-3) are capable of stepping in when the need arises. When the Badgers use a FB, Bradie Ewing is the man. This is a fine group of backs. What makes this group even better is the fact that all 5 starters from last year's offensive line is returning. LG John Moffitt and LT Gabe Carimi were 1st Team Big 10 last season and are joined by C Peter Konz, RG Kevin Zeitler and RT Josh Oglesby, all of whom get a mention on Big Ten teams. The depth is excellent. Nick Toon (54-805-4) returns at WR and is definitely a "chip off the old block". His father was a fine receiver here and Toon is really coming along as Tolzien's favorite target. He'll be joined by Isaac Anderson (30-480-2). David Gilreath (12-177-0) and Kyle Jefferson (4-35-0) are good backups. Wisconsin uses Tight Ends as much as any team and produced some quality targets at the position. This year Lance Kendricks (29-356-3 as a 2nd string) will continue the trend. Jake Byrne will step in when a second TE is required. The backs aren't used much in the passing game although they are competent. This offense is designed to run over opponents and this could be their most effective unit in years.

Defense

This could be the problem area next season as only 5 starters return on defense. The only lineman back is End JJ Watt (44 tkls, 11 for loss, 4.5 sacks) although he's a good one. If he can get help fomr the new starters, he should be able to replace last year's star O'Brien Schofield. The other end will probably be junior Louis Nzegwu (10 tkls, 3.5 sacks) who played in the rotation last season. The tackles will be redshirt freshman Jordan Kohout and junior Patrick Butrym (24 tkls, 2 for loss, .5 sack, 2 PBUs, 1 INT). Both are big and the latter started 3 games last year, but neither are guaranteed success. 2 Linebackers return from last year's squad and both are pretty good. Culmer St Jean (63 tkls, 2.5 for loss, 1.5 sacks, 4 PBUs) mans the middle with Mike Taylor (46 tkls, 5.5 for loss) returning at OLB. He was lost for the season against Iowa, so it's hoped he's back to full strength. Chris Borland (54 tkls, 5.5 for loss & 5 sacks) took over for him and this year starts opposite him. This has the makings of a solid group if it can get some help up front. Devin Smith (55 tkls, 9 PBUs and 2 INTs) returns at one Corner spot but must get over his inconsistency of last year. Niles Brinkley (38 tkls, 4 PBUs, 2 INTs) started 6 games last year and may start, but might lose his job to Antonio Fenelus (35 tkls). These two rotated last year but the coaching staff would prefer to settle on one starter. Jay Valal (51 tkls, 3.5 for loss, 4 PBUs) is a big part of the run defense at SS. Aaron Henry (18 tkls, 4 PBUs) takes over at FS and has experience, but will have a tough job matching last year's starter Chris Maragos' production.

Special Teams

Both kicker Philip Welch (49-47 PATs and 17/24 FGs 57 long) Punter Brad Nortman (42.0 gross, 35.7 net) return and both are very good with the potential to improve. This is one of the best combos in the country. Gilreath averaged 23.7 per KR and should continue in that role but he needs to improve his 5.6 average PR. He did score a TD though. Punt coverage was pretty good but kick coverage was very poor (26.4 ypr, 1 TD). Improving these numbers is important this year.

Next Season

Wisconsin starts with an easy OOC although Arizona State's defense is tough and could be tricky. They don't play Penn State and get Ohio State at home but must travel to Michigan State and Iowa. They have four games to get their defense and special teams in order before travelling to their first big game in East Lansing. Their offense will top the Big Ten this year and the ball control style should help their defense, and with OSU coming to Madison and Iowa and Penn State weakened, The Big Ten championship should run through Wisconsin. Anything less will be a disappointment.


 


 

Monday, July 26, 2010 0 comments

Big East Preview

Cincinnati

Last Year

Despite the disappointing thrashing in the bowl game against Florida, last season was easily the best in the Bearcat's history. The offense was amazing, with the 24 points they scored in the bowl the least they scored all season. They were 4th in the nation in scoring with 38.6 ppg. Even when Tony Pike went down, Zach Collaros stepped in and was arguably even better. It wasn't all great though, with the defense falling asleep the last five games. They allowed an average of 12.9 ppg the first eight games, then 39.4 the last five. This tale of two defenses finally caught up with them in the bowl game. The offense also took some time to get going in some games before waking up in the second half.

Offense

Last year's coach Brian Kelly is one of the finest offensive minds in the game today, and it shows in his teams' successes. Unfortunately, coaches such as these don't stay put very long, and Kelly is no different, taking the top job at Notre Dame this season. Ironically, new coach Butch Jones replaced Kelly at Central Michigan when he took the Cincinnati job. Jones did an excellent job at CMU, making a fine QB of Dan LeFevour. He now gets to play with Collaros, who is a far better fit for the spread offense both he and Kelly favor than last year's QB Tony Pike was. Pike was excellent for the most part last year, throwing for 2520 yards and 29 TDs against a mere 6 Ints. When Pike was injured for 3½ games, Collaros stepped in and completed a superb 75% of his passes for 1434 yards and 10 TDs with only 2 Ints. He also ran for 344 yards and 4 TDs, including a 75 yarder. It will be interesting to see how Collaros performs this season now that opponents have had a good look at him. His backup is junior Chazz Anderson who has game experience and has played well. The Bearcats only ran for 139 ypg last season, but that was more due to a prolific passing attack, although on occasion the running game was shut down by strong defenses. Isaiah Pead came on strong last year, gaining 806 yards and 9 TDs at 6.7 a pop. He will get a lot more work this season if he can hold up. Last season's number 2 has graduated, so John Goebel will get some carries after missing most of last season due to injury. The offensive line returns three starters, LT Sam Griffin, LG Jason Kelce and RG Alex Hoffman. New C Evan Davis and RT CJ Cobb have plenty of experience and should have few problems stepping up this year. Big-play guy Mardy Gilyard is gone to the NFL, but Armon Binns (61-888-11) and DJ Woods (51-640-4) return at WR. Vidal Hazelton got lost in the shuffle at USC, but has transferred here and sat out last year. He is a former top recruit and should flourish in the wide open offense. TE Ben Guidugli (27-364-3) returns after being voted 2nd team Big East last year. Pead caught 20 passes and 2 TDs last season, and should see an increased role in 2010.

Defense

Fixing the defensive meltdown at the end of the season has to be top of the coaching staff's list this season, and with only five starters back, it may not happen this season. The line only returns one starter, Tackle Derek Wolfe, but he's a good one notching five sacks last season. Joining him will most likely be fellow junior John Hughes, who played well when called upon last season. The coaching staff must find a pass rusher to replace Alex Daniels 8.5 sacks at End last season. Dan Giordano was a regular in the rotation last season and played well. On the other side is probably sophomore Brandon Mills, who made the most of his limited opportunities last season. It is hoped these guys can play as well or better in an expanded role this season. The lack of experience could hurt though. JK Schaffer and Walter Stewart return to man the outside at Linebacker, and both have flashed great potential at times. Tennessee transfer Dorian Davis will man the middle, but he hasn't done much to date. Corner Dominique Battle and Safety Drew Frey return after solid seasons in '09, and they'll be joined by freshmen CB Cameron Cheatham and junior S Wesley Richardson. Expect Cheatham to be targeted early and often. Last season's defense wasn't particularly good, expect more of the same this season.

Special Teams

Jake Rogers has been merely average as both a kicker and a punter, and has been benefited by Cinci's prolific offense. If they struggle this season and Gs become more regular, Rogers might not be the man for the job. Patrick O'Donnell may take over the punting chores to allow Rogers to focus on his placekicking. The return teams were exceptional last season, but Gilyard was their main returner, so a capable replacement must be found. The coverage teams were pretty good too, particularly the kick squad.

Next Season

It would be a surprise if the Bearcats were to repeat last year's success, even with a breakout year from Collaros. This team is currently in a state of flux, particularly with the coaching change, but in saying that, a manageable schedule (only Oklahoma in OOC) means at least 8 wins and a bowl game is assured.

Connecticut

Last Year

Last season was overshadowed by the stabbing of starting corner Jasper Howard in October, but the team pulled through this admirably, a tribute to coach Randy Edsall. The Huskies had a solid 8-5 (3-4 Big East) last season and a bowl win over South Carolina, and their five losses were by a total of 15 points. They ran the ball successfully for the most part, with the two pronged attack of Jordan Todman and Andre Dixon (both 1000+ yards and 28TDs) doing the damage. The passing game improved as the season went on. The defense struggled against the better teams but 33 sacks and 25 turnovers kept them in games.

Offense

Zach Fraser started the season at QB and struggled until he got injured. Cody Endres stepped in and played well, and probably would have retained the starting job except he was lost for the season against Rutgers. Fraser returned and looked like a different QB, leading to team to a 4-1 finishing clip including the bowl win. This season both QBs return, with Fraser the likely starter. Dixon moves on this season, but leading rusher Todman (1188 yards and 14 TDs) returns. Tough FB Anthony Sherman will ope holes for him again in '10. Four linemen return to clear the way, including 1st Team Big East C Moe Petrus and RG Zach Hurd. RT Mike Ryan can play both tackle spots and LG will be a battle between Erik Kuraczea and Mathieu Olivier, both of whom started at times last season. The likely LT is sophomore Jimmy Bennett (a former top recruit). He missed spring camp with a knee injury though, but it is hoped he will be ready to go in September. This is potentially UConn's best line since moving up from the FCS. Neither of their starting wide receivers from last season return, and big play guy Marcus Easley will be a huge loss, but the returning players are experienced and solid. Michael Smith and Kashif Moore should be the nominal starters. Ryan Griffin caught 23 passes for 272 yards at TE last season and is more than good enough to improve in those numbers this season. He's also picked up his blocking. Todman is capable catching the ball out of the backfield. With eight starters back, and two experienced QBs, this unit is rock solid this season.

Defense

The defense also returns eight starters, including three quarters of their defensive line. Kendall Reyes and Twyon Martin return to man the middle, and Jesse Joseph is the returning End. Last year's starting MLB Greg Lloyd moves to DE this season. The coaching staff believe his speed and strength can cover the loss of Lindsey Witten's 11.5 sacks. Despite Lloyd's move, the linebacking corps returns two four year starters in Scott Lutrus and Lawrence Wilson. Lutrus takes over the middle, and '09 part-time starter Jory Johnson takes his spot on the outside. This is a good group. Last year's concern was the secondary, and that should be the case again this season. Sophomore Blidi Wreh-Wilson was forced into a starting corner spot prematurely to replace Howard, but the experience should stand him in good stead. The other starter will be fellow soph Dwayne Gratz, who gained some valuable experience playing in the Nickel D last season. Another sophomore, Jerome Junior, started 12 games at SS last season but moves over to Free in '10. Senior Kijuan Dabney would have played more last season if not for a shoulder injury. He takes over the SS slot. This is an experience unit outside of the secondary – if they can grow up fast, this could be a strong defense in '10.

Special Teams

Kicker Dave Teggart struggled last season (14/23 FGs) after a great freshman year, but it's unlikely he'll lose his job unless he completely falls apart in '10. Redshirt freshman Chad Christen takes over at punter. It remains to be seen whether he can maintain his HS success. Three different players had KR TDs last season (including Todman) and they all return so there's no concern there, but new PR is inexperienced. Kick coverage was poor last season, but punt coverage was excellent. There is plenty of room for improvement here.

Next Season

This team is in good shape with 16 returning starters this season, and is probably the most experience team in the Big East. Their OOC is very winnable (including a trip to struggling Michigan) and if the team can turn some of those close division losses into wins, they could be looking at a ten-win season. In fact, with the changes going on at other Big East programs, they've got to be considered (at least for now) contenders for the conference. His could be the year they finally get some FBS notice.

Louisville

Last Year

How the mighty have fallen! Was it really only four seasons ago that the Cardinals were a loss to Rutgers away from making the BCS game? What has happened since then that caused this fall from the heights. The answer is simple – Bobby Petrino. The coach's exodus to the NFL and rapid exit has been well documented. His replacement was Steve Kragthorpe, who had previously coached at Tulsa and was known as an offensive mastermind, which sat well with the Louisville faithful. So what went wrong? The answer is defense. Petrino's Louisville squads were strong defensively, something that was under-appreciated by alumni. So after three steadily worsening seasons, Kragthorpe was sent packing and ex-Florida defensive co-ordinator Charlie Strong has been brought in. The Cardinals weren't particularly competitive in '09, going 4-8 (1-6 Big East) and propping up the conference.

Offense

Strong intends to run a spread offense akin to that run in Florida, but may not have the pieces necessary to have any impact this season. Last season the Cards played three different QBs, none of who impressed. Best of the bunch was senior Adam Froman (60%, 1354 yds, 6 TDs and 5 INTs). He's the most mobile of the QBs, which suits the new offense, but any pass over 20 yards is an adventure. Will Stein played in four games last season and is faster than Froman, but freshmen Dominique Brown is a tough runner and may win the job at some stage. Louisville generally has decent RBs, and last season was no different. Victor Anderson is their top guy, but he was injured often last season and only gained 473 yards and 5 TDs. Darius Ashley filled in admirably, rushing for 462 yards and 4 TDs, while Bilal Powell came third with 392 yards and 4 TDs. The open spaces provided by the spread offense should give this trio ample opportunity to improve their yardage. Four starters return from an offensive line that allowed 37 sacks and opened holes for 3.5 ypc. These numbers just won't cut it, and no jobs are guaranteed. The starters most likely will be C Mario Benavides, Gs Mark Wetterer and Joe Evinger, and Ts Jeff Adams on the right and either Byron Stingily or Greg Tomczyk on the left. Top receiver Scott long has graduated, but Doug Beaumont (38-465-0) returns. Josh Chichester (17-202-2) will get one of the other WR slots, with either Stephon Ball (3-42-0) or Troy Pascley (3-30-0) taking the third spot. New coaches tend to favor their own recruits, so watch out for freshmen playing a big role here. TE Cameron Graham (27-323-2) is one of the best in the conference and should flourish in an offense that gets rid of the ball quickly. Look for this offense to run often and throw to Graham until Strong's recruits get their feet wet.

Defense

This is Strong's forte, and he did an amazing job (albeit with amazing talent) at Florida. He'll have to exhibit some patience with the holdovers from last year's squad, at least (as with the offense) until his own guys are ready to go. Only five starters return, including their four leading tacklers, leading sack guy and leading interceptor. Two starters return from a line that got shoved around too often in a conference with good running attacks. DT Greg Scruggs (4.5 tfls) and Malcolm Tatum are undersized but do play at a high tempo which will appeal to Strong. Joining them this season will be Tackle Tim High, who weighs 310, but has done little to date. The other end will be William Savoy, who had 5 sacks as part of the rotation last season. The linebackers should be good next season. Brandon Heath (48 tkls, 5.5 for loss and 2 INTs) is the only returning full-time starter, but Dexter Heyman and Antwon Canady have starting experience. Only one starter, CB Johnny Patrick (53 tkls and 2 INTs) returns from a secondary that struggled last season. Anthony Conner played okay in limited opportunities last season, and will man the other corner spot. Safeties will most likely be Terence Simien and Shenard Holton. Neither has a lot of experience and will be the weak spot. There is some talent here, but Strong will have his hands full trying to get them to make some stops.

Special Teams

Chris Philpott (5/5 FGs) took over during the season and did a good job. He looked good in spring camp too. Jon Payne takes over at Punter from the steady Cory Goettsche who graduated. Returner Tent Guy was excellent last season but unfortunately has graduated. Anderson and Beaumont are probably the best options to replace him, but as they are starters, another option may need to be found. Punt coverage was excellent last season, but kick coverage wasn't great. Special teams are especially important to struggling teams, but there's no guarantee they can match last year's production.

Next Season

Strong is a good coach and a good recruiter, but a winning season in '10 may be beyond them. OOC includes equally struggling Kentucky and always tough Oregon State, but the in-conference schedule is harsh this season, even with the changes in the other programs. If they can go 4-1 in OOC then they might eke out six wins, but that's about it for this season. Give them a couple of years though…

Pittsburgh

Last Year

After yearly calling for coach Dave Wannstedt's head the Panthers finally showed their mettle, coming within four points of the Big East title. A 10-3 season (5-2 Big East) included a surprising loss to North Carolina State and losing by 3 in the Backyard Brawl to West Virginia and by 1 to Cincinnati on a game they appeared to have well in hand. They also beat a good North Carolina team in their bowl game. Wannstedt is an excellent recruiter and this year finally showed the results of those good classes. They return many of last season's stars, including super RB Dion Lewis and pass rusher Greg Romeus. The offense and defense were both pretty consistent throughout for the most part, not really deviating too far from their average yardage gained or allowed. This suggests a consistent performance throughout, and this is essentially the truth. They were solid all year long, and their record reflects it.

Offense

Last year, the Panthers had their best total offense since '03 and their best running attack by far this decade. QB Bill Stull (65.1%, 2633 yards, 21 TDs and 8 INTs) really stepped it up last season and was rock solid, making the throws that needed to be made and avoiding any major mistakes. He won't be back this season unfortunately, so Tino Sunseri and Pat Bostick will battle for the job. Sunseri played well in limited opportunities last season (17-10-114-2-0) and is the favorite coming out of the spring, but Bostick has been around a while. Whoever wins the job will have the benefit of handing off to Lewis (325-1799-17), who not only smashed the Panthers' freshman rushing record, but had the second best season in Pitt history behind some guy named Dorsett! He was voted 2nd team All-American for his troubles, and the sky's the limit for him. Backing him up is Ray Graham (61-349-4) who played well when given the chance. He should get more carries this season to give Lewis a breather. Leading the way for them will be Henry Hynoski, a fine blocker who can also run and catch when required. A runner is only as good as his line, and last year's version was superb. Not only did they pave the way for 180 yards a game on the ground, they only allowed 15 sacks. Unfortunately, only Tackles Jason Pinkston and Lucas Nix return. The middle should be manned by senior C Alex Karabin, who plays regularly, and junior Gs Chris Jacobson and Greg Gaskins. They too played regularly last season. If they can hit the ground running, there should be little let down in '10. 6'5 Big play guy Jonathon Baldwin (57-1111-8) returns at receiver, and will be joined by fellow 6'5 Mike Shanahan (15-211-0). Manning the slot will be little guy Greg Cross (redshirted last year), who's only 6'2. This height advantage gives any QB an extra edge on errant passes. They lost both of last season's TEs who were big parts of the offense, and this year's starter will be Mike Cruz (1-2-1) who's a fine blocker but an average receiver. Virginia transfer Andrew Devlin could take his spot. Lewis caught 25 passes last season and should continue to be part of the passing game. This offense should continue to be potent this season.

Defense

The defense last year was tough against the run, but had a few hairy moments against the pass, especially early in the season. They return six starters from last season, including their two top-notch defensive ends. Greg Romeus will look to improve on his 8 sacks of last season – he is the reigning Big East defensive player of the year. On the other side is Jabaal Sheard who had 5 sacks. These two will encourage opposing passers to throw quickly in 2010. They are solid against the run too. Last year's DTs were excellent and will be sorely missed. Charged with replacing them will be Myles Caragein (35 tkls, 7.5 for loss) and either TJ Clemmings or Chas Alecxih (4 sacks). Clemmings is a freshman, but regardless of the combination they should be solid in the middle again. The starting OLBs Greg Williams and Max Gruder are back, and they combined for 124 tackles with 7.5 for loss last season. Stepping into the middle is sophomore Dan Mason (26 tkls, 2 sacks) who started three games last season hits like a train. Cornerback could be a problem as two new starters will need to emerge. Junior Antwuan Reed should take one slot, having played in 22 games over the last two years, while either JUCO Saheed Imoru or sometime-starter senior Ricky Gary will take the other side. It wouldn't be a surprise to see a frequent rotation here. Senior Dom DeCicco had 88 tackles and 3 picks last season and is a good one, and sophomore Jarred Holley started from week 5 on and had 48 tackles and another 3 INTs. The coaching staff hopes the pass rush can get after the QB enough to give the corners a chance to adjust to a full-time starting role. If it goes according to plan, this defense could be even better this season.

Special Teams

Dan Hutchins was the kicker and punter last season and had mixed results. He was solid as a kicker (23/29 FGs), including nailing a game-winner against UConn, but only averaged 41.1 as a punter with a meagre 34.5 net. Either he needs to improve in both areas, or someone needs to step up and take on the punting chores. Cameron Saddler was excellent returning kicks and nearly took a couple to the house, but Aaron Smith was not the answer at PR. Coverage teams were pretty good, although they could improve. As a whole this unit has to step it up in '10.

Next Season

This team is loaded. Wannstedt has holes to fill, but with the excellent recruiting classes he's pulled in, this is the most talented squad in the Big East. The other teams are going through major changes at skill positions, yet he has most of his guys back. If he doesn't win the Big East this year, the boo-birds will rear their ugly heads again. The OOC schedule includes always tough Utah, BCS outside shot Miami and Brian Kelly led Notre Dame. If he can pull off at least 4-1 here, and win the Big East, a major bowl could be in reach.

Rutgers

Last Year

The Scarlet Knights pulled off a 9-4 (3-4 Big East) season despite playing with a freshman QB and lacking a breakaway threat at RB. They managed this with an easy OOC schedule and a fine defense, coach Greg Schiano's speciality. Schiano has done a great job here, turning a moribund program from whipping boys to a bowl regular. They may have been ranked in the Top 10 in '06, but this may have been his best coaching job to date.

Offense

Tom Savage has gone from the youngest QB in the conference to the most experienced in just one season. In his 11 starts he completed 52.3% of his passes for 2211 yards with 14 TDs against just 7 picks. Obviously his accuracy needs to improve, something he didn't do over the course of the season, but he is smart with the football which helps. The running game really struggled last season, with their season average grossly inflated by running over weak teams. Joe Martinek ran hard all season, and was effective in the fourth quarter, but he's merely a banger. He will most likely be backed up (or replaced) by De'Antwan Williams (44-235-1) and the incoming freshmen. Fullback will probably be Edmond Laryea, although he's merely average. The line returns only two starters, LG Art Forst (1st team Big East) and C Howard Barbieri. Desmond Wynn has started some in the past and will probably play LT. Desmond Stapleton will probably play opposite him with Antwan Lowery at RG. This line could be reshuffled before the season starts. The excellent Tim Brown graduated last season but the Scarlet Knights appear to have a ready made replacement in Mohamed Sanu. In '09 he caught 51 passes for 639 yards and 3 TDs, but also played some QB in running formations, gaining 346 yards and scoring 5 TDs. He also threw a TD pass. This versatility will see him leaned upon even more next season. The problem is who will play opposite him. There are number of freshmen and sophomores waiting in the wings, but none have much experience, and this must be a concern going into fall camp. DC Jefferson returns at TE, but he only caught 5 passes last season. The ex-QB still has a lot to learn, but he has potential and should improve this season. Savage didn't throw to his backs much last season, but that may change as he becomes more experienced. This offense has way too many question marks to be much of a factor this season.

Defense

Schiano has done an excellent job with the defenses here, and he believes this year's could be his best yet. Last season the run defense ranked 15th nationally with a mere 103 yards per game (3 ypg!) and 16th in scoring at 17.9 ppg. The pass defense was rock solid too for the most part, and 40 sacks and 34 turnovers are worthy of note. The defense did tend to fall asleep on occasion, such as being gutted by Cincinnati in the opening game and run over by lowly Syracuse in a shock defeat. This will have to be corrected for next season. They return three starting linemen from '09, including both their tackles. Scott Vallone was a freshman All-American last season with 12.5 tfl, while Eric LeGrand had 5.5. End Alex Silvestro was 2nd team Big East with 42 tackles including 10 for loss, while this year's new starter Jonathon Freeny was also 2nd team Big East and had 9.5 sacks despite only starting one game. This is an excellent group to have up front and make life a lot easier for the Linebackers, only one of whom returns. Antonio Lowery had 55 tkls with 6.5 for loss in 9 starts last season and should improve on them this season. Steve Beauharnais will man the middle after a freshman season where he had 36 tackles and 5 sacks in part-time duty. Manny Abreu has played well when given the chance in the past, but this corps is the question mark pf the defense going into 2010. Last season's super corner Devin McCourty has gone to the NFL, but the secondary is still in good shape. David Rowe did a solid job on the other side and returns this season, and he should be joined by senior Brandon Bing. Any of this year's freshmen could steal the spot either. Joe Lefeged returns at Safety having started the last three years, and he'll be joined by Khaseem Greene who did a good job when given the chance. The linebackers will have time to gel with an easy OOC schedule, so this group could be even better this season. They may need to be with all the issues on offense.

Special Teams

Each kick by San San Te last season was an adventure, as he had a habit of slicing. However, after offseason surgery and some technical improvement in camp, it looks like he may actually have a good season. With a long of 49 in '09, his leg strength is not an issue. Punter Ted Dellaganna is one of the best in the conference, with a net of 36.9 and 26 inside the 20. Lefeged averaged 32.4 on 11 KRs and scored a TD last season, and should take on the job full-time in 2010. Sanu only averaged 3.9 per PR last year, so he either needs to drastically improve or be replaced. He definitely has the talent though. Coverage units were both excellent. This group should be better next season.

Next Season

Rutgers has had a tendency to choose easy OOC opponents recently, and this season is no different, the only exception being potential ACC champion North Carolina. They should go at least 3-1 heading into conference play. They also play Tulane, another likely victory. With the change going on in the conference they should easily make another bowl game, but I can't see them winning the conference title this year with the question marks on offense.

South Florida

Last Year

USF roared out the gate last season, easily dispatching their first three fours by 20+ points each. Unfortunately they lost Matt Grothe for the season in Week 3 to a torn ACL, but appeared to have little let-down with freshman BJ Daniels at the helm and dispatching then #18 Florida State 17-7 in Tallahassee. They were 5-0 and ranked #21 going into the Cincinnati game and even went toe-to-toe with them in the first half before the wheels fell off the wagon. BJ Daniels began to mix flashes of brilliance with typical rookie mistakes as the team went 2-5 before beating MAC opponent Northern Illinois in their bowl game. If Daniels can cut out the mistakes he has a bright future – when he was on form, he was great. But the offense lived and died on his performance. The defense was fast and tough as usual, although they wore down in games when the offense didn't pull its weight. Then in the off-season, the Bulls only head coach Jim Leavitt was fired. He has done a good job building this program, but the new man in charge is ex-East Carolina and Connecticut coach Skip Holtz. He has done a good job in the past (72-50 record) and arrives at a time when South Florida are competing with the other Florida schools for top recruits. If he can continue building from were Leavitt left off, a Big East championship could be just around the corner.

Offense

Matt Grothe, who seems to have played here since the program started, has finally run out of eligibility after a fine career. This is now Daniels gig and he actually had a decent first season, completing 53.7% of his passes for 1983 yards with 14 TDs and 9 picks. He also ran for 772 yards and 9 TDs, leading the team in rushing. He often tried too hard to make a play, hanging onto the ball for too long and taking sacks (35) or forcing it and being intercepted. On occasion though he looked brilliant, making defenders look stupid with some instant replay-worthy moves. The Bulls finally gave up on Mike Ford and sent him packing, leaving Moise Plancher (129-581-5) as the probable starter. He hasn't proven he can carry the load, so a committee approach is likely. Backing him up will be a host of freshmen. Watch out for JUCO Michael Hayes though – he helped Blinn CC to a JC championship and is the type of heavy-duty ball carrier USF have lacked since Andre Hall graduated. Whoever has the ball will have an excellent line blocking for him. Four out of five linemen return, with Zach Herrmann the odd man out due to retirement. C Sampson Genus, Gs Chaz Hine and Jeremiah Warren and T Jake Sims all return to clear the way. The "new" member is Jamar Bass who actually started six games last season. Receiver could be a problem area though. Carlton Mitchell has gone to the pros, and potentially great AJ Love (26-489-4) tore his ACL in the spring and will most likely miss the season. Dontavia Bogan (22-305-4) returns to man one spot, but the other two appear up for grabs. RB Lindsey Lamar has been tried there in camp and has looked pretty good, and backup QB Evan Landi may also be moved to WR, but this area remains a question mark. Jeff Hawkins should be the starting TE in '10. He needs to improve his blocking, but he's a good enough receiver to act as a safety valve for Daniels. The RBs are hardly used in the passing game, although that may change with a new offensive system in place.

Defense

The normally staunch defense could be in trouble this year. Only three starters return from a unit that was gutted by graduation and the NFL Draft. George Selvie and Jason Pierre-Paul will be missed at DE, but the line has capable replacements, and also returns under-rated Terrell McClain (25 tkls, 3.5 for loss) at DT. Fellow Tackle Keith McCaskill started five games last season and can get the job done. At one end spot should be David Bedford who has started three games over the past couple of years, while the other spot will be manned by either Craig Marshall (39 tkls and 5 sacks in two years) or redshirt freshman Ryne Giddins. These are all quick, athletic players in the USF mould. Sabbath Joseph (48 tkls, 4 for loss) returns at WLB, and he'll be joined by Sam Barrington (41 tkls,2 for loss) who made the Big East Freshman team despite only starting one game, and Jacquian Williams who had 28 tackles in spot duty last season. This should be a good crew in '10. Quenton Washington returns and mans one corner spot and he'll be joined by Kayvon Webster, who started six games as a freshman and had 30 tkls and 2 picks. Fellow sophomore Jon Jejiste or Jerrell Young (who started 6 games before injury) will start at SSm while Mistral Raymond will take over the FS spot after starting four games last season. This group has experience and could be tough to pass on. If last year's part-time starters can maintain their level of play over the course of the season, the defense should be excellent. If not, the better start scoring some points on offense.

Special Teams

Eric Schwartz was okay last season, making 11 of 16 FGs including a 50 yarder. But he may be replaced by Maikon Bonani who missed the season due to injury and made 15 of 21 FGs the year before. A new punter needs to be found, and the expectations are for Justin Brockhaus-Kann to take the job. He had an outstanding HS career but redshirted last year. Bogan was okay returning kicks but can do better, while Faron Hornes really needs to improve his PRs or lose his job. Kick coverage was good last season, but punt coverage was weak allowing 21 yards per return and a TD. Improvement is a must in this department.

Next Season

The Bulls tend to start to start fast then suffer a late season swoon, and lose to at least one team they probably shouldn't. Holtz needs to correct this to take the Bulls to their Promised Land of a Big East title. Three of their OOC opponents are shoo-in victories, but they also include rebuilding Florida and Miami (Fl). If they can find some receivers and get the running games going, this could be their year. 8-5 and another middle tier bowl as usual will be the most likely result.

Syracuse

Last Year

Greg Robinson turned Syracuse from a Big East contender to a bottom-dweller in very few seasons. The team had dipped in previous seasons, and Robinson was trying to install a new offensive system which can take time. The team never really improved (10-37) and he recruited badly, leading to his firing at the end of the '08. Step forward Doug Marrone, just their sixth head coach in 47 years. With a pretty bare cupboard, Marrone fashioned a 4-8 (1-6 Big East) record and had the team punching above their weight in most games. Beyond RB Delone Carter, the Orange beat Rutgers and Northwestern, and their defense allowed just 101.8 ypg rushing, thanks in no small part to Arthur Jones (now with Baltimore). This was 87 ypg less than last year. Their secondary was still weak, but 35 sacks and 15 INTs helped out.

Offense

Here's the bad news – the offense returns two of last year's starters, and star Carter may not be back due to legal difficulties. At QB Ryan Nassib is the most likely starter after playing in nine games as a freshman and threw for 422 yards (52.9%) with 3 TDs and an INT. Redshirt freshman Charley Loeb will back him up if he doesn't steal the starting gig. If Carter is out, Antwon Bailey will be the most likely replacement after coming second on the team with 312 yards and a TD last year. It's unknown whether he can carry the load, and there is little experience beyond him. It might be academic (no pun intended) that the line only returns one starter, C Ryan Bartholomew. Three of the four new starters – Gs Andrew Tiller and Adam Rosner, and T Josh White all have starting experience. The other T will probably be JUCO Michael Hay, but he could be pushed by redshirt freshman Justin Pugh. Marcus Sales (28-324-3) and Alec Lemon (29-295-1) return at receiver and will likely be joined on the starting roster by Aaron Weaver, a transfer from Hofstra who 1416 yards in three years there. This isn't a great group but are functional, although Lemon has potential. At TE Nick Provo should return from injury to beat out the more experienced Jose Cruz. He'll provide a decent safety valve for Nassib. Carter wasn't used much as a receiver last season, but that could change with whoever is the back this season. If Carter is back the offense might do enough to pull off a few wins, if not, this could be a long season for Marrone.

Defense

The defense returns ten starters from last year's squad, and should be a better unit for it. Tackle Andrew Lewis will be joined this season by either JUCO Deon Goggins or senior Bud Tribbey whi has starting experience. They should remain tough in the middle. At End Mikhail Marinovich (3 sacks) and Chandler Jones (52 tkls, 8.5 for loss) are excellent run-stuffers but don't provide much in the way pf pass rush. That comes from speedy LBs Derrell Smith and Doug Hogue who combined for 154 tackles, 10.5 for loss and 16 sacks. The other starter, EJ Carter, had 24 tackles and 2 sacks in 8 starts last season. The secondary actually returns 5 players with plenty of starting experience from last season. Kevyn Scott (22 tkls, 2 INTs) mans one corner, while Mike Holmes (77 tkls, 3 INTs) will take the other if he doesn't slide over to FS. If he does, ex-WR Da'Mon Merkerson will step in. He started 7 games at corner in '09. Max Suter (71 tkls and a pick) returns to the SS spot, and if Holmes stays at corner, Shamarko Thomas should step in at FS after 41 tackles with 5.5 for loss last season. The defense should be better for the experience of playing together last season, but the secondary in particular lacks any real star-power and could struggle again. In saying that, there is little experience at QB in the conference, so they may do some damage in '10.

Special Teams

Ryan Lichtenstein earned a scholarship after walking on as kicker and doing a fine job (13/17 FGs),while Punter Rob Long is one of the best in Big East averaging 43.8 gross, 36.1 net and dropping 25 inside the 20. He may be playing on Sundays in 2011. They need new returners, although Suter averaged 25.5 on 51 KRs as a freshman and may do so this season. Whoever returns punts must do better than Donte Davis' 6.9 average in '09. Coverage teams need to be improved too after probably costing them the Louisville game last season.

Next Season

The OOC schedule is a mixed bag of should-wins (Akron, Maine and Colgate) to probably-wonts (Washington and Boston College). The Big East is in a state of flux this season with most teams suffering key graduations, and a 3-2 record in OOC could see them win 6 games and maybe get a bowl berth. They have to sort out the offense though, the defense isn't good enough to win games on it's own next season.

West Virginia

Last Year

Bill Stewart's done a fine job here replacing Rich Rodriguez, going 9-4 (5-2 Big East) in each season. Last season they ended up ranked #24, but lost 30-19 to USF and 24-21 to champs Cincinnati, either of which could have earned them the conference crown. The team was spearheaded by RB Noel Devine who has been everything the team hoped for when they signed him as one of the top recruits in the country in '07. However, despite being one of the top rushing teams in the nation, they struggled to scoring points at key times. The normally strong defense tended to disappear in the redzone too.

Offense

Jarrett Brown was okay last season after taking over from WVU hero Pat White, but was better at making the right reads in the run game than racking up stats. He's moved on this year, but the team really likes sophomore Geno Smith (65% 309 yds, TD and INT) who played in 5 games last season and was a top recruit. He better come up with the goods, because there's no experience behind him. "Coming up with the goods" means feeding Devine the ball. Last season he ran for 1465 and 13 TDs and carried the load despite weighing in at 180 lbs. He's lightning fast and is a big play waiting to happen. The FB and short yardage guy is Ryan Clarke, who gained 250 yards and scored 8 TDs. The coaching staff does a good job of recruiting players who fit their system, so they have a plethora of capable backs waiting in the wings for their chance. The offensive line loses Selvish Capers but otherwise returns intact. Jeff Braun and Matt Timmerman will battle to replace him. This is a good line that, while it isn't particularly strong, carries out the assignments in their sleight-of-hand offense effectively. Jock Sanders returns to man the slot again this season. He did a great job last year catching 72 passes for 688 yards and 3 TDs, and rushing for 175 yards and another score. Joining him should be regulars Brad Starks (29-405-2) and Tavon Austin (15-151-1). This unit should at least be effective as last year's. When they use a TE, Tyler Urban will be the man after catching 10 passes in limited opportunities last season. Devine caught 22 passes in '09 and should at least match that number again this year.

Defense

This defense was tough for most of the year, but struggled down the stretch with the title on the line. They also only recovered six opponents' fumbles, which needs to be drastically improved. Ten starters return, so if they tighten up, this could be the best unit in the Big East. All three of their linemen return (they run a 3-3-5) in DE Julian Miller (53 tackles, 5 for loss and 9 sacks), DT Scooter Berry (only 15 tkls due to injury) and Chris Neild (35 tkls). Josh Taylor filled in capably for Berry when he was injured. If this group stays healthy this year, they're potentially the best line in the Big East. At LB, Pat Lazear (78 tkls, 5 for loss), JT Thomas (76 tkls, 6.5 for loss and 2 INTs) and new but experienced starter Anthony Leonard (23 tkls with 2 for loss in part-time duty last season. The Cornerbacks, Keith Tandy (61 tkls and 3 INTs) and Brandon Hogan (74 tkls, 11 PBUs) are solid, and FS Robert Sands (65 tkls, 8 PBUs and 5 Ints) is excellent. BS Sidney Glover (60 tkls, 5.5 for loss) is also fine but their new SS Terence Garvin is inexperienced. Regardless this should be a great unit in '10.

Special Teams

Kicker Tylan Bitancurt (13/15 FGs) is rock solid, but a new Punter is needed. Alabama transfer Corey Smith is favorite to take the job, although he hasn't punted in the NCAA yet. Austin (17-426-1) is an excellent KR, and Devine and Sanders can pitch in too. Sanders was only okay at PR (8.6 ypr) last season. Kick coverage was poor last season, but punt coverage was good. There is work to be done on this unit for next season.

Next Season

WVU have a relatively easy OOC, apart from a trip to take on Louisiana State. A win isn't beyond them here, although it won't be easy, but they should start conference play at least 4-1. This could be the Mountaineers' chance to get back to the top of the Big East, as they are one of the most experienced teams. Their biggest game is the Backyard Brawl against Pittsburgh on 26th November. Assuming they haven't lost any games they shouldn't, this should be the Big East decider. If they can beat LSU (albeit with a new QB) and win the Big East they could be in the National Championship reckoning. 9 or 10 wins is a certainty though.

Friday, July 2, 2010 0 comments

ACC Atlantic Division

This post was published to Football 365 at 12:23:20 29/06/2010

ACC Atlantic Division


 

Boston College

Last Year

The Eagle's season could have fallen apart last season after a rocky start with coach Jeff Jagodzinski getting fired before the season for interviewing for an NFL position, then defensive leader Mark Herzlich was diagnosed with cancer. But defensive co-ordinator stepped in to lead BC to an 8-5 (5-3 ACC) record including a tough bowl loss to USC. Not only did they have a decent season, but they managed it with a freshman QB in Dave Shinskie, who had played 6 years of minor league baseball. Last season must be counted as a resounding success for coach Spaziani.

Offense

Shinskie had his ups and downs last season, as every freshman does, but threw for 2049 yards and 15 TDs. A 51.7% completion percentage and 14 Ints must be improved upon though. He brings ability as a leader and maturity to the table though. His backup is fellow sophomore Mike Marscovetra, who played well in limited time last season. As with last season, Shinskie won't have to do it all himself, with Montel Harris back after a monster season last year (1457 yards, 14 TDs, 4.7 avg). He will be counted on to carry the load in the running game again this year. His backups have had little playing time, so maintaining his health is crucial to the Eagles' hopes. This will be the role of the offensive line, which returns four starters. LT Anthony Castonzo was 1st team ACC last season, and the other starters, C Nathan Richman (moving from LG to replace Matt Tennant), RG Thomas Claiborne and RT Rich Lapham all have plenty of experience. Sophomore LG Emmett Cleary played frequently last season, including 4 starts, and played well. They lose last season's leading receiver Rich Gunnell, and the only returnee of note is Colin Larmond (29-596-5). Senior Billy Flutie will probably start, but there is no-one other than Larmond which much game experience. Sophomore TE Chris Pantale returns after catching 25 passes for 223 yards and 1 TD last season. He is capable of much more and should be a nice safety valve for Shinskie, easing the receiver problem. Shinskie didn't throw to his backs much last season, but that was not because of lack of ability on their part. Expect to see more of this next season.

Defense

The defense technically only returns five starters, but Herzlich is also back, and many of the other new starters have experience. The run defense is usually a strength of BC and last year was no different. Only two return this year in seniors DE Alex Albright and DT Damik Scafe, but they're good run stuffers. Joining them should be Dillon Quinn or Bryan Murray at Tackle, and Max Holloway or Brad Newman at DE. The Eagles' really struggled rushing the passer last season (only 20 sacks) and the hope is someone steps up to make put some pressure on opposing QBs this season. 1st team Freshman All American Luke Kuechly returns after a monster rookie season (158 tkls, 12 for loss), and will man the middle with Herzlich taking one of the OLB slots. Mike Morrissey or Nick Clancy should take the other role. Both have experience. Herzlich's health permitting, the Eagles' linebackers should be excellent again in 2010. DeLeon Gause returns for his senior year at Corner and is solid, as is senior FS Wes Davis (3 Ints). Dominick LeGrande should take over the SS role after much playing time last season, and there are a number of experienced corners fighting for the last spot. Juniors Isaac Johnson or Donnie Fletcher should step in. The other will be the nickel. This is a solid unit, and the defense as a hole should grow under Spaziani's tutelage.

Special Teams

Kicker Steve Aponavicius has graduated leaving a gaping hole considering he only missed one FG and one PAT last season. Favoured to replace him is redshirt freshman Nate Freese. P Ryan Quigley is reliable, averaging 40.8 per punt last season, and also kicks off. He could take on the placekicking role if no-one else works out. 2009's leading returners have moved on, so two new guys will have to be found, with Harris and Gause the favourites. The team hopes others can step up to the plate here, as both are invaluable on offense and defense.

Next Season

The Eagles' non-conference schedule is relatively unchallenging this season, Notre Dame excepted, but the ACC is a historically tough conference to emerge unscathed with no guaranteed wins since the recent "emergence" of Duke. There are too many unknowns to predict a conference title for BC this season, and a repeat of last year's 8 wins (5-3 in the conference) is most likely. In saying that, they're loaded with juniors and seniors, and if the offence gets going early and the defence carries on from last season, a trip to the conference championship could be in the offing.

Clemson

Last Year

Clemson went 9-5 last season, including 6-2 in the conference and won the ACC Atlantic division. While much of this may be attributed to CJ Spiller's phenomenal season, their defense was also excellent, particularly against the pass (#7 in the nation). The hiring of Dabo Swinney last season after his stint as interim coach raised a few eyebrows, but he has done a good job so far. They also broke in a redshirt freshman at QB. Clemson are perennial underachievers, they haven't won the ACC since '91 despite the talent that graces their campus annually, but last season's record should be counted as a success.

Offense

How do you replace CJ Spiller? Things are not as bad as they may sound. Spiller was only a part-timer at RB prior to last season, and Clemson have gotten by. I don't want to detract from what he did, but Clemson should contend for the division again this year. Kyle Parker started the season at QB and performed well, throwing 2500+ yards and 20TDs, while completing a respectable 55.6% of his passes. He threw 12 Ints, but that number should drop with experience. Spiller's backups got some valuable playing time last season too. Last year's super recruit Andre Ellington didn't have the impact hoped for, but still ran for nearly 500 yards at a superb 7.2 a pop. He only weighs about 180, so he's not going to carry the load, but fortunately he has running mate Jamie Harper, a 230lb power runner to help out. Harper gained 418 yards (5.2 avg.) Four members of last years OL return too, with junior David Smith joining the cause. Smith has starting experience and played in 12 games last year as a backup, so he's no greenhorn. If the line stays healthy, it should be one of the best in the country, but if injuries start to mount, depth is thin on the ground. The two top receivers from last season are gone, and the only returning starter is senior Xavier Dye who caught a meagre 14 passes for 236 yards, although he did score 3 TDs. Being Clemson though, top recruits are ready to step in. Nothing has been decided so far, but expect top recruit Martavis Bryant to get every opportunity to start. At TE, sophomore Dwayne Allen is back after starting 6 games last season and catching 10 passes and 3 TDs. He's a big athletic guy and a tough matchup for a back 7 so expect him to catch a lot more passes this year, particularly with the flux at wideout. Spiller was a major part of the passing game too last season so expect the backs, particularly Ellington with his open field skill-set, to catch more than last year's 11 for 55 yards.

Defense

The Tigers are in much better shape here, with seven of last season's starters returning, and experienced backups filling three of the other spots. The line is loaded with probable future NFL players, although DE Da'Quan Bowers needs to show he can play every down with the same intensity. The tackles weigh 600+ lbs between them, and played a major role in helping Clemson hold opponents to a meagre 3.5 yards per carry. In a division with as many quality RBs, this will be crucial. The only X-factor is new starter Andre Branch, but he has received plenty of playing time, and being Clemson, is a former top recruit. At linebacker, only Brandon Maye returns, having played MLB last season, but will move outside if Corico Hawkins can show enough to replace him. The other OLB will probably be freshman Justin Parker, although there are others with starting experience ready to jump in should he falter. The secondary should be the strength of the defense next season. If you haven't already heard of DeAndre McDaniel and Rashard Hall, you will soon. Between them they return 165 tackles and 14 Ints, and comprise one of the best safety tandems in the NCAA. They have new corners, but one is Marcus Gilchrist who actually started at safety last year, while the other is Byron Maxwell who played a lot last season at CB as well as being a special teams' dynamo. He is also one of the hardest hitters on the team. There should be absolutely no drop off in secondary this season. In fact, I can see it being even better. Co-ordinator Kevin Steele was offered a lucrative contract at Tennessee, his alma mater, but he chose to stay
ensuring some continuity there. The pieces are in place for the defense to rank top in the ACC (at least), but in order to do so, they have to avoid the late season swoon of 2009.

Special Teams

K Richard Jackson started off red hot last season, nailing 11 of 13 field goals in just the first three games, but hit just 9 of his last 18. He also missed time due to academic issues, but his replacement Spencer Benton did little to create serious offseason competition. Jackson is also in the running for the punting job, but Dawson Zimmerman wasn't bad last season although he could stand to improve. Clemson's top two returners from last season (Spiller and Jacoby Ford) are playing in the NFL this year, and both are going to be tough to replace. Ellington will probably get first stab at the KR job, with Gilchrist the likely PR. Both have some experience in their respective roles. The coverage teams were okay.

Next Season

The Tigers' OOC schedule starts off easily with North Texas and FCS also-rans Presbyterian, before travelling to Auburn for a big game to show their mettle. The ACC slate is tough with trips to North Carolina and Florida State and their usual finish with South Carolina (at home this year) is always tough sledding. This is Clemson, so they're always hard to predict. They have the talent to win the ACC and go to a BCS game, but they are historically inconsistent and could finish up middle of the pack. It all depends on whether the new faces on offense and defense can come up with the goods. Swinney has his work cut out for him this season.

Florida State

Last Season

No more Bobby Bowden. After 34 years, 377 wins and 2 national championships at FSU, he stepped down this season in favour of his heir apparent Jimbo Fisher. His last year was not the success he would have hoped for either. Before the season began, a NCAA ruling vacated 12 of his career victories due to an academic scandal. Then a traditionally terrific defense exhibited sieve-like qualities to such a degree that their potent offense couldn't score enough points to keep up. A bowl win over West Virginia moved them to 7-6 (4-4 in conference), but the season was poor considering the talent level.

Offense

Christian Ponder. Prior to attempting to tackle a DB on an interception return last season Ponder was having an excellent season, completing nearly 69% of his passes for 2717 yards and 14 TDs, and was getting better every game. Unfortunately a shoulder injury ended his season and scuppered any thoughts of jumping early to the NFL. He's back after surgery and ready to go and should be at least a Davey Award Candidate (best QB). EJ Manuel stepped in after Ponder went down and played well, although threw just 2 TDs compared to 6 Ints. His experience will bode well for FSU should Ponder attempt any further heroics this season. Most of their RBs from last year return, including leading rusher Jermaine Thomas (832 yards on 163 carries in 10 starts). His backups got some much needed playing time last season as freshmen, so they are in good shape here. FSU doesn't use a FB much, but they have good ones. The whole offensive line returns, paving the way for 149.5 ypg at 4.6 a clip and allowing just 20 sacks in a pass happy offense. At WR they have three of their top four returning, and they are good ones, particularly Bert Reed. He caught 60 passes, but he did fail to reach the endzone, something that should change this season. Junior Beau Reliford is the new starter at TE, he had 11 catches and 2 TDs in five starts last season and he could be a good one, especially considering the amount of passes thrown to TEs in this offense (51 last season). They don't throw to the backs much, not needing with the receiving corps, but the runners are more than capable of helping out where needed. If Ponder stays healthy for the season, this offense should be poised for great things. Unfortunately, they can't win games on their own…

Defense

Last season's was bad by anyone's standards last season – 94th in scoring, 77th in passing and 108th in both rushing and total defense – but for Florida State that is unacceptable. Co-ordinator Mickey Andrews has now retired and Fisher quickly cut ties with some of the other assistants. Mark Stoops was brought in as defensive co-ordinator and FSU should have enough quality athletes to enable a defensive turnaround, the one question is how quickly they can pick up the new scheme. They have six starters returning, but after last season's debacle, that might not be a bad thing. LE Marcus White and DTs Moses McCray and Everett Dawkins return on the line, but they only combined for 54 tackles (12 for losses) and three sacks. The RE should either be sophomore Brandon Jenkins, who had 12 tackles including three for loss in limited time last season, or Dawkins will move there and last year's super recruit Jacobbi McDaniel will take one of the tackle slots. There needs to be a massive improvement in execution here or changes will be made. At linebacker the two returnees are Kendall Smith in the middle and Nigel Bradham on the weakside, who finished 1 and 2 in tackling on the team, and played okay on the season. It's hard to judge them too harshly due to the play on the line, but they were far from perfect. With SLB Dekoda Watson in Tampa now, the battle to take his place is most likely between junior Nigel Carr and senior Mister Alexander (who had 5 sacks in a reserve role), although freshman Jeff Luc could push for playing time straight out of the gate. The secondary was the best unit on the field despite the woes up front, but only returns one starter, CB Ochuko Jenije (4 Ints). There is plenty of talent, but most are first and second year players, with sophomores Greg Reid (6 PBUs and 2 Ints), Nick Moody (33 tackles) and Terrance Parks taking over at CB and the safety slots respectively.

Special Teams

Dustin Hopkins returns at kicker after a decent freshman season (19/27 FGs with a 52 long), and junior Shawn Powell (41.6 average) returns at punter. Fisher is confident these two can get better this season. Their best special team weapon may be Reid, who scored a TD on both kick and punt returns last season, while averaging 25.5 and a super 18.4 per return respectively. Their KR coverage team was okay, but their PR coverage was excellent. With the level of talent here, there is no reason to expect any dropoff this season.

Next Season

Their OOC schedule is a killer – after a trip to FCS bottom feeders Samford, they travel to Oklahoma, home to BYU and then home to Florida to close out the season – although the in conference schedule is light with the only tough road trip on October 9th at Miami. ACC rivals BC, North Carolina and Clemson all travel to Tallahassee. With Ponder at the helm and the returning talent on defense, the Seminoles could be in for a big year, but they need the defense to improve to avoid needing to win shootouts. The talent is there, and the change in DC should make a difference, but most likely Florida State will be riding Ponder's arm to an 8 or 9 win season and another mid-level bowl game.

Maryland

Last Season

After a fine run of three 10+-win seasons, Maryland has generally wallowed in mediocrity with only two winning seasons since 2003. That all changed last year – the Terps only managed to win 2 games, one of which was an overtime shootout with FCS team James Madison. Surprisingly, coach Ralph Friedgen survived this disaster, although it's hard to imagine anything less than a bowl game will save his job this season. To their credit they lost five close games, and they had a young team, most of who return.

Offense

Last season's starter at QB, Chris Turner, performed reasonably well last season (59.4%, 2069 yards, 10 TDs and 10 Ints) considering he was running for his life when he wasn't being beaten to bloody pulp. Unfortunately he has since graduated, but the poor line play led to his missing time and his backup, junior Jamarr Robinson (54.1%, 459 yards, 2 TDS, and 229 yards rushing), getting valuable playing time. Most of their RB corps from last season returns, although after averaging a paltry 105.8 ypg, one has to wonder if this is a good thing. Da'Rel Scott cranked out 1133 yards and 8 TDs in 2008, but injuries held him to a mere 425 yards (5.0 average) last season. Although this let others gain valuable playing time, none stood out as the offensive line failed to consistently block anyone. Scott returns this season and hopes to regain his All ACC status of two years ago. The line returns three starters, and the backups also received playing time due to the constant shuffling to find five blockers on the same page. There will be changes made to the offensive scheme this season to hopefully help out the line, and Robinson's mobility will also be a factor. If the QBs get the time, they have a decent group of receivers to throw to, led by Torrey Smith (61-824-5 last season). 9 out of their 10 top receivers return, with only rarely used TE Tommy Galt moving on. He'll likely be replaced by junior Lansford Watson, who caught 7 passes in a reserve role. This continuity at both receiver and runner bodes well for the offense should the line create a bit of a push in 2010.

Defense

Statistically the defense was poor last season, but this was often a product of spending too much time on the field due the offensive struggles. Only one starter (NT AJ Francis) returns on the line from 2009, but the Terps regularly rotate their linemen, so the whole two deep has experience. While this sounds great, the line frequently struggled to get off the ball quickly and was pushed around far too often. Despite the struggles up front, the linebackers were superb, and return all three starters and most of their backups. MLB Alex Wujciak racked up 130+ tackles for the second consecutive season (7.5 tfl) and also had a couple of Ints. SLB Alex Moten was second on the team with 68, but also 6 sacks, whereas WLB Demetrius Hartsfield chipped in with 64 tackles and 3.5 sacks. While the Terrapins only return one actual starter in the secondary from last season, most of the reserves received some playing time. The safeties, Antwoine Perez and Kenny Tate played a lot last season, and are expected to be rock solid this season. The corners could be a problem though. Last season they were torched often, and while some of this can be attributed to heavy blitzing, much was just poor play and blown assignments. Junior Cameron Chism (66 tackles, 4 Ints) returns on side, and should be decent, but whoever plays the other will be relatively inexperienced and will be picked on by opposing passers. In a conference with many quality passers, this could get ugly. Maryland just doesn't have the offense to get into scoring battles.

Special Teams

The special teams were generally good last year and should be even better this year with all the main contributors returning. Kicker Nick Ferrara has good range and made 18/25 FGs last season, although he needs to improve his KOs. Senior Travis Baltz suffered through an injury-plagued season, but has had a good career and there is no reason to believe that will change this year. Ferrara stepped in competently is his absence. When Torrey Smith isn't shredding secondaries, he's shredding kickoff coverage units (25.7 avg and 2TDs). They need a PR as Tony Logan was poor last season. Coverage units were okay but could stand to improve. The benefits of good special teams can really make a difference to a struggling offense.

Next Season

Friedgen has to make a bowl game or he's gone. Their OOC schedule mixes the tough - Navy and West Virginia - with the not so tough – Florida International and Morgan State. In conference, their only tough home game is Florida State, but they have to travel to Clemson, Boston College and Miami. 6-6 or 7-5 is in reach, especially if the rest of the defense rises to the level of the LBs, but 4-8 and a new coach is more likely.

North Carolina State

Last Season

To say Tom O'Brien's tenure at NC State has been a disappointment would be something of an understatement. After a highly successful run at Boston College despite strict academic standards hindering recruiting, great things were expected here with a better recruiting base and less strict recruiting regulations to worry about. His record has been a mediocre 16-21 in three years with a bowl loss to Rutgers, and 9-15 in the ACC. Last season, the defense let the team down, allowing 31.2 ppg compared to a respectable 30.3 ppg for the offense. There were eight games with more than 30 points allowed, and FOUR with 40. It wasn't all bad, with QB Russell Wilson doing everything in his power to lead the team to victory.

Offense

Wilson carried the team on his back last season, throwing for 3027 yards and 31 TDs as well as rushing for 260 yards and 4 TDs. All this despite the line allowing 32 sacks and producing little running room for the backs. His backup is former super recruit sophomore Mike Glennon who played in 7 games as a freshman and threw for 248 yards with 1 TD and 2 Ints. At RB, Toney Baker moves on after a decent career, as does backup Jamelle Eugene. Those left behind don't have a lot of experience, although many of the backs are top recruits. Favourite to start is junior Curtis Underwood who redshirted last year. It will be tough to replace Baker though, especially as the o-line returns only two starters - tackles Jake Vermiglio and RJ Mattes. Run blocking wasn't the line's forté last season (mind you, neither was pass blocking) but the potential replacements aren't too inexperienced. Nothing has been decided as yet though. The Wolfpack's top three receivers from 2009 return: Owen Spencer who gained 765 yards and scored 6 TDs on just 30 catches; Jarvis Williams who caught 45 passes for 547 yards and 11 TDs; and Darrell Davis who had 25 receptions for 380 yards and a score. They were plagued by drops last season, but should improve. All ACC TE George Bryan returns too after catching 40 passes for 422 yards and 6 TDs last season and will be a candidate for the John Mackey Award this season. Baker and Eugene were key parts of the passing game last season, so it is hoped that whoever assumes the mantle can continue their success as receivers. If the line steps up and a running back (or a committee) comes to the fore, this offense could be potent next season.

Defense

After starting brightly in their first four games last season to go 3-1, first the pass defense and then the run defense collapsed in something of a domino effect. Only three starters return, which may not be a bad thing, but there are none returning on the defensive line. There is some experience here with seniors Michael Lemon and David Akinnyi, but there is little depth even if quality starters can be found. The defense had 24 sacks last season, but most of those were by graduated players. The linebackers should be strong in 2010 even though only one starter, Audie Cole (85 tkls, 4 sacks) returns. 2008 stud linebacker Nate Irving hopes to be 100% after missing the season due to a car accident. He's the kind of player who makes plays all over the field and makes those around him better. Hopefully he'll be back to full health. The final spot will go to either junior Dwayne Maddox or sophomore Terrell Manning, both of whom have started in 2009 and played well when given the chance. In the secondary only sophomore Brandan Bishop returns, and he needs to make some plays this season. Due to their inability to defend the pass last season, they do return six others who have started last season, and the hope is this will bode well. The good news is that the pass defense can hardly get worse.

Special Teams

In general this is a position of strength for the Wolfpack going into the season. Kicker Josh Czajkowski is excellent, making 10 of 12 field goals last season and all his PATs. Returner TJ Graham averaged 25.0 and scored a TD on kick returns, and 10.4 per punt runback. Punter Jeff Ruiz wasn't great and had one blocked (not necessarily his fault), and there could be competition with Chris Ward who is currently suspended. Kickoff coverage wasn't great last season but directional punting led opponents to just 11 punt returns.

Next Season

The OOC isn't a killer with Cincinnati as the only BCS opponent, but East Carolina has won in Raleigh in the past and Central Florida play everyone tough. In-conference away games to Georgia Tech, Clemson and North Carolina will be heavy going, but stay at home for Virginia Tech and the Seminoles. It's hard to predict how their season will go, and their current stint in mediocrity makes it even harder to suggest a winning season. The schedule is nasty, but Russell Wilson gives them a chance to win week in-week out. Whether he gets any help remains to be seen. O'Brien came to NC State to pull in better recruits, and he has done just that. He hasn't done anything with all that talent, and if things don't improve this season, he could be moving on.

Wake Forest

Last Season

Wake Forest will always be a tough school to succeed consistently in, due to their small student base and academic restrictions. Jim Grobe has done a fantastic job with so little, but his 3 year stretch where he went 28-12 and won two out of three bowl games has created some unrealistic expectations. In saying that, five of last year's losses were by three points or less and they could easily have been 10-2. Much of last season's starting squad moves on, including fine QB Riley Skinner who completed 66% of his passes for 3160 yards and 26 TDs.

Offense

With Skinner gone, there should have been a heated spring camp competition to take his place. Unfortunately, the only healthy QB was junior Skylar Jones who played WR last year and has yet to throw a pass in the NCAA. On the plus side, he is lightning fast and the Demon Deacons frequently ran an option attack prior to the arrival of Ben Mauk and then Skinner at QB. Jones' competition are two redshirt freshmen and a former walk-on – at this stage it looks like the job is his to lose. WF returns their top two rushers from last season, Josh Adams and Brandon Pendergrass, both of whom averaged 4.8 a carry. Adams has carried the load in the past, but injuries have hindered his progress to date but the hope is he can regain that form while Jones gets his feet wet at QB. Wake Forest also run their WRs frequently, and that should increase this season as the passing game declines. The offensive line only returns two starters, LG Joe Looney and C Russell Nenon, but the Demon Deacons have never been road graders, preferring instead to use sleight of hand in their running game to keep defenses off balance. They return their three starting receivers, who combined for 166 catches for 2167 yards and 20TDs, from last season but despite having a receiving corps that most teams would give their left arms for, it is unlikely they will match those numbers this season. Wake doesn't use their TE much, so it matters little that they bring in a new starter (although he started a few games last season). The RBs are important components of the passing attack and should be even more so this season.

Defense

In their great three-year stint the Demon Deacons' defense was sterling, not only shutting down offenses regularly but also coming up with a +39 turnover margin. That ended last year with a -4 TO margin and teams moving the ball more successfully. The inability to stop opponents in crucial situations was a big factor in their close losses. To make matters worse, they return only four starters from last year plus one who was knocked early with a broken leg. On the line they have a couple of quick but lightweight ends in juniors Tristan Dorty and Kyle Wilber. Wilber hopes to be 100% after breaking his leg last season. Tackle could be a problem. They have a couple of big guys to help stuff the run, but they are sophomores at best with little game experience. With a number of run- first teams on the schedule, this will present a problem down the stretch. Senior Matt Woodlief returns at MLB and is okay, and the corps as a whole is inexperienced but athletic. Speedy Joey Ehrmann and Hunter Haynes played some last season and are favoured to start this season. Ehrmann had 3.5 sacks in limited playing time, and should improve on that number as a quality secondary should encourage increased blitzing. Two starters return in future star Kenny Okoro (11 PBUs and 3 Ints) and Safety Cyhl Quarles. Their running mates haven't been decided yet, but there is plenty of experience with juniors and seniors who have received a lot of playing time. Grobe claims this is his fastest defense to date, so look for increased big plays this season.

Special Teams

Jimmy Newman returns as the Kicker after making just 11 of 17 field goals last season, although 3 of those were from over 50 yards. He may take over punting too from Shane Popham who wasn't awful, but had a net of just 35.0. Ironically, Popham kicked and punted the year before but Grobe felt he would be only mediocre are each if he continued, hence Newman taking on the kicking role. At KR Lovell Jackson averaged a solid 24.2 and Givens wasn't too bad either, but Brown needs to improve on a poor 5.1 average punt return. Kickoff coverage was weak last season, but their punt coverage was excellent. Grobe preaches the importance of good special teams, so expect improvement here next season.

Next Season

There has been a decline in wins since they won the ACC title in '06. The question is whether they have had their moment in the sun and reverting to propping up the rest of the division. Their OOC isn't particularly difficult, although resurgent Stanford will be tough and Navy always is. In the conference, trips to Florida State and Virginia Tech will be problematic, but they have Georgia Tech at home and don't play North Carolina or Miami. With Skinner gone and an inexperienced QB taking over, it's hard to see Wake Forest improving 2009's record, but Grobe has won with a new QB before (Skinner in '06) so I wouldn't be surprised to see them back in a bowl game this year.